At this point, what would a "win" be for Hillary on March 4?

[adoraz]

The media is trying to make this play out for as long as it can. They originally said she needs to win both Ohio and Texas by double digits to stay in. Since that is looking incredibly unlikely, what do you all think would be considered a win at this point for Hillary? What would Obama need for a knockout blow?

I am guessing both Ohio and Texas will finish within a few percent of each other. Either that or Obama will continue this momentum and win both by a decent amount.

What happens on March 4 though if Hillary wins both by only a few percent and then they basically split the delegates?

Oh yeah, and does anyone know what time the 4 polls close on March 4? That would be great to know because I have something that night and don't want to miss the results.

[R_M]

1. If is stops his momentum,

then she goes on to PA, Indiana, Kentucky, PR.

[KittyWampus]

2. Realistic- winning Ohio by some margin so she can concede with that as a high note.

[Colobo]

3. Winning Texas and Ohio. Nothing less than that.

[sloppyjoe25s]

4. She needs 20 point margins in Both OH and TX

to even begin to close the elected delegate lead Obama has.

Given the primary & caucus structure of TX - even the 20 point margin wont net her that many delegates in TX.

Realistically she probably needs 25 point margin in TX.

Clinton Camp - "OH BUT THAT IS SO UNREASONABLE, EVEN IF WE WIN BY ONE POINT WE WIN!!!"

Really? Unreasonable?

Since Super Tuesday - Obama's AVERAGE MARGIN HAS BEEN 32 POINTS. I'm not even suggesting she equal
that. I'm just saying she needs decent margins - or she is out, or it will be VERY ugly.

[L0oniX]

5. Agreed. It will take a 15< point win in both states just to catch up and that isn't a win.

Clinton Camp - "OH BUT THAT IS SO UNREASONABLE, EVEN IF WE WIN BY ONE POINT WE WIN!!!" pffft ...delusional.

[MaineDem]

8. That's the number I've heard quite a bit lately

She needs to win with at least 60% of the vote. I seriously doubt that can happen.

[Yael]

6. She has to take Texas and Ohio by 60/40 or its over based on the math

[mkultra]

7. i think its 57%

she needs to take 57% percent to leave enough delegate room to catch up.