FL POLL: Obama 48 (-1), McCrypt 47 (+1)

[jefferson_dem]

Tuesday, October 21, 2008
Close Race in Florida

Barack Obama 48
John McCain 47

Florida has tightened up a little since PPP's last poll of the state, with what was a 49-46 lead for Obama now 48-47.

There has been some movement in John McCain's direction with both white voters and Hispanics over the last three weeks. McCain's margin has increased five points with whites, from 52-41 to 55-39. Hispanic voters, who have swung back and forth both in PPP's polls and those of most organizations conducting surveys in Florida, are supporting McCain 50-46 after going for Obama by the exact same margin in our previous poll.

<SNIP

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2008/10/close-race-in-florida.html

[HughMoran]

1. +1 better than -1

This will be another nail-biter - let's hope we aren't relying on FL on election day.

[FVZA_Colonel]

2. I was expecting a tie or McCain being in the lead.

Not too bad, considering.

[Median Democrat]

3. The Polling Sample Is Through Sunday...

So, it does not include Obama's Monday and Tuesday campaign swing with Hillary, so hopefully we get a bump.

[Drunken Irishman]

4. Not bad.

Florida is going to be close.

[S_E_Fudd]

5. Noise...

No conclusions can be drawn from a 1% change in an opinion poll

[SeeHopeWin]

6. There is something called statistical noise in all polls, always about 2% or so...nt

[SuperTrouper]

9. That is correct. This poll is a perfect example of statistical noise

[DerekJ]

7. This just means it's still a tossup .. Ground game and turnout will be a decisive factor in FL

Hopefully that’s on our side.

[nc4bo]

8. It's either noise or people are listening to those shitfilled robocalls....Come on FL

get yourselves together FFS.

[Kdillard]

10. Not bads I thought they were going to show a McCain lead. It will be close but the trends are

still in our favor.

[Phoonzang]

11. "Hispanics" means conservative Cubans right? n/t

[GrizzlyMan]

13. Yes, they are rallying around their RW masters

You know, the ones that tried to take away their right to visit their relatives. They seem to love oppression.

[Divine Discontent]

15. I'd say yes.

If they polled Cuban Miami the rate is probably 80-20 McSame, but "Hispanics" is a bunch of other people too, and the Puerto Ricans I know in Orlando are all for Obama. Cubans (in general) tend to be hard core Catholics and very harsh on 'morals'. Thank GOD for the other Latinos in FL. It's going to be close in OH and FL but I think Obama's ground game (if there isn't election theft, obviously) makes him a narrow winner in FL and a 2 point winner in OH. I voted in FL already, gotta make sure my siblings do.


MORE AT www.cafepress.com/warisprofitable

[Shoelace]

12. Dems have 600,000 more registered voters in Florida!

I was just reading this on MSN. Now if we can just get FL. to count them all!

"Registration numbers released Sunday show a 600,000-voter edge for Democrats over Republicans in Florida: 4.7 million versus 4.1 million, with 2.1 million people identifying with neither party. The McCain campaign acknowledged it expected more Democrats than Republicans to vote early, but says GOP voters have requested 295,000 absentee ballots statewide compared with 199,000 Democrats."
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/10/21/1574819.aspx

[Cha]

14. Good...More Schleppers needed..more

GOTV..Does this include Powell's endorsement?

[1corona4u]

16. I don't buy it.

54% turnout yesterday for the dems, vs. 30% turnout for the republickins...