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Loki Liesmith

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Member since: Thu May 26, 2016, 09:07 AM
Number of posts: 1,484

About Me

God of lies. Like math.

Journal Archives

Ossoff lost because he is a Democrat.

That's it, really. I don't think there is any other reason. The one thing that unites most Republicans, well, it isn't tax policy. And it isn't racial resentment. It isn't even hating "the gays".

It's that they like to see Democrats lose. It's a trip for them. The idea that Democrats might celebrate, might be on top for once, is too much for many of them to tolerate.

See this link for more.

Oh, and this tweetstorm, https://twitter.com/JoyAnnReid/status/877362133855371264 makes a related point.
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Tue Jun 20, 2017, 11:26 PM (22 replies)

GLOMAR count?

It will be most interesting to see how many times Comey gives a GLOMAR response.

I can't watch or I'd keep a tally.
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Mon Mar 20, 2017, 10:26 AM (4 replies)

Was Roger Stone in touch with Guccifer 2.0?

This article is very interesting.

In late-August, TSG asked “Guccifer 2.0” about contact with Stone. After wondering, “why r u asking?,” “Guccifer 2.0” then accused TSG of receiving reportorial guidance from federal investigators: “the fbi’s tracing me, reading my dm [direct messages] and giving u hints. no?” When further pressed, “Guccifer 2.0” said, “i won’t comment on my conversations with other ppl.” The self-professed “freedom fighter” added, “why r u so interested in stone? he’s just a person who wrote a story about me. or i don’t know some important stuff?”

Posted by Loki Liesmith | Thu Mar 9, 2017, 02:21 AM (2 replies)

FBI ‘Granted FISA Warrant’ Covering Trump Camp’s Ties To Russia (including server)

The FISA warrant was granted in connection to investigate suspected activity between the server and two banks, SVB Bank and Alfa Bank. However, it is thought in the intelligence community that the warrant covers any ‘US person’ connected to this investigation, and thus covers Donald Trump and at least three further men who have either formed part of his campaign or acted as his media surrogates. The warrant was sought, they say, because actionable intelligence on the matter provided by friendly foreign agencies could not properly be examined without a warrant by US intelligence as it involves ‘US Persons’ who come under the remit of the FBI and not the CIA. Should a counter-intelligence investigation lead to criminal prosecutions, sources say, the Justice Department is concerned that the chain of evidence have a basis in a clear warrant.


(cutting it a bit close guys)
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Mon Nov 7, 2016, 11:32 PM (21 replies)

Anyone got any new polling data for Michigan?

That state is impoverished for polls...
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Mon Nov 7, 2016, 01:11 PM (2 replies)

Monmouth National Poll (4 way): C50 T44

BREAKING: National likely voters

HRC 50
DJT 44
GJ 4
JS 1
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Mon Nov 7, 2016, 12:03 PM (0 replies)

Hidden vote: women.

A thought that occurred to me while reading some commentary on polilng. What does the early vote look like with women compared to 2012. If anyone has that data, it would be interesting to share.

It's possible that a "hidden women vote" can in part counteract any "hidden white vote" (which as likely as not does not actually exist).
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Mon Nov 7, 2016, 10:24 AM (4 replies)

I think we have this locked down folks

Mostly I just want this called early. Florida or NC, come through...I need my sleep.

The only possible way don't win is if we are somehow not polling enough poor whites. I think the analysis of this heretofore has been pretty sound, though.
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Mon Nov 7, 2016, 10:15 AM (4 replies)
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