We appear to have survived the GOP convention without too much damage

[bluestateguy]

I went to bed last night worried about this election for the first time in months, but I feel somewhat better today.

It seems increasingly likely that the bizarre USA Gallup poll (McCain up 10?) was an outlier. They never revealed how they teased out a "likely voter". Other polls out today reveal McCain ahead within the MOE. PPP has Obama up 1 in Michigan (some damage yes, but not catastrophic), Survey USA has McCain up only 2 in Virginia, which is only a point better than the last time they polled VA. I can assure you all that Obama has a far superior ground game in Michigan, as well as the unions, who will have their own election day operation. Finally, Rasmussen polled a bunch of swing states and the only one that worries me a bit is Ohio, where McCain is up 7. But I was also very pleased to see that Obama's lead in Colorado held (+3), and Florida is an exact tie. McCain needs Florida much more than Obama does. Obama leads in PA by 2. That's just noise from the GOP convention bounce.

Links to the state polls: http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/8/181341/4112/195/587625

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Michigan_908.pdf

Yes, they got a bounce, perhaps even a bit bigger than the Democrats bounce, but convention bounces always fade away, as this will too.

[brentspeak]

1. K and R

:kick:

[KingFlorez]

2. The numbers still look very good

And with three months out, there is still lot of time to bring our numbers up in the swing states.