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In reply to the discussion: U.S. economy extends its hiring spree, with a better than expected 223,000 new jobs in May [View all]louis c
(8,652 posts)I am not concerned with the "soft" numbers in the approval and disapproval of Adolf Trump. Those will fluctuate.
He won in 2016 because of the huge enthusiasm gap in his favor between his supporters and ours (I'm assuming you're on our side, so I use the word ours).
The enthusiasm now has swung wildly to our side. In most polls the very favorable is 20 points behind the very unfavorable. That is why we are winning election after election since the November 2016 election of Donald Trump. Virginia, New Jersey, Alabama, Pennsylvania. In district after district. In state after state. Small races and large, the Democrats are running 10, 15 and 20 points ahead of Trump supported candidates, as compared to the Trump margin in 2016.
You keep reciting the "soft" numbers on Trump's approval rating (just like Hannity). The key number for an election is the enthusiasm gap. The hard numbers inside the poll. Compare the very favorable (love Trump) to the very unfavorable (hate Trump) and then you can see what I'm talking about and why the real elections prove my point.
To further prove my point, here is the most recent YouGov poll only 2 days old. Although there is only a gap of 6 points overall, the intensity number is 16 points. Elections are won and lost on that number.
Strongly approve 22%
Somewhat approve 20%
Somewhat disapprove 10%
Strongly disapprove 38%