2014 MA US Senate Race (Kerry is selected Secretary of State)

[ShadowLiberal]

7. But Romney lost to Obama by 23 points, Brown ran 15 points better

Brown is still a tough opponent, despite the long and bruising campaign he just lost. Warren was simply 1) a better candidate then Brown's last opponent, & 2) Better funded then Brown, as well as 3) Benefiting some from Obama's coattails & higher democratic enthusiasm.

We won't have Obama's coattails in a special election, or national enthusiasm as high as it was this November, and I doubt that Brown will be outspent this time around, third party spending will likely flood the state.

Now, does that mean that things are totally hopeless for us? Of course not, but lets not kid ourselves, deep blue state or not, Brown is a tougher opponent then pretty much anyone else the republicans could throw at us.