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2016 Postmortem

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Marzupialis

(398 posts)
Fri Aug 10, 2012, 07:56 AM Aug 2012

Nate Silver pooh pooh's Fox and CNN polls [View all]

Two new polls show Obama opening a nice lead, as you may know; but Gallup remains steady and Rasmussen shows a Romney lead; plus people have been watching the olympics. Therefore, Obama's lead has increased just a tiny bit or none at all; that basically the weak argument Nate Silver just made.

Romney "shouldn't panic" because he's down by 7 and 9 in these two polls, Nate concludes.

I'd like to add that people can watch the olympics AND read a newspaper or watch something else such as the news that Romney is hiding something on his taxes and outsourced jobs.

Another piece of the argument crumbles when once realizes that Rasmussen has a a vested intersest in the outcome of this race: http://mediamatters.org/blog/2012/03/30/independent-pollster-scott-rasmussen-headlines/186270

Read Nate's piece here:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/09/aug-9-national-polls-shouldnt-panic-romney/

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