Obama Now 334 to McCain 204 in Electoral Votes (according to 538.com)

[berni_mccoy]

I've recently discovered 538.com. Apparently, they are partnered with Rasmussen. It is pretty detailed with the math: www.fivethirtyeight.com

Here are their latest projections:

EV: O: 333.9 to Mc: 204.1

Win Likelihood: O: 74.3% Mc: 25.7%

Popular Vote: O: 52.3 Mc: 47.7%

[jaysunb]

1. They need to add

Virgina
N.C.
Ga.
Ms.
Nv.
Mt
and at least one of the Dakotas

[berni_mccoy]

4. VA and NV are credited toward Obama in that count.

[99th_Monkey]

2. I'm sure the MSM will point out what a "problem" this is for Obama...

like they did here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x6380496

idiot RW tools.

[bunnies]

3. Bluer by the day!

That sure is a purty map! :bounce:

[DU9598]

5. What's up with Arkansas

They have two Democratic senators and a good new Democratic governor. Why is it deep red, not even pink?

[berni_mccoy]

6. Clinton.

[WeDidIt]

10. I'm more SHOCKED about West Virginia

WTF is up with that pink color? I woulda thought it'd be deep red.

And Indiana, who'da thunk it?

[Tatiana]

12. Ohhh, I've always thought Obama would win Indiana narrowly. n/t

[FlyingSquirrel]

7. Meh

A little optimistic, methinks.

I have 276 to 262

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x6378619#6380720

Nevada, Missouri, Michigan, Indiana, Virginia, Florida are still in McCain's column for the time being.

(MI and VA are near-ties)

[Drunken Irishman]

8. I think yours is way off.

No way will Obama lose Missouri and Michigan. Why? Because of the black vote. It'll turn out in record high numbers and it'll be enough to carry both states, especially Michigan. If Missouri is within 1-3 points on election day, I don't see an Obama loss. The black areas of St. Louis and Kansas City will put him over the top.

Plus, how can you give Michigan to McCain when Obama is leading in the most recent polls there?

[FlyingSquirrel]

11. Mine is not intended to predict election day - just a snapshot of today.

I especially am hoping for a Missouri win because it's a bellweather state that really seems to go to the winner just about every time.

[Drunken Irishman]

13. But if it's a snap shot, how can you have Obama losing those states?

The most recent polls have him up in Missouri, Michigan, two have him up in Florida and Virginia.

[FlyingSquirrel]

14. OK, call it a "slow exposure"

;)

[WeDidIt]

9. WOOOHOOO!!!

:woohoo:

We're North Carolina away from pushing McCain below the 200 EV line!!

[davidpdx]

15. If he gets less then 200

It's going to be mighty embarrassing for him AND the Republican Party.