Wasserman: Juan Ciscomani (R) defeats Kirsten Engel (D) in #AZ06

Any news on Arizona Governor?

Seems like the numbers haven't moved today. What's the most likely outcome?

Jon Ralston Tweet:

Correct me if I'm wrong, but that means that there are 31k ballots in counties favoring CCM, 6k in counties favoring Laxalt. There's just no way Laxalt can overcome that. Not sure what 5k provisionals and 10k that need to be cured favor, but it shouldn't matter. There's no way that she can lose, unless I'm missing something.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1591278732454506496

Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly re-elected in Arizona, defeating Republican Blake Masters

Source: NBC News

Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly is the winner of the Arizona Senate race, NBC News projects, defeating Blake Masters, a Republican backed by former President Donald Trump.

Kelly's projected victory on Friday comes three days after polls closed, and as Arizona officials continued counting ballots that were mailed or dropped off, particularly in the vote-rich Maricopa County, home to Phoenix. It gives Democrats 49 Senate seats, one short of securing a majority, with Nevada still counting votes and Georgia's contest headed to a Dec. 6 runoff.

Kelly ran as a moderate, breaking with Biden on issues like immigration as he sought to navigate headwinds generated by Biden’s low approval rating and widespread economic pain due to rising inflation. He promised to protect abortion rights and build on Democrats’ achievements in recent years, including laws to boost competition with China and to lower prescription drug costs.

Kelly carried moderates by a margin of 63% to 33% and independents by a margin of 55% to 39%, NBC News exit polls showed. Kelly won women by 12 points and lost men by 4 points. Kelly and Masters broke even with white voters but Kelly carried the state's large Latino electorate by 18 points, assuring his victory.

Read more: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-election/arizona-senate-race-rcna54927

Republican Joe Lombardo has won the race for governor in Nevada, defeating Democratic incumbent Stev

Source: NBC News

Republican Joe Lombardo has won the race for governor in Nevada, defeating Democratic incumbent Steve Sisolak

Republican Joe Lombardo has won the race for governor in Nevada, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democratic incumbent Steve Sisolak.

The victory for Lombardo, who was endorsed by former President Donald Trump, puts a Republican back in the top job in the pivotal presidential battleground state and could have major implications on the future of education and criminal justice in the swing state.

His projected win comes after days of delays in the processing of ballots in Clark County, the largest county in the state and the one that includes Las Vegas.

Sisolak conceded the race on Friday night.

Read more: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-election/republican-joe-lombardo-won-race-governor-nevada-defeating-democratic-rcna55514

Just did some Nevada Senate math, have questions

Of all the counties left, one big one favors Catherine Cortez Masto and that's Clark County (Washoe is a virtual tie, with CCM leading by 0.24%). Clark County is 88% in (with 608,429 votes), and CCM had a 5% lead. What I'm not sure about is does that the 608,429 are already in with 12% more to go, or does it mean that the total amount with everything when it reaches 100%?

If it means the the total once everything is in, then that means that there are 73,011 votes in that county left.

So if that trend holds, CCM be getting 52.5% of the votes. That would be 38,331 for her, and 34,680 for Adam Laxalt. That's a pickup of 3,651 votes for her. Plus, there are a few remaining Red counties left, some light where she can pick up votes.

Is there different data than the NYT is showing? Did I do some math wrong (I used to be good in math, but that was over 20 years ago lol). Scroll down to where it says "Where votes have been reported and where votes remain."

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-nevada-us-senate.html

Holy shit, Idaho is nuts

Ammon Bundy got 17.2% of the vote! Brad Little (R) got 60.2% and Stephen Heidt (D) got 20.3%.

Johnson prevails in Wisconsin Senate race that Democrats eyed as pickup opportunity

Source: CNN

Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson will win reelection, CNN projects, defeating Mandela Barnes in a race that Democrats saw as one of their best flip opportunities in the midterm elections.

The victory is another demonstration of the remarkable political durability of Johnson, 67, who has now won three consecutive hard-fought elections, despite polls that long showed him among the least popular senators up for reelection this year.

In holding off Barnes – whom Democrats had viewed at the outset of this year’s election cycle as a potential rising star – Johnson has also bolstered the GOP’s hopes of winning control of the Senate.

Throughout the summer and fall, Republicans relentlessly focused their attacks on Barnes over crime.

Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/09/politics/ron-johnson-wisconsin-midterm-reelection/index.html

Abbott defeats O'Rourke in Texas governor's

Source: The Hill

O’Rourke gave a concession speech on Tuesday night, appearing to be in good spirits as he talked about the movement he started in conservative Texas.

The Democratic candidate said he mobilized a swell of voters in the state, even as he faced great odds against an incumbent governor and strong Republican rule.

This was O’Rourke’s second attempt at statewide office, following his unsuccessful bid for Senate in 2018. O’Rourke lost by just under 3 points to Republican Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas), a surprisingly narrow defeat for a state that has not elected a Democrat to statewide office since 1994.

The Democratic candidate said he mobilized a swell of voters in the state, even as he faced great odds against an incumbent governor and strong Republican rule.

Read more: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3725346-abbott-defeats-orourke-in-texas-governors-race/

Mike Lee won in Utah

It's been called, he's leading by 14% now.