http://www.medpagetoday.com/PublicHealthPolicy/PublicHealth/tb/3257 The population of deer? A nonstarter as a risk factor, according to Richard Ostfeld, Ph.D., of the Institute of Ecosystem Studies here.
Most research on Lyme disease has focused on white-tailed deer as a vector, with measurements of precipitation and temperature added to estimate the relative presence or absence of infected ticks.
But an analysis of 13-year data from deciduous forests in New York state's Dutchess Country shows that variations in the deer population play little or no role in the risk of the disease, and temperature and precipitation have only weak effects, Dr. Ostfeld and colleagues reported online in the free access journal PLoS Biology.
Instead, the "strongest predictors of a current year's risk were the prior year's abundance of mice and chipmunks and abundance of acorns two years previously," the researchers argued.