Nate Silver has Obama at 76.3 percent now

[regnaD kciN]

1. Once again, that's based on the special formulas...

...designed to figure in convention bounces, and owes a lot to Rmoney's relatively tepid one. In the "now-cast" which doesn't factor bounce expectations in, Obama's re-election odds have dropped a couple of points, to 69%, which, I assume, would be where it would stand if Obama gets no convention bounce whatsoever -- still more than 2:1 odds, but a little less gaudy than the top-line numbers.