|
Myth #1 Hillary Clinton is winning the popular vote.
No, not true. She is counting Michigan and Florida. And both elections have been ruled to be invalid by the DNC, and Clinton herself has said in the past that neither "count" for anything. Just because she's changing her tune when she's down and nearly out, doesn't mean shit. Michigan didn't even have Senator Obama's name on the ballot, so when the Clinton campaign says she's leading the popular vote they're counting all these votes for themselves and zero for Obama because we don't actually know how many Michigan voters would have voted for Obama if given the chance. So let's say you just count Florida, which had Obama on the ballot--even though he didn't actively campaign there. Hillary Clinton is still losing the popular vote by 46,000 votes in that scenario. But in the end, neither contest is valid by DNC rules. Hillary and her campaign agreed at the time, despite now wanting both to count. So in the actual popular vote, Obama is leading by 300,000+ votes and he's won twice as many states as Hillary!
Myth #2 Senator Obama doesn't want to debate Senator Clinton.
By my last count, we've had 21 debates. We know where Hillary Clinton stands, we know where Barack Obama stands. But Hillary is hoping is that we'll have more debates like ABC had, that aren't about the issues--but instead are witchhunts where she and the media can pounce on Republican talking points like she did with the help of ABC and Clinton pal George Stephanopoulos. If Obama were afraid to debate Clinton, he wouldn't of debated her dozens of times. I've seen so many debates this election, my head could spin. What's one more going to accomplish? Absolutely nothing. The candidates should stick to their current schedule of touching the voters one-on-one, and addressing the issues dearest to them. Not go into another witch hunt debate with the corporate media. 21 debates is more than enough, who needs 22 or 23? Especially if it's going to be about Rev. Wright, Rezko, Wal-Mart, Bosnia, or patriotism. And not healthcare, the economy, or the war.
Myth #3 Pennsylvania put Hillary back into this race, and in a position to possibly win again.
My answer is how? PoliticalWire.com reports that by winning Pennsylvania by the margin she did, when you do the math, it's actually **HARDER** not easier for her to win the nomination. Before PA, she need 63% of the vote in the remaining states to have the chance to get more delegates than Barack Obama. Clinton now needs 296 of the remaining 435 delegates up for grabs (or approximately 68% of the vote.) In contrast, Obama needs 140 of the remaining 435 to have the majority (or about 32% of the vote.) Which means it's not more difficult for her to win the nomination. Her last, best chance is officially over with. She has won some battles, but Obama is winning the war.
Myth #4 Barack Obama isn't electable against John McCain, Hillary Clinton is.
According to the latest RealClearPolitics average of the polls, Barack Obama leads John McCain by 2 points. Clinton leads McCain by only 0.3 points nationwide under the same RCP average of major polling. Rasmussen has Obama leading 47-45% over McCain, while Clinton trails McCain 47-45% in the latest poll used on RealClearPolitics. Polling shows that along the general public, Clinton's unpopularity is rising faster than Obama's. The most recent Washington Post-ABC News poll had 44% of the public feeling favorable toward Clinton, and 54% unfavorable. Obama stands at 56/39, and McCain at 54/40. As we've seen, Obama also attracts independents and moderate Republicans in volumes Hillary Clinton couldn't. He absolutely solidifies the African American base, and brings a lot of younger voters into the mix that otherwise wouldn't be interested in politics or voting. And as Electoral-Vote put it "The bottom line is that while many blue-collar workers prefer Clinton, they still prefer any Democrat to John McCain so the Democrats are not in grave danger of losing states like Pennsylvania that they must win in November. What Obama brings to the table is sudden competitiveness in states like Virginia, Iowa, Missouri, and Colorado, which Republicans normally win easily."
|