2016 Postmortem

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

13. Relying On This Poll Only

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:13 PM

Oct 2012

Imagine you are a fan of a basketball team that was up by ten points with five minutes left. There's now ninety seconds on the clock, the opposing team has the ball, and they are down by just two.

That's the story of the last week in this poll.

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Highlight:

Gallup LV -Romney 50% Obama 47% /RV -Obama 48% -Romney 47%/Approve 53% -Disapprove 42% [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 OP

Wow...debate bump or bad day dropping off? My Pet Goat Oct 2012 #1

Bad days dropping off. The 15th and 16th were terrible days for Obama. nt geek tragedy Oct 2012 #4

yep, very well could be, but a 3-day approval number at 53 signals..... My Pet Goat Oct 2012 #10

Approval is all adults, including those not registered to vote. geek tragedy Oct 2012 #14

Because The President Is President Of 100% Of The American People, Even The Ones Who Don't Vote./nt DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #21

All three numbers tend to track with each other DrToast Oct 2012 #23

Relying On This Poll Only DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #13

you were right. woolldog Oct 2012 #25

There Is Much To Like , Given The Pollster DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #9

Gallup LV screen is crap. What happened last week is that Romney had an epic geek tragedy Oct 2012 #11

"behind?" In a national poll by pollsters that game the LIkely Voter model? progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #17

The Gallup poll appears to have a flawed LV model. But we're gaining mzmolly Oct 2012 #18

Nate Silver uses their RV figure, not their LV figure. Look for Obama to rise at 538 today. nt geek tragedy Oct 2012 #19

Seems mzmolly Oct 2012 #32

I Care Because The Gallup Poll Feeds A False Narrative DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #28

Gallup gets more media hits than all other polls combined. nt geek tragedy Oct 2012 #33

Why not both? Mr.Turnip Oct 2012 #37

IMPRESSIVE! boingboinh Oct 2012 #2

Two days ago, I said Obama would make major progress in Gallup after the debate. geek tragedy Oct 2012 #3

"Someone is gettin' pregnant tonight!" boingboinh Oct 2012 #7

Good but still off kansasobama Oct 2012 #5

While it is good to see Obama make gains in that poll Jennicut Oct 2012 #6

The 15th and 16th were terrible polling days for Obama. His RV and LV numbers nose-dived on those geek tragedy Oct 2012 #8

Awesome numbers NewsCenter28 Oct 2012 #16

gallup is meaningless djnicadress Oct 2012 #38

And we care about a National poll, WHY exactly? progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #12

What was that about Romney momentum? RedSpartan Oct 2012 #15

New to DU prussogirl Oct 2012 #20

Cherrypicking is a fool's game for partisans. Stick to the aggregators like 538 or Electoral-vote dmallind Oct 2012 #31

Thank you prussogirl Oct 2012 #36

This is good news. Obama goes from 7 to 3 behind among LV--moving in right direction. WI_DEM Oct 2012 #22

@Obamamentum imgbitepolitic Oct 2012 #24

It appears that Obama's "condescension" has not hurt him then. yellowcanine Oct 2012 #26

Who the fuck are the 53% who approve, but won't vote for him? ProudToBeBlueInRhody Oct 2012 #27

53% includes those not registered to vote. nt geek tragedy Oct 2012 #30

Great day of polling on Tuesday Johnny2X2X Oct 2012 #29

since it was 52-45 for Romney NewJeffCT Oct 2012 #34

Nice to see Romney's Gallup lead cut in half this week TroyD Oct 2012 #35