Recessions in U.S. May Be More Frequent, Severe, Credit Suisse's Soss Says

[marmar]

Recessions in U.S. May Be More Frequent and Severe, Soss Says
By Courtney Schlisserman


July 21 (Bloomberg) -- The fallout from the worst recession since the 1930s means U.S. contractions will be more frequent and severe, according to Neal Soss, chief economist at Credit Suisse in New York.

“The era of rare, brief and mild recessions from the early ’80s to the mid-2000s is over,” Soss said today on a conference call.

Increased regulation and a drive to hold less risky assets such as cash following the financial meltdown will eliminate some of the instruments that helped smooth out economic growth over the past two decades, particularly in the U.S., Soss said. The current slowdown, while unlikely to result in a renewed downturn, will seem worse because the rebound has been weak.

“The starting point of high unemployment, high vacancies and low capacity utilization means any slowing in growth is going to feel dangerously close to a renewed recession,” Soss said. “It’s not the same thing, but it’s going to feel like it.”

President Barack Obama today signed the most sweeping set of financial rules since the Great Depression, capping a yearlong legislative struggle to draft and pass the measure spurred by the 2008 financial crisis that triggered the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and dragged down Wall Street and the U.S. economy. ..........(more)

The complete piece is at: http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=abM_o1qJQ46s&pos=4

[OhioChick]

1. Why don't they just use the "D" word, already?

K&R

[Oregone]

2. Bipolar capitalism

Oh, but the highs must justify the pain of the lows.