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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 10:13 AM
Original message
Urban sprawl and the tornadoes
Weather patterns, urban sprawl, human nature add up to extraordinary tornado death toll


Contributing to the massive loss of life is the growth of urban areas, suggested Marshall Shepherd, a professor of atmospheric science at the University of Georgia.

“Historically, the central business districts of cities have not been hit that frequently,” he explained. But as you increase the land area covered by homes and businesses, he said, “you’re increasing the size of the dartboard.”

If the Tuscaloosa and Joplin tornadoes had each been a few miles to the south, on farmland, little would be heard about them, Ashley said, but when extremely violent tornadoes mingle with urban sprawl “you’re going to have a disaster.”

“A lot of it is complacency,” Ashley said. “The population seems to be becoming desensitized to nature. I don’t know why.”

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/weather-patterns-urban-sprawl-human-nature-add-up-to-extraordinary-tornado-death-toll/2011/05/28/AG57vPDH_story_1.html
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 10:18 AM
Response to Original message
1. I think this has a lot to do with the death toll.
Same reason it was so high for Katrina and other events recently. There are just more people. Look at what happens when a typhoon hits China or Bangladesh. Lots of people killed and it's not just because of poor construction.
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 10:20 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. I had been wondering about this and stumbled onto the article
This, of course, is not to blame the people we just need to do a better job of planning including NOT okaying new neigborhoods just because there is a field there.
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 10:18 AM
Response to Original message
2. Seems kind of obvious?
Edited on Sun May-29-11 10:19 AM by high density
When you build a CVS and a gas station on every corner, you then have more CVS and gas stations exposed to potential natural disasters.
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proud2BlibKansan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 10:19 AM
Response to Original message
3. So what's the answer? Where do you propose people live?
:shrug:
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 10:22 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. I think the answer is in better housing planning
just because there is an empty field it doesn't mean you have to okay new construction. Some new construction is needed of course but we already know that there is ample supply (really over supply) of homes and apartments. Building new ones is not needed.

I know that sounds like a over-control thing but there is a need to plan and sometimes say NO to building proposals.

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hedgehog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 10:28 AM
Response to Reply #5
7. Just as an added poiint, sprawl means more time spent getting around -
instead of shopping at a central downtown, we drive out to a mall. Compare the construction of those empty buildings down town with the typical disposable cement block construction we inflict on ourselves today. No one ever painted a picture of the local mall and hung it on a wall, except maybe the developer!

Even if the buildings are torn down, the footprint can be reused. The utilities are already in place. Many cities are doing this already, tearing down derelict housing and selling the lots for a nominal fee to people already living in the neighborhood. The lots can become space for a garage, eliminating on street parking; a site for a new house or simply added green space.

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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 01:54 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. Two points
Short Pump Va - nothing was there when I moved to Richmond in 1994 other than Walmart. Now it has a high-end mall and is a complete nightmare to get around in. They had to build a completely new road and are constantly building overpasses to ...wait for it... GET PEOPLE TO THE MALL.

I used to administer HUD grants. CDBG and other programs do just what you say - keep neighborhoods from falling apart which also decreases crime.
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hedgehog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 03:17 PM
Response to Reply #11
15. Ironically, when people think of any particular city, they think of the old downtowns.
Very few tourist agencies boast about the local mall with the same 20-50 chain stores found in every other mall in every other city across the country!
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 03:27 PM
Response to Reply #15
17. Our mall has a hotel IN it
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xchrom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 10:24 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. maybe we start with the notion that we can't just live where ever we want?
put more time & effort into good urban planning & design.
get more accurate research for planners & developers & ask they be sesitive to the data & not be afraid to say no.
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outerSanctum Donating Member (154 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 10:29 AM
Response to Reply #6
8. That's a great idea!
We need a whole new bureaucracy that will determine that a tornado MAY hit in a portion of a proposed building site sometime in the next 50 - 100 years. They will then be able to determine that the risk is too high and people should not allowed to be able to build there.

Sounds like a plan!
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xchrom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 10:32 AM
Response to Reply #8
9. better than the chaos of do what ever the fuck you want ask every body else to pay for your mistakes
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 01:56 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. Also - as you build new homes you have to build or expand schools
fire departments
police
hospitals
utility maintenance
road work
etc.
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outerSanctum Donating Member (154 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 03:28 PM
Response to Reply #12
18. You're right.... All those jobs are a terrible thing!
NT
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pipi_k Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 02:02 PM
Response to Reply #3
13. I think zero population growth might be a good start n/t
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hedgehog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 03:20 PM
Response to Reply #13
16. Buffalo and Erie county actually lost population over recent years,
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Mist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 10:32 AM
Response to Original message
10. Apparently we are ludicrously over-built w/r/t commercial property, something like
30% or more is empty. Repurposing such properties for residential or mixed-use would be a way of dealing with housing needs. Much better than the brainless sprawl we've seen for decades.
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Taitertots Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-29-11 02:09 PM
Response to Original message
14. Population increases and tornadoes
More people means more people are going to get hit by X, Y or Z. This has nothing to do with urban, rural, sub-urban...
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