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caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
2. You don't understand the math.
Fri Jun 8, 2012, 04:26 AM
Jun 2012

"Walker winning by 7%, with only 21% of the votes counted and three counties still voting. In other words that 21% was the equivalent of 57% of the total vote. This is mathematically impossible; clearly the unadjusted exit polls in Wisconsin do not match the reported results, the adjusted results, of the popular vote."


No, 21% was not the equivalent of 57% of the total vote. You misunderstand what they were saying. By that time Walker had 57% of 21%. The percent of the total votes would be figured like this:

.57 x .21 = .12

Walker had 12% of the total vote. Barrett would have had 43% of 21% or

.43 x .21 = .09

Nine percent of the total vote. Therefore it was 12% to 9% of the total vote, for Walker at the time you cite. That's what was meant.

On your other proposition, even if the exit polls didn't match (there are some problems with exit polling) the results still matched every poll taken beforehand. They all said Walker either had the advantage or he was going to win. Some were within the margin of error, but I don't think there was one that said Barrett would be the clear winner.

That's not to say those voting machines aren't a real problem. Unfortunately, it's not a new problem. They have been talked about since 2002 at least, and nothing is being done about them.
They will get us to see "the Promised Land" one way or the other. I have utter secondwind Jun 2012 #1
You don't understand the math. caseymoz Jun 2012 #2
You know what this is like? Scootaloo Jun 2012 #3
I'm fascinated by your fascination whathehell Jun 2012 #10
Really? The concept of watching big history unfold doesn't fascinate you? Scootaloo Jun 2012 #26
Yes, but you seem to be missing the point whathehell Jun 2012 #27
Well, you didn't actually ask me that Scootaloo Jun 2012 #28
Try reading the post. whathehell Jun 2012 #29
No, in fact, you didn't Scootaloo Jun 2012 #30
Yes, in fact , I did, but maybe whathehell Jun 2012 #31
That's a statement of your own assumption Scootaloo Jun 2012 #32
"a statment of your own assumption"? whathehell Jun 2012 #34
"Command Central", eh? bleever Jun 2012 #4
OK, so what to do about it? AnnieK401 Jun 2012 #5
Vote with your money 12ZTR Jun 2012 #6
That's a great idea but around here that would mean basically not buying anything. AnnieK401 Jun 2012 #8
Talk to them Election integrity is not a partisan issue PolicalFodder Jun 2012 #17
Demand paper ballots. n/t roody Jun 2012 #9
What to do now Educate, Educate, Educate PolicalFodder Jun 2012 #16
The voting machine problem must be fixed before Nov. hue Jun 2012 #7
K&R'd. And note, it wasn't always the case that “in every election snot Jun 2012 #11
a question as a Wisconsin voter. mysuzuki2 Jun 2012 #12
Yes you can count the scanned votes PolicalFodder Jun 2012 #18
Meeting about the vote PolicalFodder Jun 2012 #20
No, there is no audit after the vote that is large enough to be representative. EFerrari Jun 2012 #23
It seems to me that it would be a good idea for a certain number mysuzuki2 Jun 2012 #24
A good audit has long been a goal of election reformers EFerrari Jun 2012 #25
Why does the GOP hate transparency? Blue Owl Jun 2012 #13
whatthehell PolicalFodder Jun 2012 #14
well stated. and Welcome to DU! NRaleighLiberal Jun 2012 #15
Thanks for the Welcome PolicalFodder Jun 2012 #19
Wisconsin should be proud! Wait Wut Jun 2012 #22
29 1000 Words Jun 2012 #21
All eyeballs on the private source code..... Before, during and after..... midnight Jun 2012 #33
exit polls are not reliable, but I would not put fraud past them. hrmjustin Jun 2012 #35
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