"Warning signs for Biden", NY Times Etzel. Saying republicans are out registering Democrats. [View all]

[still_one]

and that non-college white people will make this a very close election.

This was talked about on Morning Joe

"With 20 days to go, most signals favor Joe Biden, but the chain of events that delivered an Electoral College victory to Donald Trump in 2016 still hovers in the rearview mirror.

..........

"Here are some of the things causing anxiety among Democratic partisans, particularly political professionals.

One way to measure voter enthusiasm is to compare voter registration trends for each party. A Democratic strategist who closely follows the data on a day-to-day basis wrote in a privately circulated newsletter:

Since last week, the share of white non-college over 30 registrations in the battleground states has increased by 10 points compared to September 2016, and the Democratic margin dropped 10 points to just 6 points. And there are serious signs of political engagement by white non-college voters who had not cast ballots in previous elections."



https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/14/opinion/biden-trump-presidential-election.html

Are African American women support for Biden/Harris, less than was for Hillary?

The problem with this, and other horse race advocates is that they keep comparing this with 2016, and that not a valid comparison

There is no Comey this time. Those that refused to vote for Hillary and voted third party, are not there as they were in 2016.

Also, the polls for Biden have been consistent and better than they were for Hillary in 2016, and they seem to be discarding that also in their evaluation.

The biggest risk we have I believe, is not this suppossed non-college white people are out registering Democrats, but the active voter suppression the republicans are engaged in.

Latest Polls that this NY Times Piece implies are not accurate:

NH: Biden 51% trump 41% 500 LV +/- 4.4 points Boston Globe/Suffolk University
Georgia: Biden 51% trump 44% 1040 LV +/- 3 points Quinnipiac
North Carolina: Biden 46% trump 42% 627 LV +/- 4.5 points NY Times/SienaCollege
Ohio: Biden 48% trump 47% LV 1160 +/- 2.9 points Quinnipiac

NBC News/WSJ poll: Biden 53% trump 42% RV 1000 +/- 3.1 points
Demographic Breakdown:

Among the following voters:
Black: Biden 91% trump 4%
Latino: Biden 62% trump 26%
Women: Biden 60% trump 34%
Ages 18-24 Biden: 57% trump 34%
White With College: Biden 57% trump 38%
Seniors: Biden 54% trump 44%

White without college: Biden 38% trump 59%
Men: Biden 45% trump 50%
White: Biden 46% trump 50%

To me it looks like Women, African Americans, young people, Latinos, even Seniors are going to send trump and his thugs packing

I do not believe anyone Democrat is taking this election for granted. We are all aware of the problem with the electoral college