AK-AL: Young Leads Crawford by 15

[ccharles000]

PPP (pdf) (1/27-28, likely voters)

Harry Crawford (D): 34
Don Young (R-inc): 49
Undecided: 17

Generic Democrat (D): 25
Lisa Murkowski (R): 52
Undecided: 23
(MoE: ±3.7%)

2008's Alaska at-large House race was a disappointment for Dems, with all polls projecting a pickup for former state House minority leader Ethan Berkowitz over long-time Republican Rep. Don Young, with voters seemingly having tired of his ethically questionable reputation. Young pulled it out in the end, though, as Sarah Palin on the ticket (and probably also some desire to keep at least one old-time pork-barreler in place as Alaska voted out Ted Stevens) pushed him over the top.

It doesn't look like Dems are poised to finish the job in 2010. State Rep. Harry Crawford doesn't seem as well-known as Berkowitz. And more importantly, Young's reputation seems to have recovered a bit (with 43/41 approvals -- not in the safety zone, but between it being dark-red Alaska and a Republican year, probably good enough). Despite his name often popping up connection with the VECO affair, it doesn't seem like he's in any imminent danger of being indicted, which is probably the only way he's going to get pried out of this seat. (Although his primary against Andrew Halcro will bear watching too.)

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6327/akal-young-leads-crawford-by-15