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CNN: "Bush's apparent bounce seems small by historical standards."

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Bush_Eats_Beef Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:22 PM
Original message
CNN: "Bush's apparent bounce seems small by historical standards."
Poll: Bush apparently gets modest bounce

http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/09/06/presidential.poll/index.html



Among registered voters in the most recent poll, Bush and Kerry were about even -- 49 percent to 48 percent respectively -- with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Incumbents have gotten an average bounce of slightly more than 6 points in previous elections, so Bush's apparent bounce seems small by historical standards.

Kerry got no bounce coming out of the Democratic convention, making Bush's movement appear robust.

Still, the 2 percentage point bounce could be illusory, since the poll's margin of error was plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
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LisaL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:24 PM
Response to Original message
1. LOL.
Bush got an illusory bounce?
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Bush_Eats_Beef Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:27 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Anytime "apparent" and "modest" appear in the same headline...
...that is NOT a good sign.

:evilgrin:
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VOX Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-04 05:30 AM
Response to Reply #4
16. Absolutely right.
Anything to cushion the fall from the bogus Time magazine 11-point "lead."
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gratuitous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:25 PM
Response to Original message
2. No! He was supposed to get a MINIMUM 15 point bounce
Clearly, Simpleton W. Bush is a miserable failure.

I said he had to get a 15 point bounce, minimum, to avoid being a miserable failure. Looks like he missed by . . . auhm, 15 points.

Miserable failure = George W. Bush.
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:26 PM
Response to Original message
3. Thanks for this..I still can't believe "Kerry got no bounce"
coming from the Fantastic Dem Convention?

Unless the media was sucessful in keeping in under wraps like they were in suppressing the speeches.


Why do you have bush and his supporters on your posts?
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Bush_Eats_Beef Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:29 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. I post Bush pictures for the irony...
...he's smiling and shaking hands and really doesn't have that much to smile about.

Trust me. I'm not pro-Bush.



:toast:
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:48 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. I know you're not "pro bush", sweetie!
I just wanted to know why you did it..cause I didn't get it!

But now I do.."irony". To me it's like all a big fake scene where everyone in the picture is having giant delusions.

:toast:
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NightOwwl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-04 05:15 AM
Response to Reply #3
15. Remember the "terror alert"
coming 2 days after the DNC. That was planned to take the wind out of the sails.

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ItsMyParty Donating Member (835 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:27 PM
Response to Original message
5. What is with these people-----first they go on and on and on
about the Time and Newsweek polls screaming that Bush got an 11 point bounce and Kerry is "dead, I tell ya', dead". And now they have other info and it looks like Bush got next to squat. I'd like to write them a nice note and say: "stop fucking around you propaganda distributors"!!! They know they did their damage and hope a bunch of bummed out Dems will shrug and say "it's all over". Let's seem them not only talk about this every 15 minutes but have their damn tickers run it every 20 seconds like the Time/Newsweek info.
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ItsMyParty Donating Member (835 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:29 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. --oh, and p.s. - the network news blared the 11 point bounce; so will
they be bringing these other new polls up and explaining things to the people??--hell no. They want the 11 point figure to stick in people's minds. Let every talking head point this up because I saw Tweety still pounding it tonight and the Dem guy never straightened it out.
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bringbackfdr Donating Member (196 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:31 PM
Response to Reply #5
8. TV nitiwts
These talking heads are incapable of analytical thought; they latch onto the first thing they hear and regurgitate it. When they are proved wrong, they act as though their original thesis never existed.
Geez, sounds like a certain president. Maybe that's why they like this guy.
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Bush_Eats_Beef Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:33 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. I thought about the Chris Matthews RNC remarks...
...I only watched the final night of the convention, but I read a post on DU in which someone said that on day 1 Matthews made a remark to the effect of "well, THIS race is over..."

I'm also less than impressed by the wishy-washy way in which CNN backed off from the "alleged bounce" (Gawd, I love saying that).

Fox took the "Bush surges ahead" teaser off its front page because I guess if you have a modest fictional two point bounce you ain't surgin' ANYWHERE...

:evilgrin:
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:50 PM
Response to Reply #9
13. Oh good, tweety has to EAT CROW!
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wurzel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:43 PM
Response to Original message
10. MSNBC gave Kerry a 4 point bounce after Dem convention.
Twice Bush's.
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dreadneck Donating Member (55 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 08:49 PM
Response to Original message
12. polls up, down, up again
...and all points in between

It's like a horror movie or a rollercoaster. You know the danger's not real, but it still scares the crap out of you.
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DeepModem Mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-04 03:38 AM
Response to Reply #12
14. You're right, dreadneck -- welcome to DU!
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cthrumatrix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-04 09:49 AM
Response to Original message
17. well...wait til the coke story hits
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