OMG! THIS is what a landslide looks like !

[americanmaverick]

Still concerned about the tightening in some national polls ? Then take a look at this looooooooong blue line in today's latest polls column at Realclearpolitics:


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/latestpolls/index.html



That's how it looks like when you're winning in a landslide.!!

[jakem]

1. nice list.

welcome to DU AM!

:hi:

[crossroads]

2. Excellent numbers... I love blue!

[FKA MNChimpH8R]

3. Very grim math for Grampy

I am loving this! :bounce:

[K Gardner]

4. Oh goodness.. we're losing the redneck states !

[gatorboy]

5. Whose bright idea was it in the Republican Party to make commie red their official color?

:rofl:

On a more serious note McCain's biggest gain is Arkansas??? Ugh. I weep for my state.

[smalll]

8. They didn't get to pick. /nt

[smalll]

6. K&R

See this bag?

The election's in it! :party:

[asdjrocky]

7. Welcome to DU.

And as a personal favor, please don't use that L word. Er, americanmaverick.

[americanmaverick]

12. I couldn't use it a week ago

But now I'm feeling more and more confident.It's only 6 days to go my friend. If we get out the vote and I know we will ( we've got the best GOTV squad ever !!!) , we'll win this thing in a landslide.

[ericgtr]

9. Pew has Obama at +15 today

Sweet!

[Terran]

10. Wow--will Nevada go dark blue on

electoral-vote.com tomorrow? Looks like a 9-10 point lead there now! If it does they will have at 270+ solid Democrat.

[FatDave]

25. Pollster.com is already calling a solid 272

They're calling VA solid at +8.

[Terran]

27. Heheh, cooooooool! n/t

[Blue_In_AK]

11. McCain wouldn't be up 11 here

if he hadn't picked Sarah for his VP. Before the pick, he and Obama were about even. McCain is very unpopular here and came in last in the Republican "presidential preference poll" in February. Even with Sarah on the ballot, Obama has gained 7 points since the first of September while McCain has remained static.

[americanmaverick]

16. Why do they like Palin anyway

She surely is an even bigger douchebag than McInsane .

[Blue_In_AK]

19. State pride and all that, I suspect.

Actually, believe it or not, she wasn't all that unlikeable before she reached the national stage, where she has let her inner fundie run wild. She really couldn't get away with that stuff up here, so she had kept those tendencies pretty well closeted. (Little known fact -- Alaska is the LEAST church-attending state in the union.)

As governor she worked well with the Democrats in the legislature and had passed some fairly progressive measures -- plus she was such a contrast from the universally loathed Frank Murkowski, her predecessor -- that she got a free pass. We've been pretty shocked at her behavior down there --although I personally have been getting a kick out of her "maverickiness" here in the waning days -- it's much more like the "in your face" attitude that she displayed towards the old guard Republican power brokers up here during the primary in 2006.

McCain was a fool for not vetting her more thoroughly in Alaska before picking her. He would have known that she "goes her own way" and doesn't care who doesn't like it.

[bushisanidiot]

13. McHate isn't winning in a single one of those listed for today, yet the idiot

thinks he's miraculously going to win. what an IDIOT!!

[americanmaverick]

17. What do you expect him to say ?

The very fact that he has to make this kind of statement proves that he is losing.

[ColbertWatcher]

14. Welcome to DU! k+r, n/t

[EnviroBat]

15. Here's another reason I'm not concerned about this mythical "tightening"

Correct me if I'm wrong, but these polls are collected via land-line calls correct? Many younger voters and first-time voters have cell-phones right? So these polls aren't even reflecting the young voters that are solidly for Obama? These numbers for Obama could conceivably be even higher for our man than what all of these polls are showing now!

[On the Road]

18. Pollsters *Do* Attempt to Correct for Cellphones

and those without phones by weighting their demographics to resemble those of all voters rather than just those who answer landlines. How well that reweighting really corrects for the actual voting population is unknown.

I think this, weighting by party ID, and estimating likely voters are the reasons the polls are all over the place. We won't know for sure until election day, and maybe not even then.

[EnviroBat]

20. Hmmm, interesting...

Sounds a little too convenient to "engineer" some of these numbers when the media wants to make it a horse race.

[On the Road]

24. They Have to Do Some Reweighting

Raw numbers would even more erratic and unreliable.

The adjustments can always be made honestly or dishonestly. I tend to give pollsters the benefit of the doubt. A lot of people this year have accused Zogby of dishonesty -- in some cases, they're the same people who took hope in his 2004 numbers which were favorable to Kerry.

I think accurate polling is becoming harder to do, and pollsters will learn a lot from this election.

[tridim]

21. Wait, didn't you hear? The McCain camp says the race is "functionally tied"

Baghdad Bob would be so proud.

[Essene]

22. This is why folks need to just start ignoring the national polls, esp the LV ones

All the Likely Voter polls are bouncing around because they inherently mix up political leanings with excitement levels and assumptions about turn-out.

What matters are the CLEAR TRENDS ACROSS MANY POLLS AND MANY WEEKS... at the state-level in these swing states.

Could the popular vote be tight? Within single digits? Yes, very much so.

But there's little indication of the Electoral College swinging back in Mccain's favor.... enough to bring him close to 270.

[Quantess]

23. cute name.

Welcome to DU! :hi:

[RichGirl]

26. Thanks...I needed that!!

[dave123williams]

28. Don't. Get. Cocky. Nobody's won anything yet.