RandySF
RandySF's JournalProf. Michael McDonald: Clinton might have pulled off Ohio.
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Michael McDonald
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Well, Clinton might have pulled off Ohio. #Earlyvote change from 2012
Cuyahoga +1,052 (+0.4%)
Franklin +22,522 (+10.2%)
https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/795801222322257920
That SEPTA strike ended pretty quick
Wanna bet that Ed Rendell and Bill Clinton He Anne red things out?
The Clintons and the Obamas.
I would love to work with Hillary, have a PTA meeting with the Obamas and a night out with Bill.
Don't be shocked or worried if Trump wins Dixville Notch, NH tonight.
The place is full of kooks and fertile ground for someone like Trump. It will not reflect the state as a whole.
538 just flipped NC and FL blue
In polls only. FL goes pink in polls-plus even though NC is closer.
Interesting tidbit on 538 podcast
Dave Wasserman was a guest on last night's 538 podcast. At one point he mentioned asking CNN's polling people how many interviews were done in Spanish and he was waiting for them to call him back. You could have heard a pin drop after that.
Twitter AND Reddit are down.
Just announced in local news. Perhaps Assange's deplorables are having a flameout.
My electoral map for the night.
I shifted Georgia to red and I'm worried about the Philly transit strike. The final map goes up tomorrow night.
<div align="center"><a href="http://www.270towin.com/maps/7z24y"><img src="
" width="800"></a><br><small><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="
" alt="" /> Click the map to create your own at <a href="http://www.270towin.com/maps/7z24y">270toWin.com</a></small></div>
Prof. Smith in FL: So far, 36% of the 907k Hispanics who have voted in 2016 didn’t vote in 2012
Flipped upside down, this means that NPAs who stayed home in 2012 are coming out a a much higher rate than the partisans.
None of this surprises me.
What is notable is that nearly 1/4 Republicans who have already cast their mail or in-person ballots in 2016 waited to vote on Election Day in 2012, whereas it’s only slightly more than 1/5 Dems and NPAs who voted on Election Day in 2012 who have already voted. That means there are more votes (raw and percentage) to be had by Clinton than Trump as the final GOTV push occurs on Tuesday.
I don’t feel like writing up the Race/Ethnicity & Age & Gender cannibalization rates right now, but suffice to say, they ain’t pretty for The Donald.
As a tease, I’ll leave you with this tidbit: So far, 36% of the 907k Hispanics who have voted in 2016 didn’t vote by any method in 2012. That’s a full 12 points higher than whites, and will likely be the key to who wins the presidency.
https://electionsmith.wordpress.com/2016/11/06/on-cannibalizing-the-vote-in-florida-heres-some-data-natesilver538-nate_cohn-to-work-into-your-models/
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Gender: MaleHometown: Detroit Area, MI
Home country: USA
Current location: San Francisco, CA
Member since: Wed Oct 29, 2008, 02:53 PM
Number of posts: 59,770
