SUSA Indiana: Clinton (54) ; Obama (42)

[MattNC]

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=777e9395-9b22-44ec-a525-981fcb9029e9

3.8 margin of error.

Black vote: 77-21 Obama
White vote: 58-39 Clinton

Black vote is lower than usual for Obama. But even if it's actually 90-10 Obama, it wouldn't sway the results too much. We should be heading for a split tomorrow.

[MadBadger]

1. Let us all pray for Zogby.

[Maribelle]

10. I agree - - Zogby needs prayers.

Being wrong is one thing. Zogby's massive errors are a disgrace and quite shameful.

[MadBadger]

14. Let us all pray he pulls a PA

[Jersey Devil]

2. only 77% black vote for Obama?

That's the lowest I have seen yet. I know SUSA's been pretty accurate this year but that number makes me think they might be off in this one.

[Barack_America]

5. SUSA always has this, and it's always wrong.

They were predicting something similar for PA, in which 93% of African Americans ended up voting for Obama.

They've been consistently off in their estimation of the African American vote, but it has oddly been balanced out by the Republicans voting for Hillary so the end result is usually a wash.

[MadBadger]

12. no, actually they were predicting him to take the black vote in PA 87-11

[Barack_America]

17. Sorry, I must have missed that poll.

My apologies.

[Innocent Smith]

19. I thought SUSA nailed PA?

[PBS Poll-435]

26. They did. They always have Obama's number within a point or two.

[Barack_America]

27. I think you missed my point...

They tend to underestimate Obama's African American support, but it usually ends up being canceled out by the "Operation Chaos" BS.

[Innocent Smith]

31. So in this case two wrongs do make a right

:)

[faithfulcitizen]

15. I think AA hoosiers were even pretty upset with the Wright press club performance.

After Obama denounced strongly, things are changing. The non-stop coverage is really hurting him here.

[democrattotheend]

28. You think it hurt him with black voters?

Are some black voters in Indiana upset about the way he handled it?

[faithfulcitizen]

30. I think Wright hurt him, but he handled it very well. I think they were pretty upset at Wright.

Just a possible explanation about the 77% number.

[my2cent]

3. go hill

:woohoo: :woohoo:

[Maribelle]

16. Yes!

:applause:

[MadBadger]

4. Any idea when SUSA will release their final NC poll?

I'm assuming there will be one.

[MattNC]

6. Probably later today

but don't put too much stock in it. SUSA, while the best pollster this year, has not performed well in the South. They've underestimated Obama's support consistently, except for in Virginia I think.

[MadBadger]

7. Every pollster has underestimated Obama in the South

They all did in SC, GA, AL, and to some extent in Virginia too.

[Maribelle]

8. Hillary has the Hoosiers right where she wants them, right where she needs them, where they need her

Clinton Has The Hoosiers Right Where She Wants Them, 24 Hours Till Votes Are Counted: 24 hours till votes are counted in the Indiana Democratic Primary, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama in the symbolically important popular vote, and possibly by enough to pick up more than a trivial number of net Convention delegates, according to SurveyUSA's final pre-primary tracking poll conducted for WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WHAS-TV Louisville. In 4 tracking polls over the past 5 weeks, Clinton has never polled lower than 52%, Obama has never polled higher than 43%. At the wire, they finish: Clinton 54%, Obama 42%. Among males, the two have been tied in 3 of the 4 tracking polls. Among females, Clinton has always led by at least 14, and finishes ahead by 22. Among Republicans and Independents, the two are effectively tied. Among Democrats, Clinton finishes ahead by 19. Clinton leads among Conservatives, Moderates and Liberals. She leads among Pro Life and Pro Choice voters, among regular and not-so-regular church goers. In Northern Indiana, she leads by 11. In Central and Southern Indiana, she leads by 27. In greater Indianapolis, Obama leads. Among voters under 35, Obama leads. Among voters over 35, Clinton leads.

[Shoelace]

9. interesting demographics in those numbers

from SUSA's site:


Clinton Has The Hoosiers Right Where She Wants Them, 24 Hours Till Votes Are Counted: 24 hours till votes are counted in the Indiana Democratic Primary, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama in the symbolically important popular vote, and possibly by enough to pick up more than a trivial number of net Convention delegates, according to SurveyUSA's final pre-primary tracking poll conducted for WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WHAS-TV Louisville. In 4 tracking polls over the past 5 weeks, Clinton has never polled lower than 52%, Obama has never polled higher than 43%. At the wire, they finish: Clinton 54%, Obama 42%. Among males, the two have been tied in 3 of the 4 tracking polls. Among females, Clinton has always led by at least 14, and finishes ahead by 22. Among Republicans and Independents, the two are effectively tied. Among Democrats, Clinton finishes ahead by 19. Clinton leads among Conservatives, Moderates and Liberals. She leads among Pro Life and Pro Choice voters, among regular and not-so-regular church goers. In Northern Indiana, she leads by 11. In Central and Southern Indiana, she leads by 27. In greater Indianapolis, Obama leads. Among voters under 35, Obama leads. Among voters over 35, Clinton leads.





:kick: :kick: :kick: :kick:

[Maribelle]

13. I was surprised by Obama's very poor showing in Central and Southern parts of the state

Central 35%
Southern 34%

But then again the southern part of the state is near Kentucky where his numbers are even far worse.

[DemGa]

11. Great news!!

[NJSecularist]

Yup.

:woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo:

Even if you give Obama 90% of the black vote in this poll, he still loses by double digits.

Obama is tanking among whites. He is unelectable.

[Eric Condon]

25. And Zellary is tanking among black voters.

If you think she's "electable" without their votes, then I can't wait to see the look on your face come November when your candidate's sense of entitlement pays off with just what she always wanted - a GOP presidency, whether it's hers or McCrazed's.

[joeybee12]

18. You're right, a split...Hilary by 8 in Indiana, Barry by 5 in NC...

...that's my take.

[thewiseguy]

20. Barry?!

[joeybee12]

21. I stopped calling him Barry because some were offended, but after the

insanity of the doctored Kantor video, the gloves are back off!

[thewiseguy]

22. Really? Well thanks for the admission.

[joeybee12]

23. Please note that I don't consder calling him Barry offensive...

...not sure what you think the admission is.

[thewiseguy]

24. Right!

:eyes: I read what you said.

[ps1074]

29. The black vote

Will vote 90+ for Obama and will win the state for him :bounce: