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Gender: Male
Hometown: Detroit Area, MI
Home country: USA
Current location: San Francisco, CA
Member since: Wed Oct 29, 2008, 02:53 PM
Number of posts: 11,151

About Me

Partner, father and liberal Democrat. I am a native Michigander living in San Francisco who is a citizen of the world.

Journal Archives

Insiders: Clinton would crush Trump in November

In the swing states that matter most in the presidential race, Donald Trump doesn’t have a prayer against Hillary Clinton in the general election.

That’s according to top operatives, strategists and activists in 10 battleground states who participated in this week’s POLITICO Caucus. Nearly 90 percent of them said Clinton would defeat Trump in their home states in a November match-up.

Republicans are only slightly more bullish on Trump’s prospects than Democrats: More than three-quarters of GOP insiders expect Clinton to best the Republican front-runner in a general-election contest in their respective states. Among Democrats, the belief is nearly universal: 99 percent of surveyed said will Clinton will beat Trump.

In three of the biggest swing states—Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida—Republicans were particularly downbeat about the prospect of a Trump-Clinton contest.


This is my final post on General Discussion: Primaries.

With the nomination pretty much wrapped up, I'm going to start focusing on the Fall Election, namely the battle for the Electoral College, the Senate, Governor and key races in California. Thus, I am signing off from here. Ciao.

Hillary Clinton Is Turning to the Fall

n coming weeks, Mrs. Clinton will campaign in states with looming primaries, but she will also recharge and spend time in New York plotting a general-election strategy with advisers.

“She needs to be smart and calculated and prepare herself for a tough general election, and knowing her, she will be,” said Thomas R. Nides, a friend and adviser who worked for Mrs. Clinton at the State Department.

After months of focus on the 2,383 delegates needed for the Democratic Party nomination, her campaign has begun to analyze the Electoral College, working out potential races against Mr. Trump and Mr. Cruz. And the campaign will begin polling in traditional battleground states like Ohio and Florida.

But it will also pore over data in traditionally Republican states like Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia that could be in play, particularly if Mr. Trump is the nominee, and focus on demographics beyond the Democratic primary electorate.


Don’t worry; Sanders will bow out gracefully

Recalling this serene end to the bitter and extended 2008 Democratic primary battle, I’m not inclined to join in all the hand-wringing about the damage Bernie Sanders is doing to Clinton’s chances in November by remaining in the race.

Tempers flared this week after a Sanders supporter, actress Rosario Dawson, mentioned Monica Lewinsky at a campaign rally. Rep. Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., a Clinton supporter, demanded Sanders tell his supporters “to stop providing aid and comfort to Donald Trump and the Republican Party.”

This, in turn, caused Sanders campaign manager Jeff Weaver to accuse the Clinton campaign and her supporters of using “language reserved for traitors to our country.”

Why the hysteria? It doesn’t matter if Sanders continues his candidacy until the last votes are cast in June. What matters is that he quits gracefully, and there should be every expectation that he will, for a simple reason: Sanders is not a fool.

Sanders showed no sign of retreat Tuesday night, even as Clinton extended her lead by winning the night’s biggest prize, Pennsylvania, as well as Maryland, Delaware and Connecticut; Sanders won only Rhode Island. He gave a defiant, hour-long speech in which he said he was “taking on the most powerful political organization in America.” The reference to Clinton drew boos.

Sanders sounded like an extortionist Monday night when he said Clinton, if she won the nomination, would have to earn his supporters’ votes by embracing single-payer health care, free college tuition and a carbon tax — all things Clinton rejected in her (successful) campaign against Sanders.

But seconds later, Sanders, prodded by the moderator, MSNBC’s Chris Hayes, added a qualifier: “I will do everything in my power to make sure that no Republican gets into the White House in this election cycle.”

That’s the crucial part. Sanders wants to exert maximum leverage to move Clinton toward his populist policies. But he is a practical man, and he certainly doesn’t wish to see a President Trump or President Cruz. This is why there’s no cause for all the fuss over him remaining in the race until he is mathematically eliminated.

Elimination is coming. Even before Clinton padded her lead with Tuesday night’s wins, Sanders needed to win 59 percent of remaining delegates, or 71 percent if you include superdelegates. That isn’t going to happen.


George Takei urges fellow Sanders supporters: Abandon ‘family squabble’ and back Clinton

Actor and activist George Takei released a video on Wednesday on his Facebook page urging fellow supporters of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) to unite behind fellow Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.

“Ultimately, we Democrats know that a bit of a tussle isn’t a bad thing — it makes us stronger. Keeps us sharp,” he said. “And really, it’s like a family squabble, where only family — those very close to us — can truly get under our skin. But remember this, too: it’s precisely because we like and respect each other that the words and criticisms sting as much as they do.”

Takei released the video a day after Clinton scored victories in four out of five primaries over Sanders. The Star Trek and Allegiance star had voiced his support for Sanders earlier in the campaign.

In the video, he noted that both candidates agree on issues like womens’ reproductive health, LGBT rights advocacy, separation of church and state and supporting the Affordable Care Act. He also recalled Sanders’ statement last November that if Clinton won the general election, she would be “an infinitely better candidate and President than the Republican candidate on his best day.”

“If Bernie believes that, his supporters can, too,” Takei said.



There is once again talk of Robert Downey Jr. and Iron Man 4.

A few weeks ago saw Robert Downey Jr. mention if they did an Iron Man 4, he would want it to be his swan song where he plays more the villain role.

At the time, Robert Downey Jr. "didn't think it was in the cards," but now things may have changed.

In an featurette/interview with ABC News (watch below) for Captain America: Civil War, Robert Downey Jr. is seen stating, " I feel like I can do one more."

Reportedly, the reason for no Iron Man 4 was due to problems with Marvel CEO Ike Perlmutter who didn't want to pay RDJ all the money to star in another solo film. It's possible now that Kevin Feige has ousted Perlmutter and the Marvel creative comics/TV people from any involvement in Marvel Studios, that Robert Downey Jr. may be able to star in Iron Man 4.

Let's hope so.


Sanders Campaign letting field workers go.

Per Politico on my phone. The Sanders campaign is releasing field workers in Indiana.

Updated: As pointed out, the layoffs took place in states that already voted. Time to stop reading my phone on the run.

Ted Cruz to announce Fiorina as running mate.

I guess his winning-by-losing primary strategy is really working out for him.

This election is over

Hillary in an Electoral College landslide and a Democratic Senate. Bookmark it.

Rebekah del Rio - Llorando (Crying) (VIDEO)

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