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Edited on Tue Oct-19-10 01:53 PM by Blue_In_AK
There are a couple of reasons why he won the primary, despite Lisa's apparent huge lead leading up to it. Lisa says, and I tend to believe her, that she was rather devastated by the death of her mentor Ted Stevens and three other friends of hers in the plane crash on August 10, right before the primary. There was the mourning, the funeral, etc. etc. It was during this time that the Tea Party Express came in here and bombarded the airwaves with anti-Lisa ads, accusing her of being a librul, RINO, Democrat-loving socialist. So many people don't pay attention to a senator's voting record -- the truth is that Lisa voted with Mitch McConnell 90% of the time over the past two years -- but Lisa just didn't have time or the heart to counteract the accusations, assuming that everyone would know Joe was lying.
The second factor was that there was an initiative on the primary ballot dealing with parental notification in the case of teenage abortions, strongly supported by Miller (who doesn't believe in abortion even for cases of rape and incest) and Mead Treadwell, the R lt. governor candidate. Lisa IS on the record in support of a woman's right to choose, and especially in support of allowing abortion in those extreme cases, so the fundies came out in droves to vote for the initiative (which passed) and against the "baby-killer" Murkowski in the Republican primary.
The morning after the election, Republicans who had failed to vote in the primary because they thought Lisa was safe woke up to their worst nightmare. That's when the push for the write-in began. Lisa took a couple of weeks to make up her mind, shopped around to see if the Libertarians or someone else would substitute her on their ticket, and finally announced her write-in campaign two weeks later. During that time, Scott McAdams gained considerable momentum as the anti-Joe and built up his campaign finances.
Joe has done nothing but implode since the primary with one gaffe after another. I've read many comments at the ADN site saying that if they had known what a crackpot he was, they never would have voted for him. This latest deal with the security guards and Tony Hopfinger has pissed just about everyone off. I think he's going to be left with only his most hard-core Nazi base.
So -- I see this as a race between Lisa and Scott. There is plenty to differentiate the two, so if Dems and left-leaning indies vote their consciences, now that they don't have to be so afraid of Joe, the big bad wolf, I think we stand a really good chance. Write-ins are really tough to win.
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