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brooklynite

brooklynite's Journal
brooklynite's Journal
July 18, 2022

"I Work for Midwestern Democrats, and I Know How to Win Back Voters From the G.O.P."

New York Times

One underrated problem for Democrats is how they have approached outsourcing. Many voters think Democrats don’t fight effectively enough to keep jobs in America or bring them back. A poll I conducted for Third Way last year found that 49 percent of likely voters think Republicans do a better job than Democrats on the issue. (Only 24 percent could say the same of Democrats.)

It’s not just polls: In focus groups after the 2020 election, I listened to blue-collar Latino Trump voters on the Texas-Mexico border call Mr. Trump a racist but say they voted for him because he’s for the American worker and trying to keep jobs in America.

This concern might be even more important now. Inflation is the top issue voters want Washington to address, and Americans believe disruptions to the global supply chain are causing price spikes and economic instability. To win support, Democrats need to hammer home to voters that they are focused on bringing manufacturing home.

I live in Chicago and work for Midwestern Democratic politicians whose states have been hit hard by outsourcing, and I have seen Democrats win over swing voters with a powerful call to bring jobs back to America and invest in domestic manufacturing. Tim Ryan, the Democratic Senate candidate in Ohio, offers a good example. When he talks about his 30-year fight to get tough on Chinese trade practices, I’ve seen people who voted for Mr. Trump most recently (but who previously voted for Barack Obama) start to wonder, “I’m a Republican, but can I vote for Tim Ryan now?”

July 18, 2022

Pulitzer board rejects Trump's challenge to Post, Times Russia stories

Source: Washington Post

The board that administers the Pulitzer Prizes rejected former president Donald Trump’s request to rescind the 2018 prizes awarded to The Washington Post and the New York Times for their reporting about his campaign and administration’s connections to Russia election interference.

Trump challenged the awards on three occasions, including last year, arguing that the articles were based on “false reporting of a non-existent link between the Kremlin and the Trump Campaign.” He called the stories “no more than a politically motivated farce which attempted to spin a false narrative that my campaign supposedly colluded with Russia despite a complete lack of evidence underpinning this allegation.”

The Pulitzer board rejected that claim on Monday after undertaking the journalistic equivalent of a state election recount. In an unusual move, it authorized two independent reviews of the articles submitted by the newspapers — and essentially recertified the results.

“The separate reviews converged in their conclusions: that no passages or headlines, contentions or assertions in any of the winning submissions were discredited by facts that emerged subsequent to the conferral of the prizes,” it said in a statement.



Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/media/2022/07/18/pulitzer-reject-trump-russia-stories-challenge/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=wp_main
July 18, 2022

Senate Candidate Fundraising (2nd Quarter 2022)

WARNOCK, RAPHAEL $84,914,584.33
KELLY, MARK $52,462,639.85
DEMINGS, VAL $43,014,889.63
SCHUMER, CHARLES E. $39,090,116.30
RUBIO, MARCO $34,709,264.14
CORTEZ MASTO, CATHERINE $30,142,337.78
HASSAN, MARGARET WOOD $26,961,914.46
FETTERMAN, JOHN KARL $26,051,772.63
RYAN, TIMOTHY $21,773,131.60
BEASLEY, CHERI $16,023,250.38
DUCKWORTH, L. TAMMY $15,622,735.76
BENNET, MICHAEL F. $14,542,447.72
MURRAY, PATTY $14,308,105.93
WYDEN, RONALD LEE $12,731,731.88
PADILLA, ALEX $10,688,202.66

https://www.fec.gov/data/candidates/senate/?election_year=2022&cycle=2022&election_full=true&is_active_candidate=true

July 18, 2022

Flights halted as runways melt and temperatures exceed 38C in parts of England

Source: The Guardian


Luton airport has been temporarily shut to flights following a runway defect – believed to be due to the record temperatures. Flights that took off earlier today destined for Luton have been diverted to alternative airports such as Stansted. Passengers on an EasyJet flight from Catania in Sicily were told by the captain that they were unable to land at Luton because parts of the runway had effectively melted.


Flying activity was also halted at RAF Brize Norton, with Sky News reporting that part of the runway had melted.


Read more: https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/live/2022/jul/18/uk-weather-heatwave-met-office-warning-forecast-temperature-london-schools-latest-updates
July 18, 2022

Unpredictable Maryland Governor's Race Pits Old Guard vs. Upstarts

New York Times

SILVER SPRING, Md. — Tuesday’s primary elections for Maryland governor come at a moment when Democrats are jittery, unsure of the future and perhaps willing to bet on a flashy, unproven commodity.

That could be a real problem for Tom Perez.

As he did in early 2017, when he won a contest among party insiders at the dawn of the Trump era to become chairman of the Democratic National Committee, Mr. Perez is pitching himself as the safe establishment choice.

But polling in the Democratic race for governor shows a dead heat between Mr. Perez and Wes Moore, a best-selling author, television show host and nonprofit executive who has been endorsed by Oprah Winfrey. Peter Franchot, the state comptroller and a fixture of Maryland politics since the 1980s, is close behind.

The race, like Maryland’s Republican primary for governor, will test voters’ appetites for competence and experience at a time when the bases of both parties are angry at their political establishments.


Saw Perez and Franchot ads in DC this weekend.

Jon Baron (D) - Policy Executive, Ex-Nonprofit Executive, Attorney & Ex-Defense Dept Official
Peter Franchot (D) - State Comptroller, Ex-State Del., Attorney, Ex-Congressional Aide & Army Veteran
Doug Gansler (D) - Ex-Attorney General, Ex-Montgomery County State's Attorney & '14 Candidate
Ralph Jaffe (D) - Retired Teacher & Frequent Candidate
Ashwani Jain (D) - Nonprofit Executive, Ex-Obama White Houe Aide & '18 County Council Candidate
John King (D) - Ex-US Education Secretary, Ex-NY State Education Commissioner & Educator
Wes Moore (D) - Nonprofit Executive, Author, Afghan War Veteran & Anti-Poverty Activist
Tom Perez (D) - Ex-Democratic National Chair, Ex-Montgomery County Councilman & Attorney
Jerome Segal (D) - Retired Professor, Peace Activist, '20 Pres Candidate & '18 US Sen Candidate
July 18, 2022

The God Gap Helps Explain a 'Seismic Shift' in American Politics

Yet in scorning traditional or orthodox religious beliefs, secular progressives are often scorning indispensable members of their own coalition. Writing in response to flare-ups over Chick-fil-A, Yale law professor Stephen Carter sounded the alarm more than four years ago:

Overall, people of color are more likely than whites to be Christians — and pretty devout Christians at that. Some 83 percent of all black Americans are absolutely certain that God exists. No other group comes close to this figure. Black Christians are far more likely than white Christians (84 percent to 64 percent) to describe religion as very important in their lives. Of all ethnic groups, black Christians are the most likely to attend services, pray frequently and read the Bible regularly. They are also — here’s the kicker — most likely to believe that their faith is the place to look for answers to questions about right and wrong. And they are, by large margins, the most likely to believe that the Bible is the literally inerrant word of God. In short, if you find Christian traditionalism creepy, it’s black people you’re talking about.

Hispanic Americans also tend to possess strong religious values. In October 2020 the New York Times’s Jennifer Medina published a prescient report highlighting Trump-supporting Hispanic Evangelicals. Called “Latino, Evangelical, and Politically Homeless,” it featured this insightful sentence: “Hispanic evangelicals identify as religious first and foremost.”

Yes. Absolutely. That’s exactly why a politics focused on mobilizing by race/ethnicity will not reach them, especially when identity politics is paired with hard-left cultural positions and hostility for traditional religion. Hispanic voters will find a religious connection with many, many white Republicans, and that religious connection can prove far more culturally and politically consequential than any effort to create a politics based on ethnic or racial identity.


https://frenchpress.thedispatch.com/p/the-most-important-religious-divide
July 17, 2022

Des Moines Register/Ann Seltzer poll (IA-SEN): Grassley +8

https://twitter.com/jacobrubashkin/status/1548449979861086210

I met with Mike Franken two weeks ago; he said Seltzer would have a poll out about now. I’m guessing he was expecting better numbers.
July 16, 2022

Voters See a Bad Economy, Even if They're Doing OK

Source: New York Times

The fastest inflation in four decades has Americans feeling dour about the economy, even as their own finances have, so far, held up relatively well.

Just 10 percent of registered voters say the U.S. economy is “good” or “excellent,” according to a New York Times/Siena College poll — a remarkable degree of pessimism at a time when wages are rising and the unemployment rate is near a 50-year low. But the rapidly rising cost of food, gas and other essentials is wiping out pay increases and eroding living standards.

Americans’ grim outlook is bad news for President Biden and congressional Democrats heading into this fall’s midterm elections, given that 78 percent of voters say inflation will be “extremely important” when they head to the polls.

It could be bad news for the economy as well. One long-running index of consumer sentiment hit a record low in June, and other surveys likewise show Americans becoming increasingly nervous about both their own finances and the broader economy.


Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/15/business/economy/inflation-economy-polling.html
July 13, 2022

It's Not Joe Manchin Who's Trying to Undermine Biden

Political Wire

” Joe Manchin has absorbed most of the heat from liberals angry that the Senate has often blocked President Biden’s proposals. But Manchin represents an overwhelmingly Republican state, and he has been willing to negotiate a meaningful (albeit smaller) Senate reconciliation package that would move forward key progressive goals.”

“The true archvillain of the Biden presidency is Josh Gottheimer, a New Jersey Democrat who keeps sticking the knife in Biden’s back.”

“Gottheimer is organizing a small faction of House Democrats to present a ‘counteroffer’ that would blow up the incipient deal with Manchin. The Gottheimer crew wants to take out the tax hikes on the wealthy that Manchin is proposing. That would mean what’s left of the bill could still contain the spending proposals, but it would lack the revenue measures that would make it a deficit-reducer, which is Manchin’s main rationale for supporting the bill in the first place. If that revenue is gone, Manchin’s support probably collapses, and the bill dies. Which is probably fine with Gottheimer, who may be evil, but isn’t stupid.”

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Name: Chris Bastian
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