MSNBC: Obama to claim majority of all delegates next Tuesday night/Wednesday morning

[seafan]

Hold onto your seats! Yes, we can!



First Read, MSNBC
Posted: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 9:29 AM by Mark Murray


Obama to claim majority of all delegates next Tuesday night or Wednesday morning

*** Over the top: As NBC’s Tim Russert reported on Nightly News last night, the Obama campaign will claim a majority of all delegates -- whether it’s 2,026, 2,210, or a number in between -- next Tuesday night or Wednesday morning. According to our sources, Obama's been making calls on the Hill this week (the place where more undeclared superdelegates live than any other in the country) in an attempt to gather the number he needs, probably around 45 supers in order to declare Tuesday night or Wednesday morning. The campaign is hoarding commitments from undeclared superdelegates to hit these magic numbers once the nominating contests come to a close on June 3. The actual choreography, however, hasn't been agreed to yet; it depends on what happens at Saturday’s DNC meeting. Here’s one scenario: Obama announces enough supers on Monday June 2 to bring him within 10 delegates of the new magic number. Then on Tuesday evening, just as the polls close in Montana, Obama thanks that state for putting him over the top as the small state is one the Obama camp is hoping to put in play for the fall. Sure, it's three electoral votes but every EV may matter if he's got to make up for not winning Florida and (maybe) Ohio.

Blueprint for Saturday's DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee meeting(?)

*** A blueprint for Saturday? Speaking of Saturday's DNC meeting… A packet sent around to members of the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee has some neutral opinions about the various challenges. One thing folks ought to not miss is the fact that the DNC rules had called for an automatic 50% delegate cut for states that violate the window. The Rules committee went beyond that -- which was within its rights -- and took away ALL of the delegates. Doesn't this provide the blueprint for what's likely to happen on Saturday -- a reinstatement of 50% of the delegates in both states? In fact, if we're interpreting this right, and if the Rules committee follows the letter of the law on this issue, they can't reinstate 100% of the delegates because of the initial violation. For those following the FL/MI fight closely, realize that a Florida compromise seems to be fairly easy to come to; frameworks are being developed as you read. But Michigan is the real riddle. The biggest impediment there are those “uncommitted” delegates; If the Rules committee decides to accept the January primary results then it's not clear, via the DNC charter, that it's within the party's rules to assign uncommitted delegates to Obama. Of course, as multiple members of the Rules committee told NBC News, there's such a thing as "political will," which could trump the DNC charter. Oh, the joys of what we'll be watching on Saturday.

[glowing]

1. I think Obama will win Florida. Its been really bad here for a long time...

We are very used to looking at all colors and hearing all kinds of languages.. Sure, Joe Scar's area will go Red, but Miami, Tampa, and Orlando will make up for the bigots at the top of the state.. People cannot afford to live another 4 more Bush years.. We had the brother earlier than the rest of the country had the other.. its bad and its not getting better and many people, no matter what you hear on tv from M$M, are growing ever more wary and pissed off at the Repug state senate and Crist for not doing anything to help with the property taxes and the ins. rates.. too many losing their homes and jobs and dignity to vote for McCain.. McCain is NOT going to win Florida.

On Edit: Also, a lot of Seniors think he's much too old.. and they love hearing Obama telling them that he's going to suspend paying tax on social security for those who qualify (and that's most of them that really need it).. and its only fair.. they've already paid the tax already.

[beachmom]

2. I don't know if my folks are typical, but there actually are some retirees

who are very nervous about McCain being president because of his age. These elderly folks know how much they have slowed down and how they are not as sharp as they used to be. They are concerned about McCain's advanced age. Has anyone else heard that from their parents?

[BonnieJW]

4. When he speaks,

his voice sounds frail. He is the stereotypical elderly statesman. Slow, frail, not really aware of what's going on. He laughs at inappropriate remarks and can't really give an answer that isn't scripted. He'll be smashed during any debate.

[Max_powers94]

3. Good!!!!!!!!!!!!