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Gender: Male
Hometown: Detroit Area, MI
Home country: USA
Current location: San Francisco, CA
Member since: Wed Oct 29, 2008, 02:53 PM
Number of posts: 21,327

About Me

Partner, father and liberal Democrat. I am a native Michigander living in San Francisco who is a citizen of the world.

Journal Archives

Jon Raltson NV early voting update for 10.21.18

Dems won Clark by only 44 percent to 37 percent in big 24,000-voter turnout on Day Two ó added 1,500 votes to their margin in the South, but well under reg advantage of 13 percent. Margin in Clark is now 6,000 ó 5,500 if you include absentees.

On Day Two four years ago, the GOP actually edged the Dems in Clark, signaling the deepening red wave. Turnout was only 7.500.

It was even after two days in 2014. The Dems were never able to build any kind of firewall in Clark, as they are attempting to do this cycle.

So not as robust a day as Saturday for the Dems, who were 2 points above their registration while the Republicans were 8 points above theirs.

Overall, Dems have a 43-35 lead in Clark in early voting, so Dems are 1 point above reg and Republicans are 6 points above theirs. Thatís why the Dems focus so much on voter reg in the South ó they know the Republicans will have a turnout advantage, so they can only build a lead if they have many more Dems.

In the urban counties, the Dems now have about a 6,500-plus voter advantage counting absentees. About 11,500 non-major party voters have cast ballots.

More details in the morning, but still too early to see a trend. Barack Obama is in Vegas at UNLV to try to juice turnout.

10/21/18, 7:20 PM

Washoe is in for Day Two with another double-digit win for Dems. Four years ago, the GOP had a 10-point lead after two days. With mail, the Dems have a 900-vote lead, or 6 percent. (Reminder that the GOP has 2 percent registration edge in Washoe.)


Tonight's Clark County (NV) Update


Jon Ralston

Following Following @RalstonReports
Dems won Clark again Sunday, but by much less than registration advantage: 10,434-8,804.That's 44 percent to 37 percent, only about half of what reg lead is. Nearly 24,000 voted. Clark lead now at 6,000 voters.
11:08 PM - 21 Oct 2018

Donations for 10.22.18

Andrew Gillum, FL-GOV

Leslie Cockburn, VA-05
Elaine Luria, VA-02

Open Thread: Info needed on rides to polling places

Iíve seen several DUers mention needing rides to the polls. Please use this thread to post information on transportation assistance to voting places on or before Election Day. Thanks.

Bonus Tweet of the Day


Small but encouraging news from New Mexico


Amy Siskind

Verified account

Following Following @Amy_Siskind
Early voting Bernalillo County, NM. In 2016 early votes were 42% Republicans and 39% Democrats. In 2018:

40,445 democrats
23,729 Republicans
7,895 with no party affiliation
311 Libertarians

Early voting begins tomorrow in AK, AR, FL, ID, MA and TX. Have you made your plan to vote?

Make a plan as to where, when and how you plan to vote and do it. Good luck out there.

FL-GOV: People are camping out tonight in Florida to vote for Andrew Gillum tomorrow morning.


Marc Caputo

Verified account

Following Following @MarcACaputo
Marc Caputo Retweeted Marlon A. Hill
A few dozen Gillum supporters are camped out in front of a Miami library so they can be the first to early vote at the polls tomorrow.

FL-GOV: Andrew Gillum's amazing closing remarks.




Fun Boy Three - The Lunatics Have Taken Over the Asylum (VIDEO)

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