How are we doing on getting those 15 seats...

[Reciprocity]

in the house?

[INdemo]

1. 3 in Indiana

Maybe 4......

[NOLADEM]

2. Sounds like we might have locked up Foley's and Reynold's Seats

Anyone hear anything about this?

;-)

[Reciprocity]

7. I know Kerry was helping out this weekend...

the dem. (sorry can't remember his name) who is running against him. They will have to keep Foley' name on the ballot with votes going to whoever is their sub.

[keta11]

3. I would not be a happy camper

if I found out on 11/8 morning we didn't gain at least 25 seats. Hoping the sheep wake up and vote Dem.

[rockymountaindem]

4. We're making a fight for it in central Colorado

See my thread on the situation here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=364x2266629

On edit: I think the 7th district in NE Denver is a definate pick-up for our side.

[PCIntern]

5. Montgomery Cty, PA Republican is probably history

Gerlach's gonna lose...Narberth just went Dem after literally 230 years of Republican rule. It was funny as hell to see these guys literally wandering around with nothing to do.

[Zynx]

6. 3 in IN, maybe 2 in CT, 2 in NY, 2 in PA, 1 in WI, 1 in TX, 2 in OH, 1 in

VA(Thelma Drake), 1 in NC, 1 in IA, 1 in AZ, 1 in CO, 1 in NM, etc...

Very good, I would say.

[KharmaTrain]

8. So Far So Good...But GOTV Is Where The Rubber Hits The Road

Kos and MyDD feel that now Foley's district is all but assured to the Democrats, as is DeLay's district and Jim Colbe's in Arizona. That's 3 down and 12 to go.

I'm holding my breath here and gonna wait for another two weeks before I start thinking there's enough seats here to say it's a certainty. I'm still very considered about what I call the "Busbee factor"...that Democrats worked to hard to get to independents and moderate repugnicans that they forgot to get the "old line" Democrats to the polls.

The other unknown is the Repugnican turn-out. I get conflicting signals. Some days...like when Chimpy goes out and lies about 9/11=Iraq...I wonder if those church busses will be filled on election day or if there's not the same fire and brimstone than there was in recent elections. Now with the Foley mess and the problem I'm seeing with women being alienated by the GOOP in droves, they might have dug themselves into a hole deeper than Rove and company can steal themselves out of.

I'm feeling good about a lot of the campaigns I'm seeing and how a new generation of Democrats are coming forward to energize the party. Here's three election night states to watch...Connecticut, Indiana and Florida. If you hear Democrats have made gains in those states, turn off the TV, draw a big, cool one and start celebrating.

Cheers...

[PCIntern]

9. You can not turn off the TV

remember 2000? Can't assume anything where these thieves are concerned...

[KharmaTrain]

10. If You Want A Good Night's Sleep...

...I stayed up through the night and beyond in 2000 and 2004...and then couldn't sleep soldidly for the next 6 months after that...the results upset me so bad. This time I figger if the Democrats show early gains, I'm quitting while I'm ahead. If things go in the other directions, then I'll deal with it in the morning.

Cheers...

[alfredo]

14. If there are reports of chaos at the polls, then you know

Rove is at work.

[longship]

11. By my count, we have the House as of now.

Election Predictions lists the following take-over seats:

AZ-8 D-Gabrielle Giffords v. R-Randy Graf (Jim Kolbe)
CO-7 D-Ed Perlmutter v. R-Rick O'Donnell (Bob Beauprez)
CT-2 D-Joseph Courtney v. R-Rob Simmons (inc)
FL-16 D-Timothy Mahoney v. R-Mark Foley (inc)
IA-1 D-Bruce Braley v. R-Mike Whalen (Jim Nussle)
IN-2 D-Joseph Donnelly v. R-Chris Chocola (inc)
IN-8 D-Brad Ellsworth v. R-John Hostettler (inc)
IN-9 D-Baron Hill v. R-Mike Sodrel (inc)
KY-4 D-Ken Lucas v. R-Geoff Davis (inc)
NC-11 D-Heath Shuler v. R-Charles Taylor (inc)
NY-24 D-Michael Acuri v. R-Raymond Meier (Sherry Boehlert)
OH-18 D-Zach Space v. R-Joy Padgett (Robert Ney)
PA-6 D-Lois Murphy v. R-Jim Gerlach (inc)
VA-2 D-Phil Kellam v. R-Thelma Drake (inc)
VT-AL D-Peter Welch v. R-Martha Rainville (Bernie Sanders)
TX-22 D-Nick Lampson v. R-Tom DeLay (inc)

Of course, one is Sanders' seat. But this puts the House at D-219 to R-216.
Many races are very tight and many Dems are polling ahead of the Repuke opponents, so we should expect that the list will grow before November, especially with this Foley business.

Not a single Dem held seat is in serious jeopardy at this time. What's even better is that we have all the momentum. Watch things to start really jumping our way in the last month as the majority of undecideds break our way. This could be a huge turnover of power.

BTW, another poster is correct, GOTV is the way to victory.

[Reciprocity]

12. Thanks y'all!

[BrotherBuzz]

13. The Doolittle/Charlie Brown race in California (CA4) is one to watch

Charlie Brown didn't have a pray a few months ago, but he's been able to close the gap to a statistical dead heat (39-41 with a 4% error) by driving home the Doolittle/DeLay/Abramoff connection.

Benenson Strategy Group, a firm that also works with the DCCC, conducted the poll at the end of August. It shows Doolittle leading Brown by just 41 percent to 39 percent with 17 percent saying they didn’t know who they would vote for “if the election were held today.” The poll had a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Between Abramoff being in the news cycles and Georgie visiting Doolittle for a fundraiser at, gasp, a gated Country Club on Tues, I expect the margin will close and it could be a squeaker by November if Brown stays on message:

Doolittle supports Sex Slavery, Forced Abortions, and Sweatshops!!!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zimFRGTscIo