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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-08 10:50 AM
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TPM: Polls: Obama Edging Into Lead In Ohio
Only the FAUX/Rasmussen poll lags behind:

Polls: Obama Edging Into Lead In Ohio
By Eric Kleefeld - October 7, 2008, 11:39AM

Here's a story that's just starting to get noticed: Ohio seemed like a McCain state in September, but economic jitters and the final dissipation of McCain's convention bounce have now edged Obama into the lead in almost all of the recent polls:

• CNN: Obama 50%, McCain 47% (Oct 7)

• ABC/WaPo: Obama 51%, McCain 45% (Oct 6)

• Rasmussen: McCain 48%, Obama 47% (Oct 6)

• Columbus Dispatch: Obama 49%, McCain 42% (Oct 5)

• GQR (D): Obama 49%, McCain 43% (Oct 1)

• Quinnipiac: Obama 50%, McCain 42% (Oct 1)

Ohio was rated as "Leans McCain" over at Pollster.com just a few weeks ago, but as of this morning it's now been reclassified as "Leans Obama."

Bonus finding: The internals from the ABC/WaPo seem to disprove people who say Obama's candidacy is based on fluff. Among those respondents who say personal qualities are the most important, it's McCain who is winning by a 62%-34% margin. Those voters who say they're picking their candidate based on the issues are going to Obama 65%-30%.

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/
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liberal N proud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-08 10:53 AM
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1. How large does his lead need to be before the media will give him the state
Some polls have had him up by 8 or more in Ohio and all you hear in the media is he is slightly ahead.
:wtf:
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occe Donating Member (558 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-08 10:54 AM
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2. The Rasmussen worries me
:( He needs to win Ohio and that's not a good sign. I am happy with the rest.
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thereismore Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-08 10:57 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Correction: McCraps needs to win Ohio and yes it isn't a good sign. For him. nt
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