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RandySF

Profile Information

Gender: Male
Hometown: Detroit Area, MI
Home country: USA
Current location: San Francisco, CA
Member since: Wed Oct 29, 2008, 02:53 PM
Number of posts: 12,092

About Me

Partner, father and liberal Democrat. I am a native Michigander living in San Francisco who is a citizen of the world.

Journal Archives

If you are worried about that poll showing Trump ahead, read this.

Tuesday, November 08, 2012


The Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012 – Election Day 2012 - gives GOP presidential challenger Mitt Romney 49% of the nation’s voters’ support to President Barack Obama’s 48%. Two percent favors another candidate on Election Day.

This poll indicates the same numbers that were reported yesterday regarding Romney and Obama.

Naturally, this is the last of the Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Tracking Polls of the 2012 presidential election cycle.

The data includes not only people who are likely voters but also people who have already voted. Romney leads with people who say they are likely to vote while Obama leads with people who have already voted.

Of the voters in the most recent daily poll, 39% say they are Democrats and 37% say they are Republicans. Mitt Romney has a 9% advantage with those who are not affiliated with either of the nation’s two primary political Parties.

Interestingly, Rasmussen reports that 27% of Americans report that this presidential election has had a negative impact on people’s relationship with a friend or a family member.

In today’s report, Rasmussen makes a comment regarding the importance of race in this presidential election. Last election, 74% of the voters were white. Opinions regarding an increase or decrease in the percentage of voters being white in this election varies. Previously, it has been reported by various pollsters that nearly all black voters are voting for Obama. It was also previously reported that less than half of white voters support Obama. Thereby, Rasmussen suggests that Obama will lose if white voters come out in force while Romney will lose if they do not.

According to Rasmussen, 46% say they are quite certain they are voting for Romney and 45% are certain they are voting for Obama.


http://www.examiner.com/article/romney-49-to-obama-48-rasmussen-s-last-presidential-poll-of-the-2012-election

Close Poll Indicates Chuck Grassley Is In The Senate Race Of His Career

A new poll reveals that Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) is in the race of his Senate career against Democratic opponent Patty Judge.

Judge – the former lieutenant governor – is within striking distance of the seven-term senator, polling at 45 percent among likely voters compared to Grassley's 46 percent.

The Loras College poll released Thursday was its first since Trump and Clinton won their respective primaries. It suggested Grassley may be more vulnerable in his re-election after refusing to hold hearings on President Barack Obama's Supreme Court nominee Merrick Garland. Christopher Budzisz, the director of the poll, also added that Republican nominee Donald Trump–who was trailing Hillary Clinton by double digits statewide in the poll, may also be a drag on Grassley.

The poll revealed, however, that many people are still skeptical Grassley can be beat. Even with Judge within a single point of Grassley, 70 percent said they thought Grassley would keep his seat in November.


http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/chuck-grassley-is-in-the-senate-race-of-his-career

538 Election Forecast gives Hillary 55% of winning Arizona.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/arizona/

After skipping gun filibuster, Bernie finds an issue to show up for

Vermont U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders says he'll try to block Senate consideration of a bill that would require nationwide labeling of food with genetically modified products, but with a less stringent labeling requirement than the one included in Vermont's law.

Individual senators can put a hold on legislation, blocking it from coming up for debate unless backers can muster 60 votes. The Vermont independent says he prepared to resort to that tactic.

Sanders' comments come just days before Vermont is slated to become the first state to require labeling of genetically modified food.

And they come days after the Republican chairman and ranking Democrat on the Senate Agriculture Committee announced compromise federal labeling legislation that Sanders says is too lenient on the food industry.


http://abcnews.go.com/Health/wireStory/sanders-hell-block-senate-gmo-bill-40208962

The Supreme Court’s Conservative Run Is Over

Monday’s abortion decision by the Supreme Court, on the last day of its term, didn’t just strike down a restrictive Texas law: It may also signal that America has passed the high-water mark in the long rise of conservatism on the nation’s highest court.

The abortion ruling, along with the court’s decision upholding college affirmative action last week, suggests an end to the court’s steady movement to the right on a broad range of issues since the appointments of Justice Antonin Scalia in 1986 and Justice Clarence Thomas in 1991. Though Republican politicians have railed against liberal and activist judges for years, conservatives have enjoyed great success in advancing their principles through the court system for most of the past half-century. The Supreme Court has had a consistent majority of Republican-appointed justices since 1970, and in recent decades it has moved the law rightward on private property, church and state, federal power, firearms regulation, criminal procedure and administrative governance. With a few notable exceptions, such as gay rights, liberal lawyers have grown accustomed to playing defense, trying to parry conservative attempts to push the law yet further in conservative directions.

But it now seems more likely than ever that conservatives will fall short of some of their most important goals in the judicial realm—and we may have reached a turning point in the history of the institution.

Last week, the court’s decision in Fisher v. University of Texas powerfully announced that the quest to end affirmative action has failed. In the late 1980s and the 1990s, the court cut back substantially on the permissibility of affirmative action, leading people on both sides of the issue to think that such programs were on the road to being banned entirely. Many observers thought that two cases involving admissions at the University of Michigan in 2003 would be the occasion of that final ban. When Justice Sandra Day O’Connor cast a deciding vote to approve Michigan’s law-school admissions system, affirmative action got a reprieve. But when O’Connor retired and was replaced by Justice Samuel Alito, a strong critic of affirmative action, opponents of affirmative action took heart, hoping that their vision of a “colorblind” Constitution was again within reach.



http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/06/supreme-court-abortion-decision-rightward-run-over-213996#ixzz4CwA5N3Xl

Lady Mornont is My favorite 'Game of Thrones' character.

Moving abroad if Trump or Clinton wins? Not so fast.

The next time you hear people say they'll flee U.S. soil if so-and-so wins the presidential election, ask if they're familiar with the financial life of an expat.

Financial advisors say that, regardless of the reason a person wants to move abroad, it's important to know that laws, tax obligations and banking policies can add complications to your personal finance picture.

"Find out if you will be able to transact financially in the foreign jurisdiction you're looking at," said certified financial planner Kashif Ahmed, founder and president of American Private Wealth. "It's a very serious thing to consider before just picking up and leaving the country."



http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/24/moving-abroad-if-trump-or-clinton-wins-not-so-fast.html

Peyton Reed Says Wasp Is Not A Supporting Character In Ant-Man And The Wasp

Ant-Man surpassed many people's expectations, which was cemented when it won best comic to film motion picture at the 42nd Saturn Awards. The character earned even more fans when Paul Rudd brought his charm and wit to Captain America: Civil War, almost stealing the show in many regards.

It's a great place to be, and Director Peyton Reed is excited to return for the sequel, titled Ant-Man and the Wasp. The Director wants to make sure people understand that while Rudd is back in the popular role, it is as much about Evangeline Lilly's The Wasp as it is Ant-Man (via Modern Myth Media).

"It’s something we’re excited about. For me as a comic nerd, I always thought of Ant-Man and Wasp as a team and that’s a lot of what the second movie is really about is how they work together, what their personal and professional relationships are like. To show her finally fully formed in this movie is really exciting. We really get to introduce this character into that universe. I mean we’ve introduced the character, but we haven’t seen her with her full power set and everything, so to me she’s not a supporting character in this movie. It’s every bit as much her movie as it is Scott Lang’s."

As to where the duo finds themselves, that's a little tricky, but Reed and company already have a plan in place. Civil War does factor into the plot, but it isn't that different than the previous film.


http://comicbook.com/2016/06/24/peyton-reed-says-wasp-is-not-a-supporting-character-in-ant-man-a/

Carnage is the rumored villain for Spider-Man: Homecoming

Better Call Saul actor Michael Mando has recently been cast in Spider-Man: Homecoming in an unknown role.

What's interesting is that the official Better Caul Saul twitter account tweeted out a congratulations to Michael Mando with the following (via reddit):

"Mando Michael is spectacular at bringing carnage to life in Better Call Saul," the tweet reads.

Obviously the social media managers of Better Call Saul could simply be Spider-Man fans themselves, but it is possible they could be teasing something more, namely Cletus Kasady, the other half of Carnage.

Perhaps Michael Mando will be appearing as Cletus Kasady (or some version of the character) in Spider-Man: Homecoming?

Head of Sony movies, Tom Rothman, recently confirmed they are building a Spider-Man universe and also have further plans to work with Marvel.

Eventually, they will have to introduce new characters and we have yet to see Carnage on the big screen.


http://www.cosmicbooknews.com/content/michael-mando-rumored-carnage-spider-man-homecoming

Sinn Fein wants a vote on Irish reunification if Britain leaves Europe

There has been much speculation on the knock-on effects of Britain leaving the European Union in other nations.

Leave is leading by more than 700,000 votes after 23 million votes have been counted in Britain’s referendum on its future in Europe at time of writing, and Irish republicans say the vote should be a trigger for a vote on the reunification of Ireland.

Martin McGuinness, the Sinn Fein leader, says Irish people should be given a chance to vote on their future. The Guardian reports:

The former IRA chief-of-staff said that if Britain voted to leave the EU then there was a “democratic imperative” to allow people on the island of Ireland to vote on reunification.

“If Britain votes to leave the European Union then that could have huge implications for the entire island of Ireland and, given all the predictions, would run counter to the democratic wishes of the Irish people,” the Sinn Féin leader said.




http://www.businessinsider.com.au/sinn-fein-calls-for-vote-on-irish-reunification-if-britain-leaves-europe-2016-6
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