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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) |
Kurt_and_Hunter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 10:40 AM Original message |
Clarifying Chick Todd's Comments (re: Obama losing 70% undecideds) |
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BumRushDaShow (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 10:43 AM Response to Original message |
1. The other possibility is that alot of these "undecideds" sit home on election day. n/t |
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Kurt_and_Hunter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 10:46 AM Response to Reply #1 |
5. Yes, some undecideds will not bother to vote. |
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Cha (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 12:49 PM Response to Reply #5 |
19. Yeah, some "undecideds" will never |
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EV_Ares (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 10:43 AM Response to Original message |
2. So what info is he basing his theory on by the 70%. Are there certain poll #s that |
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Kurt_and_Hunter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 10:49 AM Response to Reply #2 |
7. Predicting behavior of undecideds is mostly a judgment call |
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RagAss (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 10:43 AM Response to Original message |
3. My theory...there are no undecideds ... just folks afraid one way |
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1corona4u (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 10:45 AM Response to Original message |
4. And this year, I think undecided means |
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Kurt_and_Hunter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 10:50 AM Response to Reply #4 |
8. I agree. This is a base election with a high level of disaffection in the middle. |
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ClarkUSA (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 10:48 AM Response to Original message |
6. Who indies will break for will depend on the state and the situation on the ground. |
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EV_Ares (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 11:00 AM Response to Reply #6 |
9. Absolutely, this is why the media appears to be pulling out all their cards now to |
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JaneQPublic (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 11:11 AM Response to Original message |
10. Actually, Chuck said Obama must be at 48 percent before the election, not 50 (nt) |
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Abacus (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 11:15 AM Response to Reply #10 |
12. It will depend on how much McCain support lags; |
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Kurt_and_Hunter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 11:15 AM Response to Reply #10 |
13. I thought he said 50% at the beginning, then 48% in his summation. |
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Abacus (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 11:13 AM Response to Original message |
11. Months ago, Nate Silver at 538 published a regression that generally describes how gaps close |
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Kurt_and_Hunter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 11:17 AM Response to Reply #11 |
17. I like your general range. undecideds 54-46, one way or another. |
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Ghost of Tom Joad (651 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 11:16 AM Response to Original message |
14. poppycock |
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rucky (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 11:16 AM Response to Original message |
15. Our edge will come from registering new voters. |
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ginnyinWI (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 11:17 AM Response to Original message |
16. say what they will--enthusiasm for McCain is low. |
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NoodleyAppendage (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 11:27 AM Response to Original message |
18. "Undecideds" "Rust Belt Voters" "Low Information Voters" All bullshit euphemisms for RACISTS. |
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BlooInBloo (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 12:51 PM Response to Reply #18 |
20. After performing a thorough study, I've found that it's essentially *impossible*.... |
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DemocratSinceBirth (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Sep-14-08 12:55 PM Response to Original message |
21. The Seventy Percent Figure |
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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) |
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