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progree

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Gender: Male
Hometown: Minnesota
Member since: Sat Jan 1, 2005, 04:45 AM
Number of posts: 5,312

Journal Archives

In its 29 months, the Trump economy has created 810,000 FEWER jobs than Obama's last 29 months

and the pace of job creation has markedly slowed in 2019 ...

Summary: Average monthly net new jobs created
221,000    Obama's last 29 months
194,000    Trump's 29 months (February 2017 through June 2019)
172,000    2019 so far (January through June)
144,000    February through June 2019

From G_j: https://www.democraticunderground.com/100212250349

which links to: https://www.forbes.com/sites/chuckjones/2019/07/05/trump-is-falling-almost-1-million-jobs-short-vs-obama

Comparing Trump's 29 months with Obama's last 29 months

Trump entered office on January 20, 2017, and starting with February 2017 he has been President for 29 months. Total job growth during that time has been 5.613 million or 194,000 per month with those results being helped by the tax cut.

Working back from January 2017, Obama’s last month in office, there had been 6.423 million jobs added or 221,000 per month. The difference for the 29 months is 810,000 more jobs or 27,000 more per month than Trump.

Note that back in January this year the total difference was only 194,000, which means over the past five months it has increased by 616,000.


Yes, there's been quite a slowdown so far this year (the 6 months January through June), just 172,000 per month average, compared to 223,000 per month average in all of 2018.

For the 5 months February through June of 2019, it's been only 144,000 per month average.

Job numbers:

https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0000000001

Monthly changes: https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0000000001?output_view=net_1mth

Edited to add:

And yes yes, the unemployment rate is at about 50 year lows, but note that the prime age (25-54) labor force participation rate is below the pre-Great Recession average, going back to about 1987.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=12256909

Earlier snapshots of the Current Candidate Rankings page from archive.org

in case you think something looks different than the previous time you looked at it, but aren't sure what. Something to get an idea of DU poll movements in between EarlG's excellent reports

The below URL shows a calendar of all the snapshots. Scroll down a little ways to the calendar with the shaded blue dots - these are dates you can click on to see the snapshot on that date.

Unfortunately, DU software breaks the below URL into 2 pieces. You will have to copy the entire line below and paste it into your browser's Address bar:

https://web.archive.org/web/*/https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=candidates

This one is the June 26 snapshot (simply clicking on it works) :

https://web.archive.org/web/20190626102126/https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=candidates

I did a snapshot of June 26 (10:21 am, before the first debate) and then writing down what I see today, July 1

Below is the June 26 order. The July 1 order is the same except that Buttigieg and Sanders have switched places. Sorry, just doing the first 7. The rest are 1% and less.

6/26 7/1
16    17  Warren
14    13  Biden
10    10  Harris
 8      7  Buttigieg (now 5th place)
 8      8  Sanders (now 4th place)
 2      2  O'Rourke
 2      2  Inslee

Edited to clarify the shapshot URLs

Edited to add a pointer to EarlG's latest report, posted in this Democratic Primaries Forum on June 28:
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287175749

so as to see the trends back to the beginning and see the 1 percenters too.

Yes, I am worried about that --- here, Latin America

As for here, the great distance we have fallen from the founding principles and ideals to this point with Benedict Donald

As for Latin America -- I keep thinking of what i'm hearing of those seeking asylum, particularly from Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras ... reading that in one of these countries, I forget which (probably all three, but I remember reading about one), the gangs are in control of the local and city governments. And total chaos. Anyway, I'm used to these countries being ripped apart during civil wars, but it is horrifying that this seems to be the relative peacetime norm too.

I wonder if Mexico is next -- it's certainly pretty bad with the cartels, but so far not what I'm reading about Central America, but is scary -- WHAT MAKES US NOT NEXT?! given the great distance into shitTrumpistan that we have traveled in 2 1/2 years?

Omar reports more death threats against her since Trump tweet

Source: AP

Rep. Ilhan Omar says she's faced increased death threats since President Trump spread around a video that purports to show her being dismissive of the 2001 terrorist attacks.

"This is endangering lives," the Minnesota Democrat said in a statement Sunday night, accusing Trump of fomenting right-wing extremism. "It has to stop."

Her statement followed an announcement by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi that she has taken steps to ensure the safety of Omar, and the speaker's call for Trump to take down the video.

Soon after Pelosi's statement, the video disappeared as a pinned tweet at the top of Trump's Twitter feed, but it was not deleted.


Read more: https://www.mprnews.org/story/2019/04/14/pelosi-trump-tweet-omar-video



"Updated: 10:05 p.m. Posted: 7:45 p.m." (Central Time)

Later in the article, she said "a sharp increase" in threats on her life.

It's an MPRNews link, but the top of the story says it is an Associated Press story.

I'm blanking out, but I've been trying to think all day of the last time some congress person (representative or senator) was ever this much targeted with death threats and hostility. I can't think of anything like this in my 60+ year lifetime, but perhaps there was something like this in the darkest part of the civil right struggle. Before that, probably in the lead-up to the civil war. But like I say, I probably have a blank spot.

I'm leaving aside congress people who were running for president, I'm sure Bobby Kennedy also had a ton of death threats (and assassinated).

=========================================
Edited to add: she's my congresswoman. So I've kind of felt under attack too, sort of a siege mentality on my part, watching all this day after day for, what, 3 months now.

Is there an abbreviation for democraticunderground.com ? demu.gr used to work

e.g. a simple

demu.gr/12561674

would take one to Make7's Unofficial DU3 Basic HTML Reference Lookup Table

(Long form: https://www.democraticunderground.com/12561674).

But it seems that demu.gr has been taken over by some Greek company -- anyway, Google Translate says its Greek and translates to:

Discover only active coupons, promotions, discount codes and discounts to save money from your market to the best online stores and promotional sites!


Sigh.

Was nice having a short URL when texting to someone on the phone. I used it quite a lot.

ON EDIT: Here is the admin post about it, from 2012: https://upload.democraticunderground.com/10131784

A Minn. state senator (Scott Newman): "Even if true, teenagers! Frankly, I don't believe her...."

Minnesota senator sparks online outrage with tweet about Kavanaugh accusations, Star Tribune, 9/23/18

http://www.startribune.com/minnesota-senator-sparks-online-outrage-with-tweet-about-kavanaugh-accusations/493642311/

State Senator Scott Newman, a Hutchinson Republican, tweeted Monday:

“Even if true, teenagers! Frankly, I don’t believe her. Almost 40yrs and now she self righteously comes forward to save us from a dangerous sex offender. This type of allegation seriously jeopardizes women with a legitimate claim, for who will believe them.”

Newman, in his third term and currently chairman of the Transportation Committee...

Newman was previously an administrative law judge and deputy sheriff, and the GOP nominee for state attorney general in 2014. He was the lead Senate author of an unsuccessful attempt to require people to use bathrooms and changing rooms that match their “biological sex.” During that political row, Newman said the transgender community’s assertive opposition to his bill persuaded him that they are “not the bullied. They are the bullies.”


So soon after learning about another "family values" (R) in the legislature

MN Rep. Jim Knoblach ends campaign ahead of MPR abuse allegations story, MPR, 9/21/18
https://www.mprnews.org/story/2018/09/21/knoblach-ends-campaign-amid-abuse-allegations

The above is the full specific details version.

GOP Lawmaker Said Black Welfare Recipients 'Substituted One Plantation For Another'

Source: Huffington Post

Rep. Jason Lewis (R-Minn.) called welfare recipients "parasites" and compared the benefits program to slavery in the most recent of a series of derogatory remarks unearthed by CNN. "Now, you've got the modern welfare state that tells black folks and Hispanic folks and poor white folks: 'Don't worry.

In an April 2012 segment of his radio show, "The Jason Lewis Show," the congressman suggested that black Americans who receive welfare are still living on a "plantation."

"Blacks fought so hard ... so blacks could take care of themselves and not be told what to do," Lewis said. "Now, you've got the modern welfare state that tells black folks and Hispanic folks and poor white folks: 'Don't worry. We'll take care of you.' What is the difference? You've substituted one plantation for another."

...

"It is possible because the Democratic dream come true is this: The parasites outnumber the producers," Lewis said. "Then, when the parasites outnumber the producers, the party of parasites will give the majority of votes."


Read more: https://www.yahoo.com/news/gop-lawmaker-said-black-welfare-213057729.html



Probably meant "the party of parasites will GET the majority of votes" in the last sentence.

The race for the Minnesota 2nd Congressional district seat (south of the Twin Cities, including some of the metro area) is rated a toss up by Cook Political Report

Several CNN stories about his past remarks:

link:https://www.cnn.com/2018/07/27/politics/kfile-jason-lewis-government-assistance/index.html
https://www.cnn.com/2018/07/20/politics/kfile-jason-lewis-racial-comments/index.html

I'm surprised that so many inflammatory comments are showing up in the mainstream media just in the past 2 weeks. After all, he was elected almost 2 years ago.

Jason Lewis Wikipedia - (has some of his awful remarks). Sorry I can't make the link work, even when I construct it with the LINK button. So click on the below:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jason_Lewis_(Minnesota_politician)

and choose the 5th choice:

"Jason Lewis (Minnesota politician) (born 1955), United States Representative representing Minnesota's 2nd district, former radio talk show host"


or, if you prefer, copy the entirety of the above link and paste it into your browser's address box.


"Global warming" was dropped in favor of "climate change" because global warming is incorrect

according to scientific studies.

Anyway, if you read something like that (I just did today on Facebook), you have encountered a deplorable (yup, I just did).

I was curious enough to look up why "climate change" is the preferred term supposedly.

Whats in a Name? Global Warming vs. Climate Change, NASA

Global warming: the increase in Earth’s average surface temperature due to rising levels of greenhouse gases.

Climate change: a long-term change in the Earth’s climate, or of a region on Earth.

Within scientific journals, this is still how the two terms are used. Global warming refers to surface temperature increases, while climate change includes global warming and everything else that increasing greenhouse gas amounts will affect.

...

But temperature change itself isn't the most severe effect of changing climate. Changes to precipitation patterns and sea level are likely to have much greater human impact than the higher temperatures alone. For this reason, scientific research on climate change encompasses far more than surface temperature change. So "global climate change" is the more scientifically accurate term. Like the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, we've chosen to emphasize global climate change on this website, and not global warming.

More: https://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/climate_by_any_other_name.html


In other words (for Venn Diagram afficionados), climate change is a superset of global warming.

By the way, if said deplorable starts in on how the temperature measurements are biased because they don't correct for the growing urban heat island affect or that they miscalibrated some satellite readings or some horseshit like that, show it this:

Looking for signs of global warming? It's all around you, AP, 6/19/18
https://www.mprnews.org/story/2018/06/19/climate-change-signs-all-around

I posted excerpts at: https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=10813796

EDIT: Please see number 8 for the moron dialog I was referring to -- see how idiotic the climate change deniers' arguments are, and with the usual gratuitous swipe at Al Gore

U.S. Obamacare 2018 exchange enrollment drops 3 percent: CMS

Source: Reuters

About 11.8 million consumers nationwide enrolled in 2018 Obamacare exchange plans, a 3 percent drop from last year when 12.2 million consumers signed up, according to a final government tally released on Tuesday by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.

The tally includes both sign-ups on the exchange run by the federal government for 39 states, which was released on a provisional basis late in 2017, and on the 12 other exchanges run by Washington, D.C. and the remaining states.

CMS said the average premium before tax credits in 2018 is $621 a month, an increase of more than 30 percent from last year.

However, those receiving tax credits - around 83 percent of consumers on Obamacare - will pay around $89 a month on average in premiums, the agency said. That is down 16 percent from $106 a month last year.



Read more: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-obamacare-2018-exchange-enrollment-drops-3-percent-020409908--sector.html



The rest of the article is 3 reasons for this fall in enrollment: Trump, Trump, and Trump. (Who woulda guessed?)

(or Putin, Putin, Putin or any of a number of a long list of fuckheads who caused us to lose by a combined total of just 78,000 votes in 3 states)

* Getting rid of the $billions in federal cost-sharing subsidies, causing insurance companies to raise premiums yet more (the insurance companies have to provide those cost-sharing subsidies by law, regardless of whether they receive any money from the federal government for that purpose or not),

* Halving the length of the open enrollment period

* Cutting the federal advertising and outreach budget 90%

Anyway to simulate a table, i.e. to line things up?

Back before June 2017 or whenever the second big hack occurred, there were special HTML tags that allowed one to make tables.

Those special tags have been turned off, apparently permanently
https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1256&pid=13211

So the only way that I can make a table now (i.e. where things are lined up) is by sticking a bunch of back quotes ( ` ) to create spaces (because DU compresses multiple spaces into one space). For example:

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
{#} ACTUAL Federal Spending and Deficits - Fiscal Years 2008 - 2017, in $Billions

Fiscal year 2017 ended September 30, 2017. Similarly for all the other fiscal years.

Note: all figures in this section are actual, not budgeted. I only point out that Bush signed the FY 2009 budget.

` ` ` ` ` ` v-last Bush budget was FY 2009 (all figures are actuals, not budgeted)
2008 ` 2009 ` 2010 ` 2011 ` 2012 ` 2013 Fiscal Year
2,983 ` 3,518 ` 3,457 ` 3,603 ` 3,537 ` 3,455 Total Outlays, $Billions
(450) (1,413) (1,294)` (1,300) (1,087)` (680) Surplus (deficit), $Billions
(3.1) ` (9.8) ` (8.7) ` ` (8.5) ` ` (6.8) ` (4.1) Surplus (deficit), % of GDP

2014 ` 2015 ` 2016` 2017 Fiscal Year
3,506` 3,688 ` 3,852 ` 3,981 Total Outlays, $Billions
(485) ` (438) ` (586) ` (666) Surplus (deficit), $Billions
(2.8) `` (2.4) ` (3.2) `` (3.5) Surplus (deficit), % of GDP

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

As one can see, it is not pretty, and not all that well lined up, and it takes a long long amount of trial and error to make it line up as well as it is.

And then I don't know how it looks in browsers other than my own -- other browsers / platforms might display a different font and thus it could look way not-lined-up.

A fixed-width font would help a lot (e.g. courier new, where all characters are the same width)...

Anyway, is this the best one can do? Other than, say, building a pretty table in Word or Excel and taking screen snapshots and cropping it and loading it to photobucket or imgur or whatever?

That's a helluva lot of work too for tables that I modify frequently (e.g. the one in my sig line). And people can't "scrape" it for words and numbers of interest since it is an image, not text.

Thanks for any ideas
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