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yallerdawg

yallerdawg's Journal
yallerdawg's Journal
November 16, 2016

Fact Checker: Trumps claim that 2 million or 3 million criminal aliens are here illegally

Three Pinocchios

From: http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/fact-checker-trump%e2%80%99s-claim-that-2-million-or-3-million-criminal-aliens-are-%e2%80%98here-illegally%e2%80%99/ar-AAkiYNt?li=BBnb7Kz&OCID=HPDHP

“The facts just don’t support that [claim]. We know that there are close to 2 million — 1.9 million, precisely — and they are the whole universe of foreign born people” who are convicted of crimes, said Muzaffar Chishti, director of Migration Policy Institute’s office at the New York University School of Law.

The exact number of illegally present noncitizens within that 1.9 million figure is unclear. Calculations by the Migration Policy Institute, a think tank that doesn’t take positions on immigration legislation, show about 820,000 (43 percent) of the 1.9 million are unauthorized immigrants with criminal convictions.

Throughout his campaign, Trump relied on analysis by the Center for Immigration Studies, an immigration-restriction organization that seeks to limit both illegal and legal immigration. The group is among three organizations that “stand at the nexus of the American nativist movement” and have ties to John Tanton, who helped found the group and whom the Southern Poverty Law Center described as “a man known for his racist statements about Latinos, his decades-long flirtation with white nationalists and Holocaust deniers, and his publication of ugly racist materials.” The Center for Immigration Studies has challenged SPLC’s descriptions of Tanton.

If Trump isn't a racist, nativist pig he sure wallows in the same pen.
November 16, 2016

Democrats swallowed these two giant myths and it cost them the election

'Cause this done got on my last nerve already.

Source: Raw Story, November 14, 2016, Kurt Eichenwald, posted with permission from Newsweek

1. The Myth of the All-Powerful Democratic National Committee

Easily the most ridiculous argument this year was that the DNC was some sort of monolith that orchestrated the nomination of Hillary Clinton against the will of “the people...” Much more at link.

2. The Myth That Sanders Would Have Won Against Trump

It is impossible to say what would have happened under a fictional scenario, but Sanders’ supporters often dangle polls from early summer showing he would have performed better than Clinton against Trump. They ignored the fact that Sanders had not yet faced a real campaign against him. Clinton was in the delicate position of dealing with a large portion of voters who treated Sanders more like the Messiah than just another candidate. She was playing the long game—attacking Sanders strongly enough to win, but gently enough to avoid alienating his supporters. Given her overwhelming support from communities of color—for example, about 70 percent of African American voters cast their ballot for her—Clinton had a firewall that would be difficult for Sanders to breach. Much, much more at link.

http://www.rawstory.com/2016/11/democrats-swallowed-these-two-giant-myths-and-it-cost-them-the-election/

Kurt Eichenwald sums it up why "some Democrats" who should have didn't vote for Hillary.

"And that's all I've got to say about that."
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November 7, 2016

Honesty, RIP: Facts take a beating across US

Source: AP, by Matt Sedensky

It isn't just a presidential race in which Donald Trump has climbed new fact-bending heights while branding opponent Hillary Clinton "crooked" or "lying." Increasingly today, realities seem open to interpretation, and blatant mistruths proliferate.

"There's a profound doubt in this country about the importance of expertise, knowledge, things like that," said Ohio University professor Kevin Mattson. "Trump has just drawn that out to its logical extreme conclusion."

"The belief is that there is no objective truth — if we want something to be real, then it is real," he said.

Through that lens, it's easier to understand vehement insistence that climate change is not real (it is, according to scientific consensus) or that election fraud is rampant (it isn't, repeated studies have found). The disconnect from facts is exacerbated by a confusing web of information sources, both ideology-driven news outlets and lesser-known sites that peddle lies through incredible headlines, which spread on social media.

Although Clinton is a favorite target of conservatives who point to her emails, Benghazi and a litany of her political positions as proof of her dishonesty, Trump has made more false statements, by far.

"Donald Trump has a problem with accuracy," said Angie Drobnic Holan, editor of the fact-checking operation PolitiFact. "To me, the question is how badly that will hurt him on Election Day."

The answer to that question may provide a new gauge of the value of facts in society.

Read it at: http://bigstory.ap.org/article/b97056680bfc45d0a7335546f02137ab/honesty-rip-facts-take-beating-across-us


November 5, 2016

Trump supporter? Root for LSU; Hillary backer? Pull for ‘Bama

Alabama at LSU on CBS, 7 PM Alabama Time.

http://collegefootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2016/11/05/trump-supporter-root-for-lsu-hillary-backer-pull-for-bama/

Top-ranked Alabama will square off with LSU in Death Valley later on today. Then, three days later, we’ll have the chance to vote on a Super Tuesday that will (mercifully) cap off one of the most heated (hated?) presidential campaigns in our country’s history.

So, just how are those two items even remotely related?

According to al.com, the winner of the Alabama-LSU game has “predicted” the outcome of the presidential race every election cycle since 1984. Every year the Tide won, the Democratic nominee made 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue their new address. When the Tigers won, it was the Republican nominee taking up residence in the Oval Office.

From the website:

"LSU won by two in 1984, and Ronald Reagan stormed the White House. LSU won by a point in 1988, and George H.W. Bush whipped Michael Dukakis. LSU won in 2000 and again in 2004, and so did George W. Bush.


Alabama hammered LSU in 1992, and Bill Clinton took the office. The Tide shut out LSU in 1996, and Clinton took out Bob Dole. Alabama in 2008 – under Nick Saban – beat his former team 27-21. That was the year Barack Obama won his first term. In 2012, a T.J. Yeldon screen pass did LSU in, and Barack Obama won again.”

November 2, 2016

The main thieves who took those lost US factory jobs? Robots

Source: AP, by Paul Wiseman

.....

Despite the Republican presidential nominee's charge that "we don't make anything anymore," manufacturing is still flourishing in America. Problem is, factories don't need as many people as they used to because machines now do so much of the work.

America has lost more than 7 million factory jobs since manufacturing employment peaked in 1979. Yet American factory production, minus raw materials and some other costs, more than doubled over the same span to $1.91 trillion last year, according to the Commerce Department, which uses 2009 dollars to adjust for inflation. That's a notch below the record set on the eve of the Great Recession in 2007. And it makes U.S. manufacturers No. 2 in the world behind China.

Trump and other critics are right that trade has claimed some American factory jobs, especially after China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001 and gained easier access to the U.S. market. And industries that have relied heavily on labor - like textile and furniture manufacturing - have lost jobs and production to low-wage foreign competition. U.S. textile production, for instance, is down 46 percent since 2000. And over that time, the textile industry has shed 366,000, or 62 percent, of its jobs in the United States.

But research shows that the automation of U.S. factories is a much bigger factor than foreign trade in the loss of factory jobs. A study at Ball State University's Center for Business and Economic Research last year found that trade accounted for just 13 percent of America's lost factory jobs. The vast majority of the lost jobs - 88 percent - were taken by robots and other homegrown factors that reduce factories' need for human labor.

.....

Read it all at: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_ROBOTS_TAKE_FACTORY_JOBS?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2016-11-02-10-44-28

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