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Lousy exit polls? Jeez, they look pretty good to me...

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 01:17 AM
Original message
Lousy exit polls? Jeez, they look pretty good to me...
Edited on Sat Nov-13-04 01:26 AM by TruthIsAll
All accurate to within ONE percent!

Oh, I forgot.
These don't include OHIO and FLORIDA, the states Bush needed to "win".

ExitPoll4pm Actual Vote
Kerry Bush Kerry Bush

AZ 45 55 45 55
Looks like a pretty good exit poll to me

LA 43 57 42 57
Looks like a pretty good exit poll to me


MI 51 48 51 48
Looks like a pretty good exit poll to me


IA 49 49 49 50
Looks like a pretty good exit poll to me


NM 50 48 50 50
Looks like a pretty good exit poll to me


ME 55 44 53 45
Looks like a pretty good exit poll to me


NV 48 49 48 51
Looks like a pretty good exit poll to me


AR 45 54 45 54
Looks like a pretty good exit poll to me


MO 46 54 46 53
Looks like a pretty good exit poll to me


IL 55 44 55 44
Looks like a pretty good exit poll to me


Avg 48.7 50.2 48.4 50.7
Looks like a pretty good total average to me

OH 51 49 49 51
Looks pretty good to Bush

FL 50 49 47 52
Looks pretty good to Bush

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ROH Donating Member (521 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 01:28 AM
Response to Original message
1. Votergate
OK, now show OH, FL, NH and the other critical states and the averages ... just to complete the comparison.
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m berst Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 01:39 AM
Response to Original message
2. thanks TIA
I have been struggling to find a simple way to present this. You nailed it. Can't say enough about all of your great work.
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txindy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 01:51 AM
Response to Original message
3. Concise, indisputable data
Thanks! This will come in very handy. :toast:
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sadman Donating Member (14 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 02:49 AM
Response to Original message
4. where do they come up with this stuff?
Some moron on the radio the other day was trying to explain away the fucked up exit poll numbers by saying that we called out voters we had signed up to vote when the exit pollers were in place, doing their polling thing. It was supposed to somehow skew the numbers enough to discourage more westernly voters or some such nonsense. Will they stop at nothing to cover up their lies?

BTW, yes, I'm new here and I'm sad. Been a lurker for a while, but this election debacle finally pushed me over the edge and I registered. Reading everyone's posts here is just about the only thing that has kept me sane over the last couple of weeks. Thanks.
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captain disgruntled Donating Member (153 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 11:44 AM
Response to Reply #4
8. Hi, sadman....
glad to read that being here helps.

I enjoyed laughing here before Black Tuesday...since then, my sense of humour seems to have atrophied.
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txindy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 01:44 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. Try not to be too sad
Visualize Senator Kerry being inaugurated on January 20th. We're working to make that happen. The Electoral College has not met yet and will not meet for nearly another month. Keep your eye on the NH recount and watch events unfold in OH, too.

Welcome to DU, sadman! :hi: Give us some more time and you may be fixin' to change your screen name here. ;)
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 07:44 PM
Response to Reply #4
11. Hi sadman!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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sadman Donating Member (14 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 11:12 PM
Response to Reply #11
14. Thanks for the welcome
I don't claim to be the sharpest crayon on the book, but some of the stuff we saw a couple of weeks ago seems real messed up, even to me. I just wish I had some good arguments to counter what they call their "reason" and "logic". I know if it feels wrong, but don't always know exactly how to explain it, ya know?
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Pooka Fey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 04:31 AM
Response to Original message
5. Kick for a great post
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shelley806 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 04:33 AM
Response to Original message
6. Your name is so perfectly apt for you...Thanks a lot. eom
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cthrumatrix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 09:55 AM
Response to Original message
7. excellent post .... of course the media "runs from it".... where the hell
is dem leadership on asking the tough questions?
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senseandsensibility Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 12:32 PM
Response to Original message
9. Wow , this might be simple enough for our "media"
to understand!!!! Those that aren't hopelessly bought off, that is. I know that that's group of about two "journalist", but still. Maybe you should e-mail this to some of them. It kind of says it all. Heck, I think Franken should see it. He seems to be having trouble "getting" the issue.
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bigbluestate Donating Member (25 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 08:02 PM
Response to Original message
12. Only people that beleive these are us.
Left and Right wings both called these polls wrong. The only people that like these polls are us. Our own party leaders.. all of them.. said these were bent in favor of Kerry because they had more women in the poll 59-41. They also didnt poll in any Rural areas.. it was mostly inner city. O

I dont believe in exit polls.. they are witchcraft in my opinon.

If you get 15 people.. 7 for bush 8 for kerry.. but you only talk to 4 of them .. 3 of which are kerry supporters.. you can say Kerry is winning 3-1.. even though its totaly wrong. Thats why i never did like exit polls or any polls for that matter.



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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 09:34 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. They are slowly getting an education in probability theory. Tales time.
tia
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IAMREALITY Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 11:17 PM
Response to Original message
15. Come on DU'rs, Don't you know????
Don't you know that Repubs in AZ, LA, MI, IA, NM, ME, NV, AR, MO, And IL trust CBS, NBC, and ABC and did not fear going up to the pollsters? Don't you people know that only repubs in FL,OH,NH, and the others are prone to that mental illness??
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