By David Weigel 11/16/09 5:54 PM
I see that Doug Hoffman has “un-conceded” in the NY-23 special election after some prodding from Glenn Beck. Unfortunately for the Conservative Party candidate, the absentee ballot count so far points to a victory for Rep. Bill Owens (D-N.Y.). The key problem for Hoffman: Dede Scozzafava, the Republican candidate who was forced out of the race, is winning around one in five absentee ballots so far; she only won one in twenty ballots on election day.
The Watertown Daily Times has the more-or-less final results of the election before absentee ballots were counted. The conservative Gouverneur Times has those results plus the final totals of three counties — three of the seven counties carried by Hoffman on election night — with absentees tallied up ...
But the total picture from this batch of 1,465 absentee ballots is ... a net 225 votes for Hoffman, who’s down by 2,951 votes with 6,123 left to count. It’s simply not the kind of ratio that will deliver victory. If the numbers keep breaking this way, it would point an Owens win of around 2000 votes. But keep in mind, we don’t have absentees yet in the huge Owens counties of Clinton and St. Lawrence.
http://washingtonindependent.com/68016/ny-23-absentees-still-point-to-a-democratic-winIt's moot anyway. Hoffman conceded three weeks ago, and Owens has been sworn into Congress