That damn AP-Gfk poll strikes again! This time at the state level.

[Drunken Irishman]

And yet, it's good news.

Colorado: Obama leads by 9, 50-41.
Florida: Obama leads by 2, 45-43.
Nevada: Obama leads by 12, 52-40.
NH: Obama leads by 18, 55-37.
NC: Obama leads by 2, 48-46.
Ohio: Obama leads by 7, 48-41.
PA: Obama leads by 12, 52-40.
Virginia: Obama leads by 7, 49-42.

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/apgfk_co_fl_nv_nh_nc_oh_pa_va.php

Of course, these numbers are already out of date, since the poll was taken from the 22nd to the 26th.

[okieinpain]

1. obama, obama, obama, I wish I could follow mcnutts around all day

and just say that over and over again.

[Fire_brand]

2. what the heck is going on in NH??

I thought McCain was making some progress there with his tax argument, now all of a sudden this is the 2 or 3rd poll i've seen with Obama +15 or more

[HughMoran]

4. No complaint from me

I'm lovin' it. Perhaps it's all the negative ads - they're making TV/radio unwatchable/unlistenable - drives a lot of us insane!

[SuperTrouper]

3. Hmm A-hole Poll/Go Fly Kite Poll looks good this time

[HughMoran]

5. GfK = "Go fuck youself" poll

...but maybe not in this instance.

[thoughtcrime1984]

6. The dreaded 3 point lead, 45-43 in FL!

nice math GfK

[GoesTo11]

7. Early voting data looks even better

From the crosstabs:

ASK ONLY IF SAID THEY HAVE ALREADY VOTED: In the election for President in November, for whom did you vote?

Colorado O: 57, M: 34
Florida* O: 45, M: 38
Nevada O: 56, M: 33
New Hampshire O: 52, M 34
North Carolina O: 59, M 33
Ohio O: 56, M 28
Pennsylvania O: 65, M: 22
Virginia O: 67 M 23

*In Florida, 14% refused, compared to much lower numbers in all the other states. This is the only state where Obama is below 50%.

[Two Sheds]

8. The one thing about these polls is the fairly large # of undecideds

Obama is at 50% in two '04 red states. And he is over 50% with double-digit leads in the only two '04 blues in that group. Iowa and New Mexico aren't included. If it's because those states are not seen as battlegrounds, then they must be conceded to Obama, right? Seems to me that Obama is sitting on 26 red electoral votes with no threat to any of the "Kerry blues." That's 278.

[asdjrocky]

9. +12 in Nevada is indeed good news.