Key Exit Poll number Obama Gets 57% of the Female vote

[Perky]

61% of the male vote

[dramatica]

1. That means he probably won 57-58% of the vote n/t

[babylonsister]

2. Hill's base?

:evilgrin:

[LSparkle]

3. Eroding again ... just like on Potomac Tuesday

Her dirty campaign tactics are backfiring ... thankfully!

[Captain Hilts]

16. Largest % of black voters in the country. Her base is not eroding. nt

[LSparkle]

19. He's winning WOMEN voters, not just black women ...

and he's winning MEN not just black men. Keep trying to "slice-and-
dice" it if you like but when he's winning the majority of women in
general, her base is slipping away.

[Captain Hilts]

27. She won the majority of white women. Women have NEVER voted as a bloc...

They lean, but do not vote as a block.

[supersonica]

28. So her base is eroding because she lost in Mississippi as expected?

Makes sense to you, maybe.

How can you use Mississippi as a barometer of her national situation?

[Obamanaut]

35. It was supposed to be over now. Why was she expected to lose

In Mississippi?

I posted this on another thread, but it fits here nicely also.



http://baltimorechronicle.com/2008/010308Burns.shtml

<snip>On Dec. 30, when Hillary Clinton wrapped up with George Stephanopoulos on the ABC Television Sunday talk show "This Week," she signed off by absently summarizing the primary season: “It’ll be over by Feb. 5.”<snip>



I just love this little excerpt.

[supersonica]

36. But you said that her base was eroding, you didn't mean compared to February

You meant compared to the state of her base just before the Mississipi vote.

If you meant that her base was eroding compared to February, then that was just a weird analysis.

[Obamanaut]

38. Say what? I didn't mention any base. nt

[sandnsea]

4. Don't forget that's an exit poll

The final results could be different. Are any of our election reform people analyzing the difference between exits and finals to get more insight into election norms??

[insanity]

I really don't put stock in exit polls

They are amusing and can be insightful, but they are not scientific and the only numbers that matter are real votes.

That being said, Obama will win Missouri and increase his delegate lead.

I'm pretty happy about that!

[fujiyama]

13. He already won Missouri...

Tonight is Mississippi.

But either way, I'm with you.
It's good news!

[Bucky]

5. Women don't count.

oh heavens, did I just say that?

[Georgie_92]

7. LOL did you mean woman under 60? ;)

[Drachasor]

17. That's only if

they don't vote for Hillary or live in a State that doesn't vote for Hillary.

(Obviously, we are joking around here, for those that take these statements too seriously).

[skooooo]

6. But what % are Black women?

These numbers are confusing. Black women are more likely to vote for Obama, probably? So how can you count them as two categories? Know what I mean?

:shrug:

[quantass]

9. 0.23% -- they all voted Hillary?

[LisaL]

37. Hah?

I presume a lot of females that vote for Obama are African-American.
If Obama is getting 90 % of black vote, it only stands to reason at least half of black voters who vote for Obama are female.

[meow mix]

10. might want to dose up the sarcasm a bit more..

i know what ya mean but a sarcasm tag might be needed lol

[skooooo]

29. no, it's confusing..

I wasn't trying to be sarcastic. It's not important, I just don't understand what the numbers really mean.

[Dems Will Win]

20. Woah. You mean black women should not count as women?

Is that like the caucuses not counting?

[skooooo]

30. uhh..no

Nevermind, I don't seem to be explaining myself. I'm not trying to make any kind of statement...just saying that there is overlap into the two groups, so i don't know what the numbers mean.

[SoCalDem]

32. I'm having a hard time keeping track of what doesn't count..

1. small states
2. states with caucuses
3. black women
4. black men
5. people with education
6. red states
7. independents


have I missed any??

[Freida5]

8. Black women voted for Obama 89% to 11% Clinton, White women voted Clinton 74% to 26% Obama

[Captain Hilts]

11. Largest % of black voters in the country. nt

[Bucky]

12. You forgot to divide the black vote by 3/5s

Oh, wait, no... we don't do that anymore! Votes are votes, Americans are Americans. Quit trying to make it seem like they should be valued differently based on race. That's utter bullshit.

[JVS]

25. actually, you have to multiply by 3/5, or else it gets bigger, GAWD FORBID!

[tekisui]

14. That, and Hillary's 77% of the pukes. And they were 13% of the Dem vote.

[Drachasor]

21. pukes?

Can't we just call them Republicans (or Repubs for short, I suppose)? I mean, they are Americans too. I'm a hardcore leftie (with socialist sympathies), but derogatory comments like that seem unhelpful both for America and the Democratic Party. We should certainly distinguish between Republican voters and the massive failures of the Republican Party -- especially given that many (though not all) Republicans are disenchanted with their party.

Well, that's just my opinion anyhow.

[tekisui]

26. I stand by pukes.

Any self-identified puke, after 7 years of chimpy, are pukes.

[Adelante]

31. 13% - I think that's the highest I've seen yet nt

[tekisui]

34. I think so.

Texas and Ohio were high, at 9 %.

[OzarkDem]

15. In Mississippi

That must be his strongest turnout ever for female voters.

[Adelante]

18. Whoa, if that holds, it's HUGH nt

[Frances]

22. Some statistics

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080312/ap_on_el_pr/campaign_rdp_33;_ylt=Al2XG.1M37vAzzcX8GAhaVUE1vAI

"Obama was winning roughly 90 percent of the black vote but only about one-third of the white vote, extending a pattern that carried him to victory in earlier primaries in South Carolina, Alabama, Georgia and Louisiana"

[JVS]

23. We are not as divided as some opportunists would make us out to be!

[Skip Intro]

24. Because the black vote was 70+ per cent of the total vote.

which he won by like 90%. All the stat you quoted does in split that huge vote between genders.

c'mon

He only got 27% of the white vote, which was a very much smaller percentage overall.

[Perky]

41. No it wasn't Go look at an exit poll....will ya

It was 49% White and 49% black

[billbuckhead]

33. And third of the white vote.

Hillary's opponent was just lucky there were few, Hispanics, Asians and gays in Mississippi.

[Perky]

39. It was actually closer becauce of the 17% crossover from the 99% white GOP voting huge for Hillary

[OzarkDem]

40. Link?