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jodymarie aimee

(3,975 posts) Mon Oct 15, 2018, 12:19 PM Oct 2018

On Election Day, Clinton had an 85% chance of winning...page 45 of FEAR.. [View all]

from FEAR page 45....

"On election nite, it was remarkable to watch the needle on the live forecast dial on the New Your Times website, which started out giving Clinton an 85% chance of winning...."

And DU ladies and gentlemen, this is why I WILL NEVER BELIEVE ANOTHER POLL as long as I live...

18 replies

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Highlight:

On Election Day, Clinton had an 85% chance of winning...page 45 of FEAR.. [View all] jodymarie aimee Oct 2018 OP

2016 Elections was stolen . . . Iliyah Oct 2018 #1

People keep ignoring that for some reason. triron Oct 2018 #16

Yes! edhopper Oct 2018 #18

85% chance of winning is a 15% chance of not winning jberryhill Oct 2018 #2

You talkin' to me? jodymarie aimee Oct 2018 #3

And 85 is less than 100 jberryhill Oct 2018 #4

winning means winning qazplm135 Oct 2018 #11

That's what a lot of people don't understand. bearsfootball516 Oct 2018 #5

people don't understand probability very well, which is why casinos make money marylandblue Oct 2018 #6

Most casinos Generic Brad Oct 2018 #10

Amen to the point you're making mtnsnake Oct 2018 #7

The national polls were right on, the state level polls were wrong and there's be little to no uponit7771 Oct 2018 #8

As others have said , it's about probability. JHan Oct 2018 #9

71.4% of winning at 538 andym Oct 2018 #12

People were insulted for posting Nates numbers. Nt USALiberal Oct 2018 #13

Undecided voters and 3rd party voters are difficult to predict. marylandblue Oct 2018 #14

I believe the polls but I don't believe the vote Power 2 the People Oct 2018 #15

Sam Wang of the PEC gave her 99% chance. triron Oct 2018 #17