For reference, detailed results of 2004 election in PA

[scheming daemons]

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/PA/

Overall

Kerry    2,938,095 51% 
Bush     2,793,847 49% 

In Philadelphia county:

Kerry      542,205
Bush       130,099 

Rest of state:

Kerry    2,395,890
Bush     2,663,748

Bottom line: Kerry won Philly by 412,000.... Bush won the rest by 268,000



I think Obama can win Philly by 650,000 this time, with the higher turnout expected

But I also think McCain can win the rest of the state by up to 400,000 - because the rest of the state is a bunch of racist, NRA-member, pro-life, bitter fucks. I live among them.


That's close enough to steal..... or at least challenge in the courts because of ACORN registration drives in Philly area (and the whole state, really).

[Unsane]

1. PA is McCain's endgame.

[life_long_dem]

2. Do you remember how Kerry was polling up to the election?

[scheming daemons]

3. Final polls seemed to have Kerry up between 1 and 4... (Link)

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/pa_polls.html

[life_long_dem]

6. Thanks.

[alcibiades_mystery]

4. You're really drumming up this nonsense

My hope is that you're trying to energize the campaign workers in PA.

Obama by 8% in PA. And I lived among them for far too long as well.

[Desertrose]

9. Lots of my repub friends in Lanc Co are voting Obama

Even my ex is voting Obama!


I really feel Obama is going to do just fine in PA.

[Lugnut]

10. All of my friends are voting Obama.

To put it in perspective I am talking about sportsmen and women almost exclusively. Every one of them is voting Obama. My husband's best friend stated that he can't afford another four years of the same old, same old and either can anyone he knows.

[elkston]

5. Unsane, please change your sig. image.

It's getting very annoying and its too large.

[Unsane]

7. no

it isn't that big, either

[redstate_democrat]

8. Obama will win PA handedly.

Look, we know PA is a hot ass mess in Western PA and with the Diebold machines. BUT, Obama will STILLLLLLL kick McCain's ass there. Obama will SMASH McCain into ground salt in Philly, Montgomery County, and break decently in Allegheny. Plus, Biden is the third senator from PA.

Biden will have his ass parked in PA the last two days of the campaign, I'm sure.