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Fiendish Thingy

(15,606 posts)

14. One more factor:

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 05:37 PM

Oct 2020

8. The third wave surge of infections of predicted to crest right around Election Day; if the majority of Election Day voters are Trump supporters, this peak in the virus could suppress turnout and increase Biden’s margin.

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Prediction: Biden wins by a lot more than people are expecting [View all] Dr. Jack Oct 2020 OP

Well-written and well-thought out DonaldsRump Oct 2020 #1

trump will sue, appeal, refile, ad infinitum as he has done successfully kiri Oct 2020 #47

Not going to happen DonaldsRump Oct 2020 #48

Good-spirited DUers kiri Oct 2020 #54

Excellent analysis Dr. Jack! MaryMagdaline Oct 2020 #2

Your words to God's ears.... Sogo Oct 2020 #3

Agreed. I like your analysis, especially about the money. Nobody is backing Trump with $$$. nt Progressive Jones Oct 2020 #4

Could you please direct me to where Silver is saying that...? regnaD kciN Oct 2020 #5

It was in his podcast Dr. Jack Oct 2020 #10

Is this the podcast where he talked about "herding" DLCWIdem Oct 2020 #13

I want Joe to win the electoral votes. The popular vote is Joe's no doubt. peacebuzzard Oct 2020 #6

+ struggle4progress Oct 2020 #9

I hope it's the largest defeat to an incumbent in history. 2naSalit Oct 2020 #7

That's probably Taft in 1912 ironflange Oct 2020 #19

That's what I'm hoping for. A humiliating defeat for the moron. George II Oct 2020 #25

Agreed Sherman A1 Oct 2020 #28

Absolutely agreed. Couldn't have said it better. nt crickets Oct 2020 #49

That record will not likely be beaten fescuerescue Oct 2020 #56

Biden WILL BE my President. OrlandoDem2 Oct 2020 #8

Forgot to also mention election day turnout Dr. Jack Oct 2020 #11

When you consider that... 2naSalit Oct 2020 #41

The Infector-In-Chief Sugarcoated Oct 2020 #50

I'm not counting any chickens just yet. cwydro Oct 2020 #12

One more factor: Fiendish Thingy Oct 2020 #14

Turn around three times and spit nycbos Oct 2020 #15

Yes, never tempt the Sherman A1 Oct 2020 #26

nycbos.... Upthevibe Oct 2020 #45

Plausible for sure. triron Oct 2020 #16

Agree on everything but GOP turnout. BannonsLiver Oct 2020 #17

Great analysis. Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #18

Vote like he'll lose if you don't vote. KentuckyWoman Oct 2020 #20

A blow out of epic proportions is coming malaise Oct 2020 #21

I agree. But nobody should be taking it for granted. GOTV. captain queeg Oct 2020 #22

Even 538 says there is a 30% chance of a landslide. nt Quixote1818 Oct 2020 #23

What I find funny is that Trump's base doesn't believe the polls because of last time and so they Quixote1818 Oct 2020 #24

The prediction below was made Sat, April 11.this year..It says Trump will lose "ALL ELECTORAL VOTES" Stuart G Oct 2020 #27

Now that's putting it out there! NoRoadUntravelled Oct 2020 #35

I will not believe dump Meowmee Oct 2020 #29

Polling models don't account for voter suppression BainsBane Oct 2020 #30

Very well reasoned. NoRoadUntravelled Oct 2020 #31

I certainly hope so. warmfeet Oct 2020 #32

The street corner crowds are gone Loge23 Oct 2020 #33

I like your#7. One analyst said that it's the down ballot that reveals everything. Karadeniz Oct 2020 #34

I likewise think Biden/Harris will win... Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2020 #36

as long as Biden voters cast their ballots before election day AlexSFCA Oct 2020 #37

Thank you for this! Withywindle Oct 2020 #38

Yes! Very similar to what I observed... Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2020 #42

Obstacles include turnout, counting, litigating, leaving bucolic_frolic Oct 2020 #39

I think Trump's approval rating for the past four years has remained fairly steady Mr. Ected Oct 2020 #40

I'm lifted by your reasoning pandr32 Oct 2020 #43

I agree moose65 Oct 2020 #44

You Could Very Well be Right. Two Big Things That the Dems Got Wrong in 2016 Were: panfluteman Oct 2020 #46

Me too. Thank you. Joinfortmill Oct 2020 #51

I'm certainly hoping the polls are conservative this cycle Dem2 Oct 2020 #52

There is no James Comey to destroy his opponent this time. StevieM Oct 2020 #53

Yes, I've been saying pretty much the same thing Tom Rinaldo Oct 2020 #55

From your lips to God's ear Mtbar Oct 2020 #57