2016 Postmortem

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)

30. Rasmussen is showing R plus 4 with Obama's approval at 50%.

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 11:07 AM

Oct 2012

I could laugh but I don't need to.

ABC, CBS and NBC have it a tied race or Obama ahead. Remember, Gallup and Rasmussen were terrible in 2010. And the Battleground poll really broke it down for us yesterday. Obama is ahead in the midwest and west and east but really behind in the south. Romney can drive up all of his numbers among that region all he wants to and still lose the Presidency.
I throw it into the average with the rest of them but isn't it funny that the big failures of 2010 polling are dragging the average in national polling down for President Obama?

Honestly, this is about a tied race and any poll that says otherwise I just shrug at, even IBC/Tipp. This will come down to certain swing states. I mean, PPP had it tied today. Look at the outliers and just ignore them.

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Rasmussen [View all] JiminyJominy Oct 2012 OP

Drudge teases that it's 50-46. FBaggins Oct 2012 #1

They have not, but RCP has the ratings. R by 4. Mass Oct 2012 #2

Latest ip5683 Oct 2012 #3

Because none of that is post debate fugop Oct 2012 #4

One of those is a 7-day rolling average FBaggins Oct 2012 #7

That's not the latest Gallup alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #11

Good god...it takes days for polls to show any bounce. nt cry baby Oct 2012 #5

Your Concern Is Duly Noted.Thank You For Your Input./nt DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #6

Thank you. timber84 Oct 2012 #10

Polls oldsneakers Oct 2012 #8

thank you! renate Oct 2012 #35

Always add outsideworld Oct 2012 #9

How much have you made so far for these posts? I like that Romney is generous, Jiminy Cricket? JackN415 Oct 2012 #12

National polls are meaningless leftynyc Oct 2012 #13

Obama approval at 50 but support at 46 MadBadger Oct 2012 #14

Is that why Intrade went from 39% to middle 40s? demvoter4life Oct 2012 #15

LOL- I Looked At Intrade, Saw The Drop, Knew Something Was Up DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #25

rasmussen is moving toward gallup mgcgulfcoast Oct 2012 #16

Your Concern Is Duly Noted.Thank You For Your Input./nt DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #17

what should i do? mgcgulfcoast Oct 2012 #18

No, please express even more concern. fugop Oct 2012 #20

I Would Look At The Sites Where The National And State Polls Are Aggregated But That's Just Me/nt DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #21

Or not. Mass Oct 2012 #19

Or maybe we can just look at all the polls instead of the saddest and happiest./nt DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #22

Or none. Mass Oct 2012 #23

Well...The Average Can Be Skewed By Outliers. That's Why I Prefer To Look At The Median. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #24

Do you have a link please? Thanks! n/t courseofhistory Oct 2012 #36

Here DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #41

+1 ProudProgressiveNow Oct 2012 #27

Statistics 101 DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #33

Rasmussen has a worse record than Gallup. mzmolly Oct 2012 #40

stop freaking out, polls are tied or Obama is leading politicman Oct 2012 #26

So Rasmussen ProSense Oct 2012 #28

Obama is leading in the swing states. This is what I am focused on. I can't be bothered with.. lolamio Oct 2012 #29

Yep. If the national popular vote meant anything... BlueDemKev Oct 2012 #32

Rasmussen is showing R plus 4 with Obama's approval at 50%. Jennicut Oct 2012 #30

Did PPP do another Poll or what? demvoter4life Oct 2012 #31

Nate Silver 538 OKNancy Oct 2012 #38

Ok. I'm panicking now. woolldog Oct 2012 #34

Don't. Daily Kos/PPP showed Mitt losing 4 points and another ProSense Oct 2012 #37

Thanks ProSense woolldog Oct 2012 #39