Palin is odds-on favorite to win 2012 GOP nomination

[douglas9]

Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is the front-runner to win the Republican presidential nomination in 2012, according to online oddsmakers.

Despite a slew of negative press this fall about Sen. John McCain’s (R-Ariz.) running mate, online gaming site Superbook.com puts Palin’s odds at 3.5-1, the best among Republican hopefuls.

Other top GOP contenders include former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, whose odds are set at 4-1, and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, at 5-1.


Former Rep. Bobby Jindal (R-La.), who is now governor of Louisiana, has a 6-1 shot of claiming the nomination.

http://thehill.com/leading-the-news/palin-is-odds-on-favorite-to-win-2012-gop-nomination-2009-01-02.html

[Xipe Totec]

1. If she doesn't self-destruct before then

good luck.

[demwing]

8. ((Your Subject) - (If + doesn't)) + will

Yes, she will!

[LisaL]

29. What do you think she got to do to self-destruct?

[Xipe Totec]

36. Just be herself

pardon a few more turkeys...

[DiverDave]

2. Good, we will

show even the dumbest that she is so far outta her league that she will crawl back to Wasilla and stay forever.

I like our odds with that one.

[JSK]

3. Good lord, it's four years away

and anything can happen. I wonder what Barack's odds of winning were back in 04. OTOH, I find it rather comforting that she is the best they have to offer. Says a lot about the state of the party.

[Sherman A1]

4. I think it will be Mitt

she may challenge in the primary, but my bet it Mitt. I think he is laying low, building up his team and will be their nominee. Having her in the primary mix will just make things tougher for him.

[SoCalDem]

5. 4years is a long time in politician-years

many interesteing things can happen between now and then..

1) the allure of the young hot chick with the newborn will be no more

2) she won't be a sitting governor or senator or anything..hell she could be selling Amway by them

3) she or tawwwwd could have an affair, that gets some attention

4) Marge Simpson hairstyles may be out of vogue

5) One of the kids may write a "Mommie Dearest"

6) As more republican pols get indicted up there, her name may come up, a la Blago

7) the religious right wingers may end up 86ed from the republican party. amking her appeal a 12% solution

8) The witchdoctor could cast a spell on her, and turn her into a newt

9) Moose insurgency..'nuff said

10)Some Russians show up on her porch and "adopt" her

[Vickers]

14. "Moose insurgency"

Har!

:thumbsup:

[juno jones]

25. Heck,

'Apprenticegate' could be heading her way. ;)

[lamp_shade]

6. I don't think so. n/t

[rpannier]

7. Idiotic

Running odds on an election that's four years away.

The way information runs in this society it could easily be someone none of us have ever heard of.

[Kitty Herder]

9. Are the Repubs bent on committing political suicide?

I mean, daaammnn! Is Palin really the best they have to offer?

[Kahuna]

10. I doubt that. The sane republicans will turn out in droves to defeat her. nt

[stillwaiting]

31. Sane Republicans today are in the minority of their primary voting populace

[Kahuna]

35. If that was true, they would have nominated Huckabee or ghouliani. nt

[Donnachaidh]

11. Yes, Republicans are THAT stupid. n/t

[muriel_volestrangler]

12. Misleading title from 'The Hill'; 'odds-on' means a better than even chance

http://wordnetweb.princeton.edu/perl/webwn?o2=&o0=1&o7=&o5=&o1=1&o6=&o4=&o3=&s=odds-on&h=0&j=0#c

Odds-on
Odds of less than even money. This a bet where you have to outlay more than you win. For example if a horse is two to one odds-on, you have to outlay two dollars to win one dollar and if the horse wins you collect a total of three dollars (the two dollars you bet and the one dollar you won).

http://www.betusa.com/horses/glossary.html

So, while she is their current favourite (I guess they still regard the Republicans as politically suicidal), they're not actually saying they think she's more likely to be the candidate than all the others combined, which is what 'odds-on' would mean. And yes, I've checked that site - she's quoted, in the American method of giving odds, as '+350' - any positive number means it's regarded as less likely than an even chance.

[Obamanaut]

13. Oh, the fun debates. Even if all the participants are repub. nt

[HughBeaumont]

15. Good.

It will prove one of two things:

Either the GOP and their supporters have been reduced to sheer farce . . .

. . . or the even worse scenario that America would collectively become even more brain-dead if she gets elected President. Should that abomination occur, it will prove wholesale that America doesn't take their elections seriously and care only about image instead of qualifications and making things right.

I don't think she'd win if she ran. I think the people of this country spoke in mad volumes about our dissatisfaction with the Republicans and the wholesale destruction their party has caused these past 8 years. And no amount of bullshitting by the right-owned media (who are already trying to pin this horrid economy on Obama :wtf: ) is going to change the fact that 28 non-consecutive years of right-wing rule caused this mess. Bewsh merely rocketed the madness into the stratosphere, making things much, MUCH worse.

[ThomWV]

16. They are out of their minds. 4 years from now nobody will even remember her name

[spanone]

17. she was divisive and hateful therefore she is the perfect rethug candidate

[Vinca]

18. Calling Tina Fey, calling Tina Fey.

:rofl:

[islandmkl]

19. i doubt it...but i hope so...

[JustABozoOnThisBus]

20. 2012 GOP nom is a throw-away

might as well make history - first woman, first alaskan, first candidate to live within eyesight of Russia.

Whoever they select is not going to win, unless Obama totally melts down in the next four years.

But, it's maybe a bit early to start the 2012 primary season, even on DU.

:hi:

[tanyev]

21. And she can pick Todd to be her running mate!

Palin/Palin 2012 :woohoo:

[lpbk2713]

22. That's a good thing.

Twenty percent of the voters like her. The rest think she is laughable.

Let them run her and make it easy for us.

[saltpoint]

23. If voters are pleased with President Obama's first term, and I think

they will be, the Republicans aren't going to stand much of a chance against him, which would be an excellent outcome.

Palin doesn't have a lower-48 scaffolding. She's way the hell up north and far west of any major media market or Party infrastructure, and that's on a good day. On the days when she and Todd are pallin' around with secessionists, she's even farther removed and even more unviable.

If Willard and Huck want the nomination, they're going to take her out early and easily.

[TWiley]

24. Mc Cain was merely a platform upon which they introduced their REAL candidate

poor wittle johnny. they gave him a gun then gave him shame

[spanone]

26. further dumbing down of the rethug brand....i say 'bring her on'

[Mudoria]

27. That's excellent news imo..

the 2012 elections are a lock for an Obama re-election if that occurs.

[Mari333]

28. I certainly hope so

thats a shoe in for obama.

[fishwax]

30. oh, if only. That would be sweet, but I can't see it happening.

[dems_rightnow]

32. Not going to happen.

No chance.

[IDemo]

33. You betcha!

I can see 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. from my house, Churlie!

[santamargarita]

34. Why are we wasting disk space on this white trash?

I almost as sick of her as I am Bush.