NEW Virginia Polls: SUSA: Obama up 18 pts over Clinton

[cali]

Obama 59% Clinton 37%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=89a5ced3-5a20-4252-b62e-7d8ba9b1238e&q=45558

Insiders Advantage

Obama: 52% Clinton 37%

http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_28_206.aspx

[NC_Nurse]

1. Oh YEAH!

That's great! :)

[thesubstanceofdreams]

2. Tie among white voters

"In the survey Obama led among African-American voters, while Clinton and Obama were evenly splitting the white vote in the survey."

Something tells me Hillary was an uphill battle in VA.

[TexasObserver]

7. I think that will be the trend

Any place Obama has the time to become known to the voters, he pulls majorities almost across the board.

[Adelante]

12. He had gained in white voters in several Super Tuesday states

I'm really happy to see it continues.

[Tarheel_Dem]

3. i know how much fun it is looking at polls, but i just don't trust them

anymore. I'm not getting my hopes up from here on out. But, thanks for posting Cali.

[cali]

5. Actually, SUSA has called every single state perfectly

they haven't missed one where they've done polling.

[mohc]

18. Actually

They had MO going for Clinton, and AL a dead heat, among various others. But overall they have been more accurate than most other pollsters.

[skipos]

4. VA has my vote for "long time red state most likely to turn blue" if Obama is nominated

It has been trending blue in presidential elections, has a dem gov, a dem senator, and will have another dem senator come 08. A Dem hasn't won it since LBJ. 13 electoral votes, so Kerry states + VA + IA or NM = Dem president. We wouldn't even need OH or FL.

[karynnj]

16. Also remember that we MAY be able to get a fair Ohio as we won in 2006

and there is a Democratic Secretary of State instead of Blackwell. We may just need the states Kerry did win plus Ohio, where he likely would have won a fair race. (Not to mention - neither candidate will be an incumbent President.)

[K Gardner]

6. Don't. Believe. Polls !! argghhhhhhhhhh :-)

[cali]

11. let me again repeat: SUSA has been spot on in every

single state they've conducted polls in. Every one. From CA to IA.

[K Gardner]

17. OK... I'll bite then, well nibble :-) Thanks Cali !

[Dawgs]

8. That's big.

Virginia is one where she needs to be competitive.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/2/6/123959/6127/416/451126

After February 12th - from kos blog
'let's pause here to note that Obama is strongly favored to win four of the next seven contests, and narrowly favored to win the remaining three. An Obama sweep of all seven contests is not unlikely. In order for Clinton to have much chance in the following contests, she will have had to win somewhere, whether it be Washington on the 9th, Maine on the 10th, or Virginia on the 12th. For the purposes of this analysis, I will assume she has avoided a shut-out and still has some viability.'

[ShortnFiery]

9. Yes, I feel it here. Proud to be an Obama voter come Tue, 12 Feb 2008 --> In VIRGINIA!

[TwilightGardener]

10. Please don't put any stock in this. The polls have been tragically wrong--

we need to lower expectations.

[cali]

13. Nope. check SUSA's record. It's perfect this year.

[my3boyz]

14. Good

I could not stand it if my state gave the majority our delegates to that witch! In fact, it makes me ill that she will get any of them. I came into the race feeling torn between Obama and Clinton (mainly because of Bill) but now I absolutely can't stand her!

[Tatiana]

15. Well it's a SUSA poll, so it's pretty credible.

Not saying a clean sweep but...

[theboss]

19. The rest of February should be good for Obama

If he manages a sweep of the Potomac Primary, he will be able to coast into March - where things should get tough again.

[Dogmudgeon]

20. Obama was only up 17% in California polls

And that worked out so well, didn't it?

But I suppose we have another two or three weeks of gloating to get through.

--p!

[my3boyz]

21. And the SUSA California poll was the poll that the Clinton supporters loved!

[cali]

22. sorry. I mean I really hate to tell you this, but SUSA

nailed it in CA.

[Dogmudgeon]

24. Hey, it was pretty accurate

All that anticipatory gloating had me fooled, too.

Thanks for directing me to SUSA!

--p!

[Robbins]

23. Survey USA

I no longer doudt any polls from them after seeing the results on Super tuesday.Yes I can admit to being wrong.They were wrong on Missouri,and Alambama,and In some states Obama lost less to Hillary In her states than polls suggest however If they have him up 17 In Virginia that Is a good sign.
It shows Obama getting early support from Tim Kaine was good for him.

[Invidious]

25. As I said yesterday..Virginia is Obama Country! n/t

[book_worm]

26. SUSA is now the pollster of choice on DU--Excellent news!

but lets not get over confident. Polls are just that polls.

[scheming daemons]

27. If Virginia is using Diebold machines... knock 5% off of Obama's lead...

...in every state so far that uses Diebold touch screen machines, Obama's total has averaged 5% less than the exit polls indicated in that state.

In states that use predominantly paper voting and caucus states, his totals have been spot on.


Just sayin'......

[Infinite Hope]

28. I'll believe it when I see it. I'm beginning to think the pollsters are friends of the Clintons.

Setting expectations low so she can come close or win. Sarcasm of course, but the polling is an odd trend.