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Loki Liesmith

Profile Information

Member since: Thu May 26, 2016, 09:07 AM
Number of posts: 2,434

About Me

God of lies. Like math.

Journal Archives

The polls haven't moved for many, many weeks

Far too many people here look at individual polls. Look at the average:



It swings up and down but the trend has been a strong Dem lead for a long time.
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Wed May 9, 2018, 05:10 PM (3 replies)

Why do so few users here not understand that single polls don't mean much?

Itís the poll average that matters. Donít people get that yet?
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Sat May 5, 2018, 10:33 PM (8 replies)

Heads up for a potentially interesting event

Pay attention to @VickerySec on twitter over the next few hours.

It might be nothing. But there are ďrumors on the internet.Ē
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Mon Mar 26, 2018, 11:48 AM (23 replies)

Trump Campaign Laundered 130K thru Trump Org and then to Cohen

https://twitter.com/theviewfromll2/status/972169650535653376?s=21
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Fri Mar 9, 2018, 02:46 PM (47 replies)

Trump has been invited to meet Kim Jong Un

He will accept.


This is a terrible idea and a trap.

https://twitter.com/jengriffinfnc/status/971887659315613696?s=21
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Thu Mar 8, 2018, 07:40 PM (33 replies)

OK SD27 is looking at a 40 pt Dem swing

We wonít win but itís gone from +73R on e-day to around +33R tonight with 48% precincts reporting.
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Tue Feb 13, 2018, 09:52 PM (4 replies)

Its pretty easy to prevent a military parade from moving

5000 people would have a much easier time than Tankman

Posted by Loki Liesmith | Tue Feb 6, 2018, 09:46 PM (11 replies)

Crazy theory: Gowdy told Schiff

That Nunes altered his memo.

God I hope this is true.
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Thu Feb 1, 2018, 12:04 AM (14 replies)

Suspect that Wray found something in memo

That was actionable against McCabe.

Could be nefarious on a Wrayís part, or McCabeís part or simply misleading enough to cause the FBI headaches.

(On edit Since some people canít suss out these several options here they are in detail)


Iíll clarify the options for your benefit

1) Itís possible Wray is a bad actor.
2) Itís possible McCabe is a bad actor. If so itís probably a paper handling level error but one the Rs can demogogue. Have to acknowledge the possibility
3) Itís also possible that entirely disingenuous allegations are more trouble than its worth for the FBI.
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Mon Jan 29, 2018, 03:41 PM (44 replies)

The "deal": Not terrific, but could be worse. Taking CHIP off the table is not nothing

Think of this has a hostage negotiation. There were two hostages, CHIP and DACA. One hostage is now freed.

We haven't WON. But we are in a slightly better negotiating position than we were 24 hours ago.


Of course McConnell will renege somehow on the DACA vote. And DACA's chances in the House were always slim.
But we have two weeks to make our political case on this.
Posted by Loki Liesmith | Mon Jan 22, 2018, 02:01 PM (4 replies)
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