Democratic Primaries

MineralMan

(146,288 posts)

11. Additional votes will be coming from the rest of the field as well.

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 11:37 AM

Nov 2019

How they get distributed is going to make a big difference. On the other hand, the undecided vote is also going to play a large role. Once the first primaries are done, people are going to have to make up their minds, and things are going to shift around.

Warren is probably going to have a lock on the so-called progressive voters, once people figure out that Bernie Sanders is falling out of contention. Where the undecideds and the supporters of minor candidates go will be the deciding factor, no doubt. By Super Tuesday, it's going to be a two-person contest, with Sanders hanging in there by his fingernails, I think.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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In some of the latest state primary polling, [View all] MineralMan Nov 2019 OP

so does Illinois, Ohio and Pennsylvania beachbumbob Nov 2019 #1

True. Polls are interesting, but not all that good at making MineralMan Nov 2019 #3

Wouldn't worry too much about individual state polling beyond the first few primary states right now HerbChestnut Nov 2019 #2

Yes, that's the conventional wisdom MineralMan Nov 2019 #4

I think Sanders gets it. beastie boy Nov 2019 #5

Sanders is hovering around that 15% number. MineralMan Nov 2019 #7

This is where Warren comes in. beastie boy Nov 2019 #9

Additional votes will be coming from the rest of the field as well. MineralMan Nov 2019 #11

I love the down play of Iowa & NH LeftTurn3623 Nov 2019 #6

That's the conventional wisdom, for sure. MineralMan Nov 2019 #8

I don't think Biden runs the risk of falling below 15% beastie boy Nov 2019 #10

That seems unlikely, doesn't it? MineralMan Nov 2019 #12

Supporters of other candidates will do the same when Biden wins in the south BannonsLiver Nov 2019 #13

The 15% rule may keep sanders from getting any delegates in South Carolina Gothmog Nov 2019 #14

Yes, that seems likely to me. MineralMan Nov 2019 #15

Great news! Thanks very much for sharing. NurseJackie Nov 2019 #16