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liberalnarb

Profile Information

Gender: Male
Hometown: Narberth,PA
Home country: USA
Current location: Narberth
Member since: Wed Nov 25, 2015, 06:49 PM
Number of posts: 4,242

About Me

Real name: John

Journal Archives

What a fucking asshole! Kelly calls Senator Warren "Impolite Arrogant Woman"

(Brazilian Election) Could Bolsonaro be defeated in Round 2?

I'm not familiar with the inner workings of Brazilian politics or the psychology of Brazilian voters, but I have been following their recent election and from a pure numbers standpoint, Haddad of the Workers Party (PT) may be able to defeat Bolsonaro the far right candidate in the second round on October 28th. If Haddad manages to gain the votes of those who voted for minor parties on the left and center he could beat Bolsonaro by a slim margin.

According to Reuters, Fernando Haddad received 29.3% (or 31,341,840 votes) of the vote to Bolsonaro's 46% (or 49,275,360 votes) of the vote in the first round of the Brazilian Presidential Election. Ciro Gomes was the candidate of the Democratic Labour Party and came in 3rd place with 12.5% (or 13,344,074). Supporters of Gomes' Party would be much more likely to support Haddad over Bolsonaro in the upcoming two way race of the second round. With Gomes votes Haddad would receive 44,685,914 votes. Still not more than Bolsonaro's total, but I'll continue. Operating on the assumption that Haddad could receive the votes of those who cast their ballots for minor left wing parties in the first round, he would receive the votes of supporters of the Sustainability Network candidate Marina Silva, who received 1,069,538 votes. This would land him with 45,755,452 votes. Add to that the center-left PODEMOS' tally of 859,575 votes along with the votes of the Socialism and Liberty Party and The Unified Workers Socialist Party and Haddad receives 47,287,900 votes. However, if we are operating on the assumption that the votes of left wing minor parties will go to Haddad, we also must assume the Bolsonaro will receive the votes of the far-right Patriota Party, handing him 50,623,677 votes, still a far right victory. But there are also centrist parties that haven't yet been considered. If they vote along the lines of their ideological tendencies (center-right/center-left) those numbers make a big difference. Assuming center/center-left parties' votes go to Fernando Haddad, he would garner the votes of the PSDB and the MDB, giving him 53,673,118 votes. Assuming center right voters support Bolsonaro, he would receive the votes of the DC and NOVO giving him a tally of 53,344,981, losing by 328,137. This may be wishful thinking, considering Brazil may have their own version of 'Bernie or Bust' but it could happen if the Left unites.

Ray of light on a dark day...



Seeing this huge sign while going for a run certainly brightened my day.

Burn in hell Susan Collins.

You revolting deceitful pile of shit. Any Democrat that voted for Collins after falling for her "Pro Choice Republican" scheme should remember today.

Republican Operative: "What 17 year old hasn't done this?" - Kavanaugh accusations



These people are truly sick in the head.

Saw President Obama in Philly Tonight!!

Got real close and got some good pics



Anyone who still trash talks Collin Kaepernick, or questions why he kneels, can f**k themselves.

The attempt by the Dallas PD to demonize Botham Jean, the 26 year old black man who was shot to death in his own home by Dallas Police Officer Amber Guyger, should make it clear to everyone why it is that Colin Kaepernick and others who follow his lead take a knee. It is blatantly obvious the American "justice" system, particularly the police dept, is deeply racist and corrupt (Although it should have been abundantly clear when police officers slaughtered a 12 year old that was playing in a park). There is no doubt that had the victim been someone like me, a fair skinned, blond haired white guy, they would not receive the same treatment. Then again, if Jean had looked like me, Guyger wouldn't have shot him, she's a racist who posted bigoted anti-Kaepernick memes on social media, there are also pictures online of her and her family flashing white supremacist hand signals and wearing "all lives matter" clothing. The idea that people are trying to demonize a murder victim days after his dead is sickening beyond belief.

Jim Carrey (Real Time w/Bill Maher)

So proud to see such forward-thinking, Progressive Dems rising to leadership in our Party.



GOTV in 2018, we can do this! These wonderful candidates are keeping me optimistic about the future. Congratulations to the next generation of Dem Governors.

Democrats Reject Fossil Fuel Money and Super Delegates, DNC Chair Tom Perez Frustrated By Rumors



DEMOCRATS 2018!
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