Lots of votes out in Ohio Democratic counties

[Ms. Toad]

14. But it's not just a rural/uban shift (with the red rural votes coming in first)

This year there is also the early/election day shift - which was much larger in the opposite direction.

Overwhelmingly the early vote was strongly democratic. Probably less overwhelming - but heavily - the in person vote was Republican. In Ohio, the early vote is the first vote reported. rural comes second, then the remaining urban areas.

The difference this year is that the republican votes on election day for urban areas will be higher than the democratic votes on election day (or at least much closer than usual). In other words, the urban vote matters much less this year - because the part of it that matters most has already been counted.