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Polybius

(15,597 posts) Sat Nov 12, 2022, 12:20 AM Nov 2022

Jon Ralston Tweet:

Correct me if I'm wrong, but that means that there are 31k ballots in counties favoring CCM, 6k in counties favoring Laxalt. There's just no way Laxalt can overcome that. Not sure what 5k provisionals and 10k that need to be cured favor, but it shouldn't matter. There's no way that she can lose, unless I'm missing something.

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Jon Ralston Tweet: (Original Post) Polybius Nov 2022 OP

Yes. That's been the math since yesterday. Claustrum Nov 2022 #1

Gotcha Polybius Nov 2022 #3

Yup. I expected her to get to 10k lead at the end yesterday but the 10 points Washoe votes earlier Claustrum Nov 2022 #4

Thanks for update! Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2022 #2

Claustrum

(4,846 posts)

1. Yes. That's been the math since yesterday.

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Sat Nov 12, 2022, 12:22 AM

Nov 2022

Unless the votes from Washoe and Clark come out completely different from expected, like what republicans were expecting from the Maricopa county same day drop off votes earlier.