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fleur-de-lisa

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Current location: New Orleans, LA
Member since: Fri Jul 20, 2012, 10:48 AM
Number of posts: 1,821

Journal Archives

12 Silly Ways to Predict the Election (spoiler: Obama's winning)

12 Silly Ways to Predict the Election - Eyebrows, donuts, Chia pets, Halloween masks, and other less than scientific indications that Obama will beat Romney.óBy Dave Gilson, posted on Mother Jones, Fri Oct. 5, 2012

If you want a fairly good sense of who will prevail in the presidential election, you could check out the numbers at TPM's Polltracker or the latest FiveThirtyEight forecast. But if you're less concerned with stuff like sample sizes, margins of error, or statistical rigor, you might consult any of these less than scientific indicators of who will win the White House.

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Eyebrows

According to "expert research" by the Grooming Lounge blog, seven out of the past eight elections were won by the candidate with the most kempt eyebrows. Apparently Romney needs a trim.

Advantage: Obama

Source: Grooming Lounge

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Kids

Since 1940, children voting in Scholastic's mock election have selected the winner in all but two elections (1948 and 1960). If you're in grades 1 through 12 (or pretend to be), you can cast a vote here until October 10.

Advantage: Undetermined

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Donuts

"Dough-Bama" is currently beating "Mitt Yum-ney" by three points in a presidential donut poll being held by LaMar's Donuts. The chain notes that Dough-Bama, a donkey-shaped donut covered with blue sugar, beat its elephant-shaped rival, McCandyCain, in 2008.

Advantage: Obama

Source: LaMar's Donuts

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The Redskin Rule

In 17 of the past 18 elections, this rule has held fast: If the Washington Redskins win their last home game before Election Day, the party that won the previous election wins this year's. The 'Skins play the Panthers at home on November 4.

Advantage: Undetermined

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7-11 cups

Nationwide, 7-Eleven customers are picking Obama-themed coffee cups over Romney cups by a 3-to-2 margin. The convenience store claims that its 7-Election promotion, which has correctly identified the next president since 2000, has "a better track record than some well-known statistically valid polls."

Advantage: Obama

Source: 7-Eleven

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Astrologers

Larry Schwimmer, a San Francisco-based astrologer, has analyzed Obama's star chart and concluded that he will be reelected. (He also insists that he predicted Romney's "47 percent" comment.) However, another astrologer, Donal Holland, says that signs in Obama's Solar Return chart indicate that he will lose.

Advantage: Undetermined

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Chia pets

Since they went head to terracotta head in September, Chia Obamas have been outselling Chia Romneys by more than two to one.

Advantage: Obama

Source: Chia

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Teeth

The candidate with the whitest teeth has always won since 1992, claims Luster Premium White. The teeth-whitener brand predicts that unless "Romney makes a dental correction," the president will be smiling on November 7.

Advantage: Obama

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Cookies

Since 1992, participating in the Family Circle cookie bake-off has become obligatory for sitting and wannabe First Ladies. The domestic battle has predicted the election winner in 4 out of 5 races. This year, Michelle Obama's white and dark chocolate chip cookies won by the smallest margin in the contest's history.

Advantage: Obama

Source: Family Circle

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Gamblers

Ladbrokes, the British bookmaker, has set the odds of a Obama victory at 4 to 1 and Romney win at 4 to 11. It also had Obama as the favorite in 2008.

Advantage: Obama

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Halloween masks

"The most accurate predictor of Presidential politics since the mid-1990s." That's how the Spirit costume outlet describes its index of presidential Halloween mask sales. Likewise, BuyCostumes.com says its paper-mask poll has been "100% accurate since 2000!" Both contests currently have Obama ahead of Romney by nearly 30 points.

Advantage: Obama

Source: Spirit Halloween

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Height

Between 1896 and 2008, the taller presidential candidate won nearly two-thirds of the time. Obama is 6-foot-1; Romney is 6-foot-2.

Advantage: Romney

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In case you lost track, that's eight indicators favoring Obama, one favoring Romney, and three with no clear favorite. Take that, Nate Silver

http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2012/10/12-silly-elction-predictions
Posted by fleur-de-lisa | Fri Oct 5, 2012, 11:02 AM (0 replies)

7-Election 2012

President Obama is still winning the 7-11 Coffee Poll . . .

Obama 60%
rMoney 40%

http://www.7-eleven.com/7-Election/

Posted by fleur-de-lisa | Thu Oct 4, 2012, 05:19 PM (1 replies)

DO SOMETHING POSITIVE . . . I promise you will feel better.

Okay, the scream/sob/whine fest is now officially over, regardless of your opinion of the President's performance last night. It's time to move on. DO SOMETHING POSITIVE . . . like RIGHT NOW. I promise you will feel better. I have some suggestions:

Save Big Bird, et al, by donating to PBS:

https://www.pbs.org/donate/pbs-foundation/

Donate to the President's reelection campaign:

http://www.barackobama.com/

Plant a tree . . . hug your kid/momma/dog . . . whatever . . . just DO SOMETHING POSITIVE!

Posted by fleur-de-lisa | Thu Oct 4, 2012, 03:05 PM (1 replies)

Donate to 'Obama for America' today . . .

Let's tell that lying piece of sMitt what we think of his bullshit performance last night by making this a record-breaking day for the Obama-Biden campaign!


http://www.barackobama.com/

Posted by fleur-de-lisa | Thu Oct 4, 2012, 10:07 AM (4 replies)

Wow . . . Tweety is blowing a gasket!

Posted by fleur-de-lisa | Wed Oct 3, 2012, 10:42 PM (8 replies)

When Lehrer and asshole don't interrupt him

the Pres is doing just fine! Not fair . . . 2 against 1!
Posted by fleur-de-lisa | Wed Oct 3, 2012, 10:28 PM (0 replies)

What the fuck is wrong with Lehrer?

Why is Rmoney running the show? Tell him to shut thre fuck up!
Posted by fleur-de-lisa | Wed Oct 3, 2012, 09:53 PM (3 replies)

Who are these Ďundecidedí voters?

I donít know any. None. Not one.

Itís not that I donít believe that they exist; Iím sure they do. But they are obviously waiting to hear something that hasnít been stated yet; but what?

More so than in any other election in my lifetime, the choice could not be more clear. Given recent events (the Citizens United ruling, the near-collapse of the economy, high unemployment, the threat by the GOP to reverse Roe v. Wade, etc.) how can one not have an opinion on which direction we should be heading as a nation?

Iím not trying to be a smart ass; I really want to know. What are they waiting for?

I have a couple of theories:

A) They are apathetic and probably wonít vote, no matter what.

B) They donít like either party, which I can understand. But still, at this point, how can you not have an opinion? There have been many elections in which I didnít like either choice, but I always voted, even if I selected a 3rd party candidate with no chance of winning, or wrote in my dogs name. It was just my little way of protesting. But never, at this point, would I have considered myself Ďundecidedí.

C) They are perhaps in a coma, or maybe just a little bit slow?

Am I missing something? What other possibilities exist? Iíd really like to know.
Posted by fleur-de-lisa | Wed Oct 3, 2012, 07:28 PM (11 replies)

Buy a new car, vote for Obama

Buy a new car, vote for Obama - Proof that Americans are not despairing at the state of the economy: Sales figures at the local dealership; By Andrew Leonard, Salon.com, Wednesday, Oct 3, 2012


With just hours to go before the first presidential debate, conservative pundits are clamoring for Mitt Romney to attack President Obama on the economy. Fox Newsí Wednesday morning offering from John Lott is typical:

Are you better off today than four years ago? Tonightís presidential debate, with its focus on domestic policy, is Mitt Romneyís chance to put President Obama on the defensive, to make him answer for his abysmal economy policies.

The problem for Republicans, however, is the increasing amount of evidence indicating that Americans do not think the economy is abysmal. Tuesday delivered the most unimpeachable proof so far of blithe confidence: In September Americans bought new cars at a rate not witnessed since February 2008. Chrysler recorded its best September sales since 2007. Honda and Toyota completed their comeback from the earthquake-related disruptions of 2011. Americans are voting with their wallets.

The contrast with 2008 could not be more stark. Four years ago, automobile sales in the U.S. fell off the cliff. Frozen credit markets, the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, and a series of gut-wrenching stock market drops all contributed to an abrupt evisceration of consumer confidence. High gas prices had been hurting car sales all year along, but the financial crash sent industry sales back to a level not seen since 1991. Without Obamaís bailout, Chrysler and GM would not have survived the wounds inflicted in October 2008.

The phenomenon was easy enough to understand. Buying a car is a big deal ó the act implies confidence in the future, in your ability to hang on to your job and your home. But when a global economic recession stares you in the face, it doesnít make sense to splurge for that new Prius.


more at: http://www.salon.com/2012/10/03/buy_a_new_car_vote_for_obama/
Posted by fleur-de-lisa | Wed Oct 3, 2012, 03:26 PM (5 replies)

Finally convinced my Mother to vote for Obama!

I've been working on her really hard for about a year and it finally paid off!

A lifelong republican, she now calls herself an Independent.

She absolutely hates Romney and agrees that he is an arrogant, greedy bastard and would be a disaster as POTUS.

And, best of all, she has shared some of the anti-Mitt cartoons and memes I have posted on Facebook. All of her friends are racist, southern, TP repukes. But she doesn't care anymore if she makes them mad!

Go Mom!

Posted by fleur-de-lisa | Wed Oct 3, 2012, 10:20 AM (7 replies)
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