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Member since: Sat Jan 5, 2008, 08:45 PM
Number of posts: 44,429

Journal Archives

Go here to say "hi" to those who feel that Congressman Lamb is not a real Democrat

Use this service to say "Hi" or "fuck off" to those who think that Lamb is too conservative to be a Democrat

Inspired by pnwmom's thread about Lamb


VF Breaking: TRUMP IS GOING FOR A CLEAN RESET Kelly, McMaster, Jivanka all out


The president will meet with potential chief-of-staff candidates at Mar-a-Lago next weekend. McMaster is likely next to go. Then Jivanka.

Even before he decided to launch a trade war and roll the nuclear dice by agreeing in the course of a West Wing afternoon to a risky sit-down with Kim Jong Un, Donald Trump was telling friends he was tired of being reined in. “I’m doing great, but I’m getting all these bad headlines,” Trump told a friend recently. A Republican in frequent contact with the White House told me Trump is “frustrated by all these people telling him what to do.”

With the departures of Hope Hicks and Gary Cohn, the Trump presidency is entering a new phase—one in which Trump is feeling liberated to act on his impulses. “Trump is in command. He’s been in the job more than a year now. He knows how the levers of power work. He doesn’t give a fuck,” the Republican said. Trump’s decision to circumvent the policy process and impose tariffs on imported steel and aluminum reflects his emboldened desire to follow his impulses and defy his advisers. “It was like a fuck-you to Kelly,” a Trump friend said. “Trump is red-hot about Kelly trying to control him.”

According to five Republicans close to the White House, Trump has diagnosed the problem as having the wrong team around him and is looking to replace his senior staff in the coming weeks. “Trump is going for a clean reset, but he needs to do it in a way that’s systemic so it doesn’t look like it’s chaos,” one Republican said.

Sources said that the first officials to go will be Chief of Staff John Kelly and National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster, both of whom Trump has clashed with for months. On Tuesday, Trump met with John Bolton in the Oval Office. When he plans to visit Mar-a-Lago next weekend, Trump is expected to interview more candidates for both positions, according to two sources. “He’s going for a clean slate,” one source said. Cohn had been lobbying to replace Kelly as chief, two sources said, and quit when he didn’t get the job. “Trump laughed at Gary when he brought it up,” one outside adviser to the White House said. (The White House declined to comment.) Next on the departure list are Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump. Trump remains fiercely loyal to his family, but various distractions have eroded their efficacy within the administration.

Things are about to get very Stormy.

So with all of the official "babysitters" leaving what could go wrong?

More chaos, chaos all the time. Pure idiocy.

2 Grandiose Surprise Actions n 2 days, Trump knows Mueller has the goods.

The surprise moves on Tariffs and North Korea in 2 days coming right after the revelations that Eric Prince actions as Trump negotiator meeting with Putin banker in the Seychelles can mean only one thing:

Trump knows that Mueller has the evidence to prove collusion.

On top of that his lawyer's inability to keep Stormy Daniels off the front page has created a perfect storm where the President of the United States wakes up every morning with only one thing on his mind: What outlandish grandiose action can he take that will suck all of the oxygen out of the media.

Expect more big moves, some of which like the NK move may appear to appease Democrats. Perhaps he will do an executive action on DACA or background checks, anything that will keep people's attention away from the damning facts of his crimes and illicit behavior.

On top of this Trump is desperate to push Saccone to victory in the PA special election


Tuesday’s special election, which is being held in a district President Donald Trump won by 20 percentage points, has emerged as the latest testing ground of whether Republicans are headed for a midterm bloodbath. A loss would be wholly embarrassing, many Republicans privately acknowledge, given that it would take place in a state that Trump made a cornerstone of his 2016 victory. And the themes that the GOP has highlighted in the special election — namely tax cuts and opposition to House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi — are the centerpieces of the party’s 2018 campaign plan.

But as election day grows closer, the national GOP is increasingly pinning the blame on Saccone. In interviews with nearly two dozen administration officials, senior House Republicans and top party strategists, Saccone was nearly universally panned as a deeply underwhelming candidate who leaned excessively on the national party to execute a massive, multimillion-dollar rescue effort. It was complete with visits from the president, vice president and several Cabinet members.

They describe a candidate who largely ignored pleas to raise the money he needed, who blindsided the White House and the national party with his choice of a political strategist, and whose amateur-style social media feed included low-quality videos of him at a local bar and yukking it up with Santa. To make matters worse, Saccone is up against a Democratic rival the party could hardly have engineered had it tried: Conor Lamb, an Ivy League-educated 33-year-old Marine veteran and former federal prosecutor.

. . .

Particularly concerning, they say, is the fact that the millions of dollars Republicans have spent — much of it highlighting the GOP tax cuts and attempting to tie Lamb to Pelosi — has failed to move the needle.

Trump is growing more erratic by the hour. You can smell the desperation in the air. A Prince indictment is likely to push him over the edge.

Kushner loans story will bring the whole Trump enterprise down faster than anything else

Detailed and accurate stories about Kushner meeting with business people on policy issues and piggy backing $ 500 million in loans in the White House is going to have devastating impact on the whole Trump enterprise that will cause almost instant pressure on the Trump/Kushner enterprises which have nothing to do with either the political or legal quicksand that he is in.

If you remember back to the Trump-Clinton debates there was an instance when Secretary Clinton listed 5 different problems with Trump going to the White House and one of them was that he was way over leveraged and in financial trouble. When Trump had the opportunity to respond he repeated five times "I am not over leveraged, I am not over leveraged, I am not overleveraged". As everyone now knows Trump has an obvious tell and that is when he is really worried about the truth of a charge against him he will state the opposite and repeat; "I am very smart, I am very smart, I am very smart" or "no collusion, no collusion, no collusion".

So we know that he has a massive liquidity or cash flow problem.

We have known this for some time when we learned that Eric said, we don't need American loans we get all we need from Russia, or the fact that the Deutsche Bank is their main lender. They can't get lower interest loans from American banks.

The reporting on these loans isn't going to just cause problems for Trump/Kushner it is going to bring glaring spotlight on to the bankers. Bankers don't like spotlights. They don't like grand juries.

The New York Attorney General will probably beat Mueller on getting the bankers before a grand jury.

Here is the immediate problem that Kushner/Trump will now face:

There isn't a US banker that will be the least bit interested in talking with them now with this level of scrutiny. The good ethical bankers wont be interested in these corrupt personalities and the bad bankers will absolutely not come forward because they won't want subpoenas that will force them to open their books and create additional exposure.

It is widely reported that Kushner is upside down on the 666 W 5th Ave property and has an immediate payment of $ 1.2 billion that needs to be paid.

The collapse of Trump/Kushner financial liquidity will strike into the heart of their operations much faster than the political or legal machines that are marching against him.

And that is why Sessions and Rosenstein are sporting such wide grins tonight:

By the way, Papadopoulos Russian handler, Joseph Mifsud, has "vanished"


The "cut out" from Russia who met with Papadopoulos to offer "dirt on Hillary Clinton"

Very detailed report at Buzzfeed including screen shots texts from Mifsud


Amid the opportunists, weirdos, trolls, and pawns who make up the cast of the Russian plot to interfere in American politics, Joseph Mifsud stands out.

The Maltese professor, who allegedly delivered word of Hillary Clinton’s stolen emails to Donald Trump's campaign, is an authentically mysterious figure, his true role and ties to Russian intelligence unclear.
. . .

Neither can Anna, his 31-year-old Ukrainian fiancé, who says he is the father of her newborn child. And her story, snatched from the pages of a John le Carré novel, offers a glimpse at the human collateral damage of an intelligence operation in which the mysterious Mifsud was allegedly a central figure.

Anna, whom BuzzFeed News has agreed to identify only by her first name because she doesn’t want the attention, says she was seven months pregnant and engaged to Mifsud when he became the focus of world media attention as the professor who told Papadopoulos that Russia had “dirt” on Clinton. Shortly thereafter, he dropped from sight. He also cut off all contact with Anna, including phone calls and WhatsApp messages. That silence has held, even six weeks after the daughter Anna says he fathered was born. “He never helped me,” she said. “Only talk and promises.”
. . .

Now, however, feeling deceived, she’s changed her mind. The result is new information about Mifsud’s activities, including his claim of having dined with Sergey Lavrov, Russia’s foreign minister. “He said, ‘I have dinner with Lavrov tonight. Lavrov is my friend. Lavrov this, Lavrov that,’” Anna said. “He even show me picture with Lavrov.” Russia’s Foreign Ministry didn’t respond to a request for comment.

Fascinating story by the student newspaper where he "taught"


You think that Russian intelligence would have provided a better name than Mifsud, lol.

The Trump Conundrum


a confusing and difficult problem or question.
"one of the most difficult conundrums for the experts"

a question asked for amusement, typically one with a pun in its answer; a riddle.
synonyms: riddle, puzzle, word game; informalbrainteaser

Is he a intelligent but not very well educated person who has a basic evil intent and is clever at hitting the hot button of the vile?


Is he an idiot with less brains than God gave a grapefruit?

And no "both" is not an acceptable answer.

I have several friends who play this game on a daily basis and we have been asking this question for the past two years. It isn't as easy as it looks, the analysis can run very deep and it is not at all unusual for people playing the "Trump Conundrum Game" to switch from the former to the latter on a daily basis, if not several times during the day.

I normally tend to the former answer. Today has pushed me into the "less brains than God gave a grapefruit" camp and I may never leave it.

The "I would have run in without a gun" statement has no real upside to it, he is reminding everyone of a problem that he has no solution to it. Even if you are a Trumpster and believe that nonsense to be true you still don't have an answer because he isn't going to spend time outside schools so even his base isn't going to feel good about it. It shows how really out of touch and delusional he is, the guy who nearly fainted at the site of blood running into a violent lethal situation with only his vulgarity to defend him.

That is not the critical factor in deciding the "evil vs. idiocy" question however. He didn't shout it in front gym filled with of his normal sycophantic beer guzzling "Friends of Fox" flat earthers, he said it in front of a gathering of the country's governors, none of whom were likely to accept any part of what he was saying as tethered to a rational point in the universe.

He is not only delusional with fantasies of grandeur, he can't focus on what room he is in.

Today we are back at the "less brains than large citric fruit" camp and may never leave it.

The family who took him in.

CNN is reporting that the shooter who had been orphaned twice was taken in by a family who opened their home to take in someone that wasn't doing well.


The family took Cruz in last year after his adoptive mother died. Cruz was depressed, Lewis said. The family's son knew Cruz, so they opened their home, got him into a GED class and helped him get a job at a Dollar Tree store, the lawyer said.

. . .

Cruz had a gun. The family knew that, but they had established rules. He had to keep it in a lockbox in his room. Cruz had the key to the lockbox, the attorney said.

"This family did what they thought was right, which was take in a troubled kid and try to help him, and that doesn't mean he can't bring his stuff into their house. They had it locked up and believed that that was going to be sufficient, that there wasn't going to be a problem. Nobody saw this kind of aggression or motive in this kid, that he would ever do anything like this," Lewis said.

. . .

His host family knew nothing of his social media activity, Lewis said.

"They're not social media people. They're parents. They're just not that kind of folks. And he's an adult, and they tried to help him. But did they check up on him and follow him every minute of every day? They didn't, because they didn't see any of the signs that would indicate that there was anything really amiss, that he was capable of something violent," he said.

A good deed never goes unpunished and in this case this family will suffer for years. Ours is a throwaway society and we throw away families, children, women, vets or anyone when they no longer fit. Hillary was right that it takes a village to raise a child and when that village gets infected by the aggressive Ayn Rand philosophy of the far right Republican party it comes down to individual families doing heroic things.

Even before the victims were identified harsh sentiments were raining down on the "parents" who enabled this shooter, except that his parents have been long dead and the single mother who adopted him died of flu/pneumonia in November. Even on DU judgements were being made. Even if they had not allowed him to bring the guns into the house he would have easily found a place to store them.

The family who took him in appeared to be an example of the best of us and today, with the rest of the shooter's victims I think about the kindness of the family who took him in and all of the abuse that they will have to endure on top of their own sadness.

All I can say is thank you for the kindness that you showed him.

Who is really behind the leaks, an alternate theory

Trump announces a path for citizenship and arrives in Switzerland to glorify among the world's elite . . .

except that when he lands the only story is that he had eliminated his "I didn't know this was bad" defense because last June he tried to fire Mueller and was cock blocked by the WH Counsel. It makes look weak, stupid, careless and guilty.

Now the working presumption is that the Republican Party is both stupid and evil. What if they are evil but not stupid.

It is rather remarkable that every single time that Trump gets on a plane and goes somewhere, Saudi Arabia or China for example, there is a very serious leak and it undermines Trump's news cycle when he should be getting good press, if he didn't do stupid things like grab an orb in SA.

Next week the whole dynamics of the Republican Party will change with Romney's announcement that he will be a candidate in Utah's Senate race. Preliminary indications are that he will win in a super landslide, 70%. He will steal the winning aurora and present a scandal free (both personal, business and as Governor) alternative to Trump.

Perhaps there is an inner circle of Republicans who know enough about what is happening in the WH to know that Trump's fall is inevitable and that within 6 months Trump will be forced to resign. Pence appoints Romney to VP and Pence leaves to a huge payoff leaving Romney as the President and he brings back Ryan as his VP.

Ryan is awfully quiet and composed for a guy whose House is burning to the ground around him. This would give the Republicans a fresh face and significantly reduce losses in the House and provide what is needed for the Republicans to keep the Senate.

Romney does a deal on DACA and other broadly popular ideas. The move for the wall is replaced by improving technological advances to improve border security measures. The most powerful argument for the Democrats; "We aren't crazy and we aren't Trump" is eliminated and the Republicans will have a more even playing field for the off year elections.

There will also be a honeymoon period for Romney. He will be welcomed abroad. We will return to the climate treaty. All of our allies will rush their leaders here to praise the change.

I have no proof of any of this of course. This is what I would do if I was in the Republican inner circle.

Of course the first thing I would do is to keep Trump off balance. Every time he gets on a plane I would make sure that there was a crippling leak that would undermine his whole Presidency.

Just saying that is what I would do if I was in their shoes and wanted to pull their party over the greatest disaster they faced since Nixon. The leaks against Trump, both when he gets on a plane and the inevitable Friday night bombshell that will dominate the Sunday shows sure seems to fit a pattern.

Gallup: Trump first year breaks records for low support, weekly shows 3% decline in Jan.

Gallup has released their weekly Presidential Job Approval showing that after a brief uptick Trump's disapproval is heading north and his disapproval is heading south.

In Feb 2017 Trump's approval was 45 and his disapproval was 47. Today his approval is 36 and his disapproval is 59 so that the gap went from - 2 to - 23.


When it comes to his first year no President comes close to trump


WASHINGTON, D.C. -- President Donald Trump's job approval rating averaged 38.4% during his first year in office -- slightly more than 10 percentage points lower than any other elected president's first-year average. Bill Clinton is the only other president who was below 50% in his first year. All others were 57% or higher, with six of the 10 presidents elected since World War II averaging 60% or better in their first year.

Flake's speech is important

We don't have to like Flake's legislative record to understand, and cheer, his latest speech.


It is important, and beneficial for three reasons:

1) It is obvious that he is putting down a marker for leadership in a post Trump Republican Party and that is also not an inherently bad thing because it is based on the premise that Trump will have to crash and burn before they can rebuild it.

2) Impeachment can be done with a majority of the House but it takes 2/3 for removal. President's aren't removed because they committed a crime, Reagan clearly broke the law with Iran/Contra. Removal of office is a political act and it cannot be done by a single party. It doesn't have to be unanimous but a significant number of the President's party must agree.

Flake makes the strongest case for Republicans to abandon the President because he bases it on a clear attack on First Amendment issues and attacks on basic American values of supporting a free and independent press. We will need more like this but getting the first Republican to stand up and call Trump a neo-Stalinist is a good first step.

3) It puts Republicans in the crucible. He is giving Democrats valuable footage for ads in November that will make the case that opposition to the President is a bipartisan affair and it gives cover for those Republicans who are looking for an excuse to vote for the Democrat.

AZ is clearly one of those places where it will make a difference. Trump didn't even get a majority here. He won with less than 4% of the vote and less than 100,000 votes. His speech was carefully crafted to pull on the heartstrings of Mormons. There are 400,000 Mormons in AZ.

More importantly it will force Republican candidates to answer questions whether or not they agree with Flake's speech. In the Congressional campaign season I expect that you will get some favourable Republican responses. More importantly it will drive many Republican candidates further to the right in the primary and sabotage their GE campaigns chances of winning.

In AZ McSally is the likely Republican Senatorial candidate but she is currently only polling at 31%


In order to win the primary she will have to be anti Flake and pro Trump. That may get her on to the GE ballot but it will likely be the difference in her being able to win in the GE. If she were to run a campaign based on "I am an independent" she might win, she is a good campaigner. Jeff Flake just did everything he could to force her to a pro-Trump position in a way that will undermine her GE chances.

It is possible that his speech will force other Republican primary candidates to have to answer tough questions that will make them more Trump for the primary and less electable in the general. If McSally loses by a small percentage and a Democrat takes his seat then his speech are likely to be the difference.
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