Momentum? Obama shares have gone from 73.9 to 76.9 in the past 12 hours....

[scheming daemons]

...in heavy trading at intrade.com and rasmussenreports.com


http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/latest_results_from_rasmussen_markets



That's a pretty huge jump in half a day.....



Something is happening out there... and it isn't good for Hillary.

[PBS Poll-435]

1. That is pretty big. Correlates with Rasmussen & Gallup Dailies.

But many here will tell you that it is online gambling and it is irrelevant!

;-)

[thoughtcrime1984]

2. They were at 87 on intrade a couple weeks ago

Should've stayed there, but scaredy-cats worried about Wright and the media's braying, brought them down to 70 at one point. Too much reaction, when the outcome is staring people in the face, and has been, for quite some time.

[LisaM]

3. I can't believe someone would gamble on an election

that's like gambling on peoples' lives......

[Boz]

4. Its called "insurance"

[scheming daemons]

7. I can't believe people would buy and sell stocks in companies that hire thousands.....

...that's like gambling on peoples' lives....



:eyes:


It's stock trading. And Obama's stock is up SHARPLY this morning.... this tells you what the word on the street is.


Something's happening......

[LisaM]

10. Well, I'm not really a market investor either

other than what I can't help, like my retirement.

I don't like how companies do things that adversely affect millions on behalf of their shareholders.

[RichardRay]

15. It's one of the best predictors out there...

I posted a few days ago on the concept of 'The Wisdom of Crowds', options markets like Intrade and the Iowa Electronic Markets are very useful devices. Nobody is going to get rich from them, but they do aggregate opinion very effectively. You might google the phrase 'Wisdom of Crowds' and see what you feel about the whole thing.

[pnorman]

16. "The Wisdom of Crowds". I have that in Audible.com format.

I was planning on giving it a second listen anyhow, since (as you say) it has a direct bearing on these discussions. I'll DEFINITELY get to it tonight.

Here's the Wiki on that book: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wisdom_of_Crowds Consider getting that book, as it'll give you some new and perhaps startling insights. For books of this nature, the print version would probably be better than the spoken word one.

pnorman

[grantcart]

5. 6 super delegates in today I would buy

[grantcart]

6. 77.1

[Name removed]

8. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[not_too_L8]

9. money talks... K&R

[RainDog]

11. in response to word of the "nuclear option."

that's the bounce. if Hillary is so desperate that she is willing to nuke the party... she is already the de facto loser.

[me b zola]

12. Excellent

:headbang:

[IamyourTVandIownyou]

13. And he won the last contest.

Guam.

[wiggs]

14. Literally...every day Clinton doesn't pick up more delegates is a loss. nt

[scheming daemons]

17. UPDATE: Obama's share prices have spiked up to 78 in heavy trading this morning.....

SOMETHING IS HAPPENING OUT THERE.

[democrattotheend]

18. Nobody knows anything yet. Relax.

No valid exit poll data gets leaked before 5 PM. Since 2006, people with access to the data get locked in a room with no cell phone access until 5 PM. So these people are just speculating.

I do feel a little bit of a shift though...slightly more optimistic today for some reason. Maybe other people feel that way too.

[scheming daemons]

19. That's all this is measuring... the public "mood". Positive vibes for Obama the past two days...